I promised some charts today so here we go. All charts are found using our Scany tool and many of these tickers might not have a lot of hype but the price action is good and that's what you need these days.
$EOG broke long term downtrend on weekly chart. Noted added.
$IQ just broke out from a long term resistance here. We had an engulfing candle today (that's the scanner I used here) with increasing volume. All of these signs are very good. Might start a position here.
$BOX we had a beautiful breakout on weekly chart here and there was plenty of strength today as the price did not move down much. Good one.
$PTON we have a slightly stronger support level below which we respected. Forming a tight consolidation here. If market recovers a bit, we should hopefully break out of this. Keep the setup in mind.
$BILL nice consolidation here + we are still respecting the moving averages which is great. We have a horizontal support at this level so hopefully we stay above it and go up from here. Buying zone as long as we are above 140.
$GOOGL staying strong in a weak market. There's a gap down in the daily chart, exit immediately if we start to fill it. Bullish if we break out of this tight area.
$JBLU very strong support area here. I would expect buyers to step in and reverse the price direction. We also have a volume shelf which is good. Bullish.
Exit if we go below 18.
$RKT this is a much riskier setup but it also has high reward. There's a shallow volume shelf above which we can easily cross. We also have a strong support below the current price.
$CSCO broke the resistance this week with nice candles the last few weeks. You might want to wait for a dip on the newly formed support. Even without that, this seems like a good setup.
$BBGI keep an eye on this one for a breakout. Very high reward if we get one. We broke a very long term downtrend and we're settling a bit above the moving averages, which is always good.
That's it. Please keep an eye on these setups and trade them based on your trading style.
Important thread on what I'm trying to do these days to reduce my risk.
FYI, Although down the last 2 weeks, I'm fortunately still up about 25% in my overall portfolio so if that helps take some of this advice seriously. Finally, it's just one man's opinion, I could be wrong.
1. Stop buying naked calls or puts. With how the market is hurting people, it's hard to time everything and buying naked calls and puts will incur you a lot more losses than doing something more risk-averse strategies.
2. I sold all my naked calls today for about 20-30% losses on every one of them. I'm putting all that money into cash secured puts for my favorite stocks. Right now, I've two for $SOS and $MARA. Why do I do that?
How to find potential plays using our Options Market Dashboard. A small & important thread.
1. First, take a look at the most bullish and bearish net premiums and find the top 3-5 candidates. $SQ $RKT $TSLA $AAPL are a few here. Keep an eye on those and look at live options flow
2. Next, go down and take a look at the cheaplies and leaps widgets. These are some of the most useful widgets you'll find on any website, period. $GM is doing well today, see if you can find it here.
Others are $RIO $NLS $XOM.
3. Next, go to the Most OTM widget - these are slightly risky candidates but their reward is also extremely high since these are far out of the money contracts with high volume. High volume is there to see if there's interest in it. Another extremely useful widget.
I've always wanted to build Tradytics into something that people can just use themselves and be profitable. I personally do not like explicit alerts but many new traders want them so we built tools.
However, I wish everyone starts learning to analyze options flow. 🙏
2/n Eventually, every trader realizes that they need to build their own strategy. They cannot just rely on alerts from others because even if those alerts are good, traders mostly suffer losses just because it's not their own thing.
3/n Services should always be used to couple your trading strategy. You can find "potential" plays by looking at other services but following them blindly doesn't lead to anything in my opinion.
How to find bottoms? When you see puts being sold for large premiums and short-term out-of-the-money calls, that is a strong indication that people think we have bottomed. Here's an example of $TSLA. See how there are tons of sold puts and bought calls >= 650.
How do we know whether puts and calls were bought or sold, that's what the side column tells you. Green means puts were sold and calls were bought and red means puts were bought and calls were sold.
Now you do see some 600 puts bought which might actually pan out eventually but their expiration is slightly farther away from the 650 puts sold and 700 calls bought.
Let's make a pact today and save each other from huge losses like $CCIV. No matter how much we like a company/stock, we will never buy when it's overextended from the 20 EMA? Who's in?
I've personally never done it already but I think new traders need to make this a rule. 🤝🤝
Look at the current price of $CCIV and see where it actually fell, right almost on the 20 EMA. This is why you never go in on extended stocks, because sooner or later, most of them fall back on moving averages. This single principle will save you from a lot of your big losses.
Both 20 and 50 moving averages becomes dynamic support levels that many stocks hold quite well especially the stocks in a good uptrend. Please please take care of your money and stop chasing. It will only bring you losses in the long run!
A quick thread on implied volatility and cash-secured puts for newbie traders and new options traders.
First, implied volatility is the anticipation of how much the price is "expected" to move. Most times, IV < realized volatility. Important!
2/n Why do we care if IV is mostly less than realized volatility. I'll explain.
But first, you also need to know about another loose property of IV. When it gets too high, it mean reverts. What the hell does that mean? Look at $MARA historical IV.
** 1/n It's IV > Realized volatility. Sorry, this is important to get right. Stupid me!