This is...not correct.

The simplest way to understand why the debt keeps rising without causing inflation is because of inequality: it's all ending up in rich people's portfolios that they never spend. Therefore neither that outstanding debt nor the interest paid on it poses 1/3
a very large inflation risk - what, are all the rich people suddenly going to spend down their entire fortunes, for no reason? Not likely.

If there is any inflationary pressure to be found, it's in the new paradigm of giving money to poor people (ie. people who actually will /2
spend it) + the revival of the labor movement. This is not going to produce hyperinflation - not anywhere close. Nothing about our political system creates forces that push these trends to those extremes. It's really quite the opposite, they're fighting for every last crumb. /end

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More from @SamHLevey

20 Feb
** No, MMT is not "the new supply-side economics."

The message below by Professor Ricardo Reis (@R2Rsquared) is receiving a lot of attention but... it is not a good thread.

I'm an MMTer, so let me offer some corrections for the record. /1
But first, if you're an economist, where can you go to find MMT literature, so that you can read before forming an opinion and back your commentary with citations? Here's a resource: deficitowls.wixsite.com/mmt4mainstream… /2
(Note that the only citation Dr. Reis provided was a *review* of a book. Obviously Twitter isn't an academic journal, but still, if Dr. Reis had a student submit a paper where the student didn't even read the material she commented on, no doubt he would give that student an F.)/3
Read 19 tweets
12 Feb
Let me try to clear up a point of confusion on MMT's "sectoral balance" approach.

In the equation (S - I) = (G - T) + (X - M)... why is it "S - I"? What does this mean? Why do we care about this rather than just "saving" S? Here's a thread on how I think about it 1/n
What we want to look at are deficits and surpluses. "Deficit" = spending more than your income, and "surplus" = spending less than your income.

If we split the whole world into parts, then it's only possible for one of those parts to be in surplus if some other is in deficit. /2
Why is this? Because if one part cuts down its spending (without its income falling) then some other part is now receiving less income, because that income was coming from the spending.

Here's more on sectoral balances: /3
Read 15 tweets
22 Sep 20
The language of "sticky prices" implies that "flexible prices" are the base case and sticky ones are a deviation, but I think really the opposite makes more sense.

When you buy something, the starting assumption for the price is always "whatever it was last time." It seems (1/4)
like there's an extra step involved if the price changes. In a business, somebody came and changed a posted price, an additional action compared to just selling you a product.

So maybe better language would be that "stable prices" are the norm and "volatile prices" a deviation?
Or maybe better still, what's considered the expected case should depend on the context. With an auction mechanism where price is intended to be sensitive to market conditions, flexible is the norm, whereas with posted, administered prices, stable is the norm.

Then again,
Read 4 tweets
20 Sep 20
A thread of polls on the assumptions of "Perfect Competition."

1/5: "Perfect Competition" implicitly assumes the existence and well-functioning of some sort of auction-like mechanism.
2/5: "Perfect Competition" implicitly assumes the existence and well-functioning of institutions that transmit information about the product (such as product details and quality).
3/5: "Perfect Competition" implicitly assumes the existence and well-functioning of institutions that transmit information about the state of the market (such as whether there are actually any units for sale or whether there's a shortage).
Read 7 tweets
29 Aug 20
To distract me from studying, here's a thread entitled "What Did War Bonds Actually Do - For the Layperson"

Tl;dr: the goal of war bonds is to get you to stop spending your money at the store. /1
The basic problem of wartime economics is this: workers are getting paid to produce war goods that are not available for them to buy. This is money that's burning a hole in your pocket, but that doesn't correspond to any real goods/services that it can be spent on. /2
If workers tried to spend all this income, then they would be competing for consumer goods at a time when these are very scarce, because so much of the economy needs to be devoted to winning the war. That could drive up prices - inflation. /3
Read 11 tweets
29 Aug 20
@FrancescoNicoli thinking more about your claim that perfect competition isn't limited to using an auction as a market mechanism. Sounded reasonable at first, but more I think about it, I don't think that's right. If the "price-taking" firm can sell any quantity at the
market price, how is that possible unless there's some sort of auction mechanism? I was reading you to be saying that PC might be close enough in the case of the firm announcing a price but severely constrained by competition (eg. a farmer's market). But if the firm announces
a price, then by definition they've given up control of quantity to the market: they sell whatever buyers buy from them at the posted price. If they produce more, it won't get sold unless they either actively recruit buyers (conflicts w/ perfect information and static prefs) or
Read 4 tweets

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