Part Three in my thread series on dodgy election promises & campaign statements. This time @NicolaSturgeon is up. She has pledged ‘100,000 new affordable homes’ to be build in the next decade if she’s re-elected.
...she’s promised affordable housing targets before, and never met them. Ever. Not once.
Let’s go back to the close of the 2016 parliament.
@theSNP boasted of meeting their 30,000 affordable homes target.
How wonderful...except...[2/11]
30,000 wasn’t the original original target. That was a slight of hand. Clever PR. A trick if you will.
Despite the SNPs self congratulations, this 30,000 target was a downward revision. They lowered the target after the 2011 victory so as to meet it. [3/11]
Now, for the close of this parliament (2021), the SNP had promised 50,000 new affordable homes (of which 35,000 would be for social rent).
Have they met this target? No.[4/11]
The SNP claim, with some justification, that the covid pandemic simply stopped them meeting this target.
Now before anyone says ‘but covid had hit Scotland in 2020’...let me remind you the very first covid case was in March 1st 2020. That audit Scotland report came out barely after that, covid had not entered into those ‘serious risks’ yet. The risk was there before covid. [8/11]
Further, the Chartered Institute of Housing reported that a ‘real challenge’ existed for the SNP to meet that housing target of 50,000 March 2021. This explained concerns about meeting the target. All *before* covid. [9/11]
So sorry SNP, you can’t honestly claim you only missed the 50,000 target of March 2021 due to covid.
It was factor, sure, but serious doubts predated if they would meet it before pandemic. Even optimistic audit Scotland raised structural concerns about ability to deliver[10/11]
So when Nicola Sturgeon promises you 100,000 new affordable homes in a decade...don’t believe her.
They moved goalposts on earlier pledges, revising targets down. They failed to meet more recent targets they didn’t ‘revise’ down (though did try massaging the figures)[11/11]
Addition: forgot to include the link for the ‘ministers moving goalposts’ evidence.
The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) reveals Govanhill is ranked in the 10% ‘most deprived areas’ in income, education, housing and crime. Second most deprived in employment & health. (as of 2020)
[2/12]
If we flip to the 2016 SIMD map, we also see huge amounts of 'most deprived 10%' deprivation, around Govanhill. Some progress has been made, but not much. Not enough for those suffering severe deprivation.
[3/12]
"If the SNP is re-elected in May, we will make sure every school pupil from P1 to S6 gets a laptop, Chromebook or tablet." - Nicola Sturgeon, 28 March 2021
Why didn't she do this last April?
[1/5]
'Thousands of laptops bought for vulnerable schoolchildren remain in storage', July 6th 2020
They weren't competent enough to distribute 25,000 laptops after spending £9m.
"I intend to continue doing what I and the government have done for the last give years, is making the progress, taking the decisions, making the investments to progress [closing attainment gap]" Nicola Sturgeon, FMQs, March 24th
Let's analyse some of this.
[1/11]
➡️'Making the progress'
The FM talks about progress being made toward closing the attainment gap.
How accurate is it to claim progress has been made?
[2/11]
While the latest Audit Scotland report does speak of 'limited progress', this disguises a wider pattern of very real failure.
For example, data shows that 93.3% of 2019-20 school leavers were in a “positive destination".
Well, Mr Salmond's talk about taking to the streets to obtain independence is precisely the sort of thing I had in mind; hurting Nicola Sturgeon & the SNP. [2/4]
'Alba technical fault reveals thousands of names who signed up for party events' reports the Sunday Herald.
And they report a few interesting names. [1/7]
The 'breach' happened because Alba Party website had a flaw in its design.
If someone registered to an Alba Party event on website, they were given a unique 'recruiter ID'. This ID allowed them to 'share' links to the Alba event with others, encourage them to also attend. [2/7]
"at least eight members of SNP's ruling body, National Executive Committee & its sub-committees appear to have registered for Alba events"
➡️Caroline McAllister - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1129
➡️Lynn Anderson - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1466
➡️Brian Lawson - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1019
[3/7]
In the interests of being fair, let's do a thought experiment.
What might an SNP defence for their failure to tackle poverty in Scotland be?
They could claim savings and dividends are controlled by Westminster, that income tax isn't fully devolved...that might count as a factor in failing to tackle poverty levels (I'm thinking, presumably the SNP want a 'more progressive' tax system?)
But, given the primary levers that can be used to address poverty: health and social services, education, training, housing, economic development, and welfare are all devolved, I don't buy that excuse.