The Global Standard for Mobile Association (GSMA) estimates that at the end of 2020, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America collectively had about 1.2 BILLION registered MOBILE money accounts.
Of these, over 425 million were used at least once in Q4 2020.
(4/8)
But a DeFi system would not have consumer protections. This is largely a 1st world demand.
GSMA shows that Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America do not really enjoy these protections now.
The lack of AML/KYC rules are not holding them back from adoption.
(5/8)
And they are already big players in the crypto space, according to this recent survey.
Note the coutnries at the top, and bottom, of this list.
Sum it up and a new DeFi world is coming, with or without our involvement. CeFi is going to get disrupted in ways they cannot imagine.
Wall Street already knows this. For the last 25 years or so, bank stocks cannot beat 0% Tbill returns.
Taxis in a ride-share world
(7/8)
But the wealth of the world is not in these countries. So, what can they do to force a DeFi standard?
They could demand that trade, including crude oil, industrial commodities, and finished products, be conducted in this new standard instead of to the U.S. dollar.
(8/8)
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By their nature, cryptocurrencies and decentralized finance (DeFi) are decentralized and permissionless. We are not sure how they would be ‘outlawed’, as Dalio describes in this story.
His example of gold being banned was only possible because of the government’s centralized system. Governments could ban the exchange of fiat for cryptocurrencies, but the DeFi system is being built to work on its own merit, with no ties to fiat.
(2/5)
Furthermore, countries that attempt to outlaw cryptocurrencies would risk their seat at the table. As the chart below shows, crypto adoption is highest among impoverished nations, lowest in the developed world.
What's wrong with politics? It is not red or blue. It is elderly versus not-elderly.
For 100 years the average age in the Senate (more so) and the House (less so) was fairly stable. But over the last 40 years the average age has sky rocketed.
(1/3)
If gets worse
Boomers (57-75) and the Silent Generation (76+) are WAY over-represented compared to their share of the wealth and population (noted on chart).
Generation X (41 to 56) and Millennials (26 to 40) are relatively under-represented.
(2/3)
Ditto the House
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Tech is generational and it is disrupting lives/business, both good/bad. How we use/regulate this tech is THE ISSUE moving forward. It folds into equality, climate and nearly everything else.
Our elderly leaders are not capable of understanding this.