The Home Office have published the government's New Plan for Immigration, which proposes reforms to the asylum system. There is now a 6 week public consultation period. gov.uk/government/con…
It is not factually true that the increase in the backlog of cases (with more people waiting 6 months for a decision) arises from a rise in applications. It comes from reduced capacity/investment in the system: more delays with fewer claims
The government is showing a 2-3 year time series. This is the long-term trend
The proportion of asylum claims granted status has risen over time. Similarish application numbers (much lower than 10-15 years ago, up slightly over 2-3 years, down last year) with a higher % being granted.
They are showing the decade
The government's approach has 3 central features. It would depend on negotiating return agreements that it does not have in place (so these will depend on other countries seeing these agreements as being of mutual interest). These will take time & might not be secured at all.
The government is happy to have a fight with courts and lawyers. Its proposals appear incompatible with the Refugee Comvention and current UK law. But it now says it would change UK law to clarify what our international obligations under the Treaty are...
New Resettlement Programme & Community Sponsorship schemes are good moves. The govt appears to present these (decision to protect Hong Kong British nationals) as a trade-off with having an asylum system under the refugee convention. This would penalise people with a valid claim.
BBC ten o'clock news shows UK has slightly more asylum applications than Italy; many fewer than France, Germany or Spain
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Scotish Culture Secretary & National Theatre Wales are among the voices talking about how Festival 2022 clearly isn't going to be a Festival of Brexit, in a Guardian report torn between its headline and the actual content theguardian.com/culture/2021/m…
Here are the 10 teams who will be developing the 10 projects at the heart of Festival 2022 festival2022.uk/the-10-teams
I am glad to see David Olusoga in the StoryFutures Collective asking 'who are we' as part of Festival 2022.
Most people want an asylum system to be effective, fair and humane. A key flaw is that earlier progress on making decisions within 6 months has gone into reverse. Not rising cases, or harder cases. It's a failure to invest in a system that works properly
Who is Peter Gammons, the UKIP candidate for Mayor of London (whose quite incredible personal achievements include speaking to the largest crowd in history)? Some more twists in the tale ...
It seem would that Dr Peter Gammons is also the famous English Lord, Lord Wennington, having in 1998 'inherited' this "ancient hereditary title dating back to the 1066 Doomsday book". (That may be a lesser known companion volume to the Domesday Book, or otherwise a typo)
All credit to Barney Cansdale for opening up this splendid further chapter in the amazing adventures of Dr Gammons
The "war on woke" being prosecuted is a clear and present threat to the case for the United Kingdom in Scotland. This does not mean it will cease, but it means the current government *ought* to have a foundational interest in defusing rather than stoking it.
Revealed preferences: those who continue to prosecute the war on woke (which has some political advantages for the right in England, by amplifying generational & cultural & political splits) must either be broadly indifferent to the future of UK, or misinformed about Scotland.
A dilemma for elite right (in politics & media) as those most invested in "war on woke" tend to think of themselves as strongly Unionist
Easiest way to square circle is to pay no attention to Scotland so just to talk within an English right bubble about how to win in Scotland
The March 23rd 2020 decision to impose a national lockdown is quite probably the most widely supported government policy decision in modern history. It was 93% to 3% at the time, according to YouGov.
There is now one competitor in the vaccination programme. 94% of people want to be part of it & 3% do not. (3% haven't decided personally). I have not seen "do you approve of a government vaccination policy & programme?" asked in the directly comparable form. But surely v similar
It may follow that some people who endorse conspiracy theories do so lightly or frivolously. Odd that not believing we know Covid exists (1/10) or endorsing crackerjack vaccine theories (1/10) polls broader than opposing lockdown (3%) or vaccines (3%) has
I first heard of Sidney Powell when Mr Maajid Nawaz said "General Flynn's well-regarded lawyer" on LBC on 14th Nov showed that Dominion computer fraud claims were not a conspiracy theory!
She was little known then. Eg, he got her name wrong at first
This was the claim that she was making at the time. (Her defence that nobody would possibly have believed her story was true does indeed reflect how many/most rational observers would treat her lurid nonsense, though she was herself pursuing it in the courts)