Part Three in my thread series on dodgy election promises & campaign statements. This time @NicolaSturgeon is up. She has pledged ‘100,000 new affordable homes’ to be build in the next decade if she’s re-elected.

Only problem is... [1/11]
...she’s promised affordable housing targets before, and never met them. Ever. Not once.

Let’s go back to the close of the 2016 parliament.

@theSNP boasted of meeting their 30,000 affordable homes target.

How wonderful...except...[2/11]
30,000 wasn’t the original original target. That was a slight of hand. Clever PR. A trick if you will.

Despite the SNPs self congratulations, this 30,000 target was a downward revision. They lowered the target after the 2011 victory so as to meet it. [3/11]
Now, for the close of this parliament (2021), the SNP had promised 50,000 new affordable homes (of which 35,000 would be for social rent).

Have they met this target? No.[4/11]
The SNP claim, with some justification, that the covid pandemic simply stopped them meeting this target.

But there’s more to it than that...[5/11]
scottishhousingnews.com/article/corona…
Fact is, even before covid struck, they were unlikely to meet this housing target anyway.

Newspapers reported desperate stuff including ‘massaging figures’ in rural Scotland...all to boost the numbers.

heraldscotland.com/news/18517035.… [6/11]
Even the generally optimistic Audit Scotland’s April 2020 report found cause for concern about the target being met.

audit-scotland.gov.uk/uploads/docs/r… [7/11]
Now before anyone says ‘but covid had hit Scotland in 2020’...let me remind you the very first covid case was in March 1st 2020. That audit Scotland report came out barely after that, covid had not entered into those ‘serious risks’ yet. The risk was there before covid. [8/11]
Further, the Chartered Institute of Housing reported that a ‘real challenge’ existed for the SNP to meet that housing target of 50,000 March 2021. This explained concerns about meeting the target. All *before* covid. [9/11]

scottishhousingnews.com/article/cih-st…
So sorry SNP, you can’t honestly claim you only missed the 50,000 target of March 2021 due to covid.

It was factor, sure, but serious doubts predated if they would meet it before pandemic. Even optimistic audit Scotland raised structural concerns about ability to deliver[10/11]
So when Nicola Sturgeon promises you 100,000 new affordable homes in a decade...don’t believe her.

They moved goalposts on earlier pledges, revising targets down. They failed to meet more recent targets they didn’t ‘revise’ down (though did try massaging the figures)[11/11]
Addition: forgot to include the link for the ‘ministers moving goalposts’ evidence.

You can find it here: tfn.scot/news/snp-slamm…
You can find Part Two of this series on calling out election lies & misleading antics here:
You can find part one of this series here:

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More from @DeanMThomson

28 Mar
Nicola Sturgeon, correctly, praises her constituency. Glasgow southside is populated by good, honest people.

But what has the First Minister actually achieved for her constituency? Well, reviewing the evidence, I say #VoteAnas in Glasgow Southside
[1/12]
The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) reveals Govanhill is ranked in the 10% ‘most deprived areas’ in income, education, housing and crime. Second most deprived in employment & health. (as of 2020)
[2/12] Image
If we flip to the 2016 SIMD map, we also see huge amounts of 'most deprived 10%' deprivation, around Govanhill. Some progress has been made, but not much. Not enough for those suffering severe deprivation.
[3/12] Image
Read 18 tweets
28 Mar
"If ⁦the SNP⁩ is re-elected in May, we will make sure every school pupil from P1 to S6 gets a laptop, Chromebook or tablet." - Nicola Sturgeon, 28 March 2021

Why didn't she do this last April?
[1/5] Image
'Thousands of laptops bought for vulnerable schoolchildren remain in storage', July 6th 2020

They weren't competent enough to distribute 25,000 laptops after spending £9m.

Vulnerable kids were left out in the cold during lockdown home-learning.
thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/local/… [2/5] Image
But don't mind all that, because @NicolaSturgeon got to make a few headline splashes today on her bid for re-election.

And we wonder why there is an educational attainment gap?
[3/5]
Read 5 tweets
28 Mar
"I intend to continue doing what I and the government have done for the last give years, is making the progress, taking the decisions, making the investments to progress [closing attainment gap]" Nicola Sturgeon, FMQs, March 24th

Let's analyse some of this.
[1/11]
➡️'Making the progress'

The FM talks about progress being made toward closing the attainment gap.

How accurate is it to claim progress has been made?
[2/11]
While the latest Audit Scotland report does speak of 'limited progress', this disguises a wider pattern of very real failure.

For example, data shows that 93.3% of 2019-20 school leavers were in a “positive destination".

Looks great, right? But wait...
[3/11]
Read 12 tweets
28 Mar
Remember when I put together my thread outlining why I thought Alex Salmond's intervention would hurt Nicola Sturgeon? [1/4]

Well, Mr Salmond's talk about taking to the streets to obtain independence is precisely the sort of thing I had in mind; hurting Nicola Sturgeon & the SNP. [2/4]

This is exactly the sort of thing I was referring to when I wrote:

➡️Mr Salmond is going to force Ms Sturgeon to keep returning to the constitutional question

➡️ SNP formidable PR machine cannot strategically control the narrative. [3/4]
Read 4 tweets
28 Mar
Trouble at mill for the SNP (but also for Alba)

'Alba technical fault reveals thousands of names who signed up for party events' reports the Sunday Herald.

And they report a few interesting names. [1/7] Image
The 'breach' happened because Alba Party website had a flaw in its design.

If someone registered to an Alba Party event on website, they were given a unique 'recruiter ID'. This ID allowed them to 'share' links to the Alba event with others, encourage them to also attend. [2/7]
"at least eight members of SNP's ruling body, National Executive Committee & its sub-committees appear to have registered for Alba events"

➡️Caroline McAllister - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1129
➡️Lynn Anderson - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1466
➡️Brian Lawson - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1019
[3/7]
Read 10 tweets
28 Mar
In the interests of being fair, let's do a thought experiment.

What might an SNP defence for their failure to tackle poverty in Scotland be?
They could claim savings and dividends are controlled by Westminster, that income tax isn't fully devolved...that might count as a factor in failing to tackle poverty levels (I'm thinking, presumably the SNP want a 'more progressive' tax system?)
But, given the primary levers that can be used to address poverty: health and social services, education, training, housing, economic development, and welfare are all devolved, I don't buy that excuse.
Read 4 tweets

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