Options flow tip.

How to find bottoms? When you see puts being sold for large premiums and short-term out-of-the-money calls, that is a strong indication that people think we have bottomed. Here's an example of $TSLA. See how there are tons of sold puts and bought calls >= 650.
How do we know whether puts and calls were bought or sold, that's what the side column tells you. Green means puts were sold and calls were bought and red means puts were bought and calls were sold.
Now you do see some 600 puts bought which might actually pan out eventually but their expiration is slightly farther away from the 650 puts sold and 700 calls bought.
When someone is selling a put right below the stock price, that means they are quite certain that price won't dip below the price.

Same goes for when someone sells calls with high premiums. That can show us tops sometimes. Happened with $PLTR last week with 30 calls sold!
It's obviously not a 100% guarantee but nothing is in trading so we want to do as much as we can to make sure our plays are good. Options flow provides us a way to do that.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tradytics AI

Tradytics AI Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TradyticsAIbot

23 Feb
Let's make a pact today and save each other from huge losses like $CCIV. No matter how much we like a company/stock, we will never buy when it's overextended from the 20 EMA? Who's in?

I've personally never done it already but I think new traders need to make this a rule. 🤝🤝
Look at the current price of $CCIV and see where it actually fell, right almost on the 20 EMA. This is why you never go in on extended stocks, because sooner or later, most of them fall back on moving averages. This single principle will save you from a lot of your big losses.
Both 20 and 50 moving averages becomes dynamic support levels that many stocks hold quite well especially the stocks in a good uptrend. Please please take care of your money and stop chasing. It will only bring you losses in the long run!
Read 4 tweets
19 Feb
IMPORTANT EDUCATIONAL THREAD. 1/n

A quick thread on implied volatility and cash-secured puts for newbie traders and new options traders.

First, implied volatility is the anticipation of how much the price is "expected" to move. Most times, IV < realized volatility. Important!
2/n Why do we care if IV is mostly less than realized volatility. I'll explain.

But first, you also need to know about another loose property of IV. When it gets too high, it mean reverts. What the hell does that mean? Look at $MARA historical IV.
** 1/n It's IV > Realized volatility. Sorry, this is important to get right. Stupid me!
Read 17 tweets
4 Feb
1/n Long but an important educational thread. 🏆🏆🏆

Let's talk about a comprehensive way of finding huge runners using robust statistical techniques. I'll go over examples of $MARA $RIOT $SOLO $GME $MVIS $MKND. Let's stop YOLOing and start making educated decisoins.

Buckle up.
2/n In any financial market, many instruments move together with each other. They can go up together or they can go down together. What quantifies this is called "Correlation".

For instance, $AAPL and $QQQ has a high correlation because they move together.
3/n However, correlation does not help us "PREDICT" anything. It's just a tool that gives us insights into what moves together. Those insights are useful for a variety of purposes like finding sympathy plays, etc. But we don't want to talk about that today.
Read 19 tweets
3 Feb
Played $BBBY for 15% profits today. It went up to about 37% profits but I had a limit sell order that got executed while I was asleep. Here's the trade for others.

Entered yesterday at close because we were hitting the 50 EMA. Expectation was to close on 20EMA today. Did it! 🔥
Why did I enter $BBBY and not $AMC or $GME. I would have entered either $BBBY or $AMC because both of them had a much better options flow than $GME. I already had an $AMC call that was red and $BBBY was right on the moving averages so it made more sense.
The idea here is to look for setups that are close to their support zones (horizontal supports, trendline supports, moving averages), and enter them with strict stop losses below the supports. If they work, you're good, if they don't, you exit with minimal losses.
Read 5 tweets
3 Feb
Feature update - just added another widget for our premium users in the options market dashboard on far out of the money contracts with very high volume. This should help us pick some unusual activity. Some observations in comments. 🏆🥳🔥

$GME $NOK $VXX $CCIV Image
Although meme stocks are losing steam, I am still seeing a bunch of very far OTM strikes with calls, especially for $NOK. Keep an eye on it please.

Other meme stocks have both far OTM puts and calls so don't know where they're gonna go.
Very interesting to see so far OTM calls on $VXX here. These can easily be just hedges but still very interesting. Let's see if this indicates a dump or are just a few hedges.
Read 7 tweets
14 Dec 20
1/n
Interesting strategy that just came to mind - explaining with $TSLA, $NIO - we have an AI tool that allows you to look at future price ranges i.e the max and min price the stock might go to.

We also have options scanner that gives you high IV contracts for potential selling. ImageImage
2/n
Now, once you know the potential future price ranges, you can simply go to our options scanner and find some OTM WEEKLY high IV contracts that are outside the max and min range of the predicted price.

Those are the contracts that you can sell or do spreads to earn profits. Image
3/n

Just to be safe, you can slightly go more OTM from the price ranges + do spreads instead of selling naked calls.

I am going to backtest this strategy but I have a feeling this will yield a high accuracy rate + returns. I would love for our premium members to try this.
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!