AstraZeneca releases updated data after US row which is effectively unchanged (and efficacy is *higher* in most at-risk groups). It's a completely safe, highly effective vaccine.
Lost in all this: AZ is the only vaccine supplier selling their product at cost, under $4 per dose.
AstraZeneca has made mistakes, no question. But politicians and public health officials from France to the US should consider how their actions have also wrongly undermined confidence in a phenomenally effective, safe vaccine that is most likely to help end the pandemic globally.
In case you're wondering, the new US AZ/Oxford efficacy number was revised down from 79% to 76%, which is basically meaningless statistical noise. Efficacy rose a few points to 85% for over-65s, again likely a change that's effectively statistical noise. Highly effective. Safe.
I keep talking about this because even a small reduction in public confidence in a safe, effective vaccine during a deadly pandemic can cost huge numbers of lives, delay the end of the pandemic, and even help new variants emerge and take root.
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There are many ways to repair US democracy through institutional reforms (the GOP is blocking them). But the biggest issue is the right-wing information ecosystem is just beyond broken. Democracy malfunctions when voters consume a diet of lies & conspiracy theories as truth.
How do you govern a country in which there aren't splintering views on policy but rather splintering realities? When voters self-select into right-wing fever swamps of false information, it creates a "choose your own reality" system that makes compromise and consensus impossible.
That's why the end of the Trump era isn't the end of the authoritarian threat posed by GOP extremists -- who inhabit a political sphere in which lying and peddling increasingly bizarre conspiracy theories leads not to pariah status but rather to national political stardom.
1. A big problem with modern GOP politics is that it just doesn't revolve around policy or solving problems. On the Democratic side, AOC is further left, sure, but she's laser-focused on policy solutions. The pro-Trump right isn't. It's victimhood, grievance, culture wars.
2. Instead, Republican politics is about entertainment. Politicians are characters. Will they dunk on someone on Twitter? Will they be hilarious at a frenzied rally? Will they deliver a blistering line on Fox News? Trump has made voters lose sight of what politics is for.
3. When Republicans engage with policy, it's not about fixing problems. Defund the WHO. Okay, who, precisely will that help who urgently needs it right now? Attack Fauci over masks. Again, who, precisely does that help right now? Meanwhile, Americans really need help right now.
1. The debate was a disaster - for America, for Trump, for democracy, and for the risks of political violence in November. An objective assessment of the candidates performances must lead with this: Biden inhabits reality, whereas Trump inhabits a concocted victimhood complex.
2. Internationally, the debates were an enormous embarrassment. They were unwatchable, not because of Biden or Wallace, but because of Trump. He refused to condemn white supremacy. He was an unhinged bully talking about some mythical "coup" against him. It was a glimpse of lunacy
3. Last night badly damaged Trump politically. He's losing by a lot at the moment. His aggressive rants further repelled the very swing voters he needs to win. The base may like the racist conspiracy theorist from the YouTube comments section shouting at them, but few others do.
1. Donald Trump's tax returns show that he is clearly a fraud - a fake businessman who used the impression that he was rich to get people to give him money, which he then effectively set on fire with business failures, which he then used to avoid paying federal income taxes.
2. There are two big angles to the returns: a) the fraud, both in terms of how he lied about his business acumen and how his tax returns raise questions of actual illegal tax fraud; and b) the disqualifying financial conflicts of interest that make him even more unfit for office.
3. The fraud: Trump ran on being a successful businessman who spun straw into gold. In reality, most of the gold he got came from his Dad or from reality TV, which he then invested into his businesses, that lost tens of millions of dollars. Politically, that's devastating.
1. At some point, we should talk about whether it's the best system to have the timing of the death of one woman result in radically changing the ideological composition of the country's highest court in the world's most powerful democracy for decades, without much recourse.
2. It's not just anti-democratic to have lifetime appointments for justices (though it is), it can also be terrible for the judges themselves, who effectively have to work until death because their ability to draw breath is sometimes literally protecting basic rights for millions
3. Something like 10/12 year terms for justices would go a long way, as would reforms like an independent scoring procedure for qualifications; a requirement for justices to be given hearings and up-or-down votes within a certain time frame; and formal rules around elections.