S-1 thread

@Zymergen( $ZY) surprised today w $100M Initial Public Offering. JPM, GS, BOA, Cowen

Last valued $1.75B

Word counts

"biofactur-": 173
Hyaline:140
"Nature" (capital N):39
#SyntheticBiology/#SynBio:26
#MachineLearning:24
@Amyris ( $AMRS):2
@Ginkgo:0
@Intrexon (RIP):0 Image
S-1 bit.ly/31b1qhl

$13M in R&D/collab revenue in 2020

$ZY spent "5 years & $50 million" to "launch" (w/o product rev) lead product Hyaline (electronic screen film)

Early version made w chem synthesis, NOT fermentation (#synbio), but plans to ferment later (lower COGS) ImageImageImageImage
^Hyaline chem synth underscores challenge of $ZY's biz model

$ZY trying to simultaneously design/build/test organisms AND market end products

Chem synth gets products into customer hands earlier than $XON/ $AMRS, but might improve top-line focusing on design/build/test w JV's Image
^ Benefit of a #synbio company creating a joint venture (JV) w a Fortune500 company is that it doesn't have to focus on selling end products. Then the #synbio co can focus its human & financial capital on its core competency (engineering microbes), and still share in risk/reward
^ By specializing in being a "go-to" #synbio intellectual property "fab" with JV model, it can also rack up more revenue-generating deals and satisfy investors

Fortune500 co's also recognize how disruptive #synbio already is in disrupting supply chains, and will pay to get ahead
There is also a Perceptive Advisors debt covenant subplot that was not apparent until $ZY filing

Had previously just assumed Perceptive only held $ZY equity

The Sept 2020 press release made mention of "growth financing" from Perceptive

prnewswire.com/news-releases/… Image
^ Sept 2020 Perceptive / $ZY "growth financing" was actually $100M credit facility

By YE20, $ZY was unable to comply w debt covenant, but got waiver

If $ZY defaults, Perceptive gets "SUBSTANTIALLY ALL assets, including IP"

So $ZY has an immediate interest in doing a $100M IPO Image
^ The $ZY S-1 document makes it clear that at least a portion of the $100M offering proceeds will go towards the Perceptive credit facility

$AMRS $XON
#SynBio Image
$ZY priced at around $3B cap

97,450,901 shares * $31

$31 was the high end

#SynBio
$AMRS $CDXS $NVZMY $ABCL
$TWST $BLI

Image

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More from @Varro_Analytics

11 Apr
DISCUSSION THREAD

Topic: $SRNGU/ $SRNG and potential Ginkgo Bioworks SPAC deal. Specifically, $20B valuation mentioned by Bloomberg

Will walk through some mkt data on chart below

Comments encouraged

#SynBio
$ZY
$AMRS $CDXS $ABCL $SYBX $PGEN
$BLI $TWST $TXG
$WUXAY $CRL $PPD
^Will preface this w list of most interesting things in $SRNGU/ $SRNG S-1

1). HUGE cash trust: $1.5B

2). Mostly entertainment experts (they SPAC'd DraftKings), but sector agnostic

3). Criteria: "High growth +FCF potential"

2). One bio link: $ALLO $KRON @Vida_Ventures @bt_prop
Let's also establish

i). Ginkgo is IP creation biz (a #synbio $TXN/ $INTC/ $AMD) housed in automated CRO (see $PPD $WUXAY $CRL) "on steroids." That gets paid in cash+ stock/royalties

ii). Biology inherently hard to scale, but part of revenue magic of Ginkgo is code reuseability
Read 23 tweets

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