Let's discuss the nature of 'control fraud' in the corporate world, and how businesses which are legitimate in their individual components can be fraudulent in their overarching structure. 🧵
So say you're an executive at a company (maybe like a bank or a crypto company), and you want to commit some activity that is legally prohibited and/or fraudulent. But you also want to protect yourself against liability from that action.
The absolute best way to do this is not to create a line of business for the fraud, personally profit, and then cover it up; but instead create a sufficiently criminogenic corporate environment in which others do the fraud for you "without" your knowledge while you profit.
You do this by setting up an environment in which said fraud isn't done directly through directives by supervisors and explicit company policy, but through legitimate actions like hiring, firing, and setting up incentive structures to support the fraud implicitly.
There are *so many* examples of this in financial services, it's almost become the go-to fraud for that entire sector.
The best example here in the UK is the PPI misselling scandal that ran from early 1990s to mid 2000s.
PPI is a form of short-term income protection insurance, that brokers would offer to customers that took out mortgages and that would make your mortgage payments in the event that you fell ill or lost your job.
However there's an open market for these policies that offered competitive prices, however many high street banks got into the practice of silently bundling these ridiculously overpriced and useless policies with new mortgages without the consent of the customer.
This raked in billions of pounds for the banks executives, on insurance policies that were over-priced, useless and simply extracted wealth from the public for nothing. The executives paid themselves lavish bonuses and ran off with the cash.
Now explicitly this is form of fraud known as 'misselling' and in principle it was banned by the policy at the banks. As official policy low-level bank employees weren't supposed to do this.
However, if you happen to bind employee compensation and bonuses to the number of PPI policies you personally sell, then the incentive structure of the position itself silently encourages you to commit fraud.
Employees that didn't participate in misseling were silently pushed out because they didn't meet their sales quotas, while the employees engaging in fraud were given bonuses. All while their managers remain ignorant and not liable for anything other than just doing their job.
Because of leaks from whistleblowers to the press, the story came to light and there were many lawsuits to recover damages. There was a similar scandal in the United States with Wells Fargo opening up accounts with consent.
The public is rightly angry at these situation, but really who is to blame legally?
1) The minimal wage low-level employees? 2) The middle managers who didn't make the policy? 3) The executives for not being involved in the day to day?
The answer is really everyone and no one. No single person is responsible, blame is spread out across the whole organisation and it's the whole ensemble that allowed it to happen.
If you understand this, you understand the nature of modern corporate fraud and why it's so easy to get away with. Our system really can't find a party to blame, because blame is diffuse across the entire organization. And in legal sense the executives hands are completely clean.
The principle of our justice system is that it's better that ten guilty persons escape than that one innocent suffer.
While for corporate justice, it's better that ten thousand scams go unpunished than one innocent enterprise endure a lawsuit.
The golden era of distributed control fraud is coming.
As technology is more integrated into the workplace, increasingly these scams aren't going to be done through policy but by tech and networks that spread blame even more diffusely across the organisation and third parties.
The next hundred corporate scandals will have executives covering up new forms of control fraud with the excuse that {AI, influencers, blockchain} created the incentives for the scam, not me.
How we adapt to that is a defining problem for a new generation of business leaders.
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With Gamestop and Robinhood recently in the news I've seen quite a few developers making some very silly and needlessly risky financial decisions. Let's talk about investing a bit. 🧵(1/)
First a BIG disclaimer. Giving financial advice outside of an advisory relationship is illegal. This is not investment advice, just my personal opinions.
However it is common knowledge there are well-known ways to needlessly light money on fire. Let's talk about those. (2/)
The first is day trading. Day trading is a ridiculously stupid activity, and not all that different from gambling or other risk-seeking addictive behaviour that hacks your brain's dopamine-cycle. Not even once. (3/)
There's a strong argument that Proof of Stake token networks have a colonialist taint.
Negative-sum speculative assets based on no economic activity are a net wealth redistribution back to early stakeholders. Which are moneyed Westerners with capital and influence to buy early.
Every early investor that makes a return on the sale of negative-sum "investment" token is necessarily paid out by a pyramid of hundreds of small losers.
If these products are marketed in developing economies as "solutions" to the unbanked, that's very ethically problematic.
Primarily because the premise of these get-rich-quick investments is based on confusion and that's exploited in marketing.
They aren't stores of values, they aren't currencies, they're simply greater-fool gambling products.
The question the ACM can't ask in this article is the obvious one. Ransomware wasn't a threat until bitcoin, when you create an anonymous network to transfer money to strangers sight unseen ... of course criminals will exploit that. That's it's purpose.
If you go to a bank and try to wire ransom money to a hacker in Siberia, they won't let you. That's a feature. It's an unprofitable enterprise for the criminals and they then don't bother.
Making ransoms unpayable stymies crime.
Ransomware is going to be an absolute plague on Western economies for the next decade. Like the point where it starts effecting GDP.
Enterprise software is creaking around the corners and this is going to an *absurdly* profitable enterprise for hacking groups.
When we do diligence on investment schemes, it's not all that different then when we analyze functions in computer programming. We're interested in the cash inputs, cash outputs, and the expected return on investment. 🧵
When you invest in a burrito company, they make burritos. They sell the burritos to the public for more than it costs to produce the burrito and that makes a profit. The profits go back into the business to expand the business or pay back shareholders.
If you run a good business, the public gets fed, the employees get paid, and the shareholders see a return. This is a very vanilla investment that forms the basis of our market economy.
These kind of stories are important for us in technology, because they really illustrate the disconnect between our perception and the public's perception. wired.co.uk/article/footba…
Most of my direct friends have advanced degrees, or at least a fairly developed understanding of statistics to be able to look at schemes like this and understand prima facie that this is a scam.
But overwhelmingly, the majority of the general public cannot. These things are financial and technical black boxes that make specious claims of impossible returns and target people's base instincts using technology to amplify addiction and hack the dopamine process.
Today let's discuss why #bitcoin is a rubbish investment and a why for most people it's simply a way to light a bunch of money on fire just like gambling on the roulette wheel. 🧵 (1/)
Last week we talked about why the underlying faux-innovation of blockchain is a technical mirage constructed by consultants to snake oil, and which most software engineers don't take seriously. (2/)
If we toss out the unscalable technology, the weird anti-state political fantasies and the toxic subculture around bitcoin and just focus on the pure fundamentals of it as an financial asset class like any other we find it's really quite terrible. (3/)