Updated progress towards herd immunity in USA:
~30 million have had COVID
~85 million have received at least 1 dose of vaccine
(~70 million are children)
~100 million to go to get 80% of eligible population immune —an overestimate coz it excludes people who had undiagnosed COVID
~30 million have had COVID
~85 million have received at least 1 dose of vaccine
(~70 million are children)
~100 million to go to get 80% of eligible population immune —an overestimate coz it excludes people who had undiagnosed COVID
https://twitter.com/vincentrk/status/1366135603008520206
I'm excluding people who have had COVID by seroprevalence because 1) it's hard to get a good idea of the % for the whole country; 2) the immunity from mild COVID may not be as robust; 3) Im excluding children so it compensates on the other end; 4) meant to be worst case scenario
At the rate we are vaccinating we are within 1-2 months of where we need to be. Which is good news.
I've said for months that we are closer to herd immunity than we think we are. Because of other factors. But that was a soft call. This time with vaccines I'm more confident.
I've said for months that we are closer to herd immunity than we think we are. Because of other factors. But that was a soft call. This time with vaccines I'm more confident.
About the variants: The vaccines will be able to give good protection against severe disease
If we chase variants as a metric, we will be chasing them for years. They'll keep coming. All we can do is vaccinate as much of the global population as we can & wait. And make boosters.
If we chase variants as a metric, we will be chasing them for years. They'll keep coming. All we can do is vaccinate as much of the global population as we can & wait. And make boosters.
https://twitter.com/vincentrk/status/1373679538169909256
Herd immunity will protect us from COVID. It will be even more effective at preventing severe COVID.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
