We know there's been a lot of interest -- especially recently! -- in "how many shots are out there." Now you can see that, and see what's coming:
☝️This dataset is from the weekly CDC allocations, dated to the time of announcement (our best judgment on when doses are made "available" or "delivered" to the federal gov.). We've also recreated a history of non-CDC-allocated doses, which get announced by the WH.
There are a few holes -- we don't have one week of the federal direct allocation from the White House. (Hi @SpoxHHS!) And the White House doesn't provide manfacturer breakdowns -- thus the "unknown" category.
But it's the best historical and future dataset we could put together on vaccine deliveries in the U.S. and whether manufacturers like Pfizer, Moderna and J&J have been meeting their delivery promises.
We'll update these data once a week, when the government announces new numbers (usually Tuesdays).
And a huge 🎩-tip to @cedricsam@andretartar for pulling this visual together and helping wrangle the data, and to @tsrandall for making it all make sense.
This is a one-day record -- the second in a row. (The 4.5M day a big ago is an artifact of CDC's data reporting, which we'll correct if we can but.... it's a bit complicated.)
We're seeing surges in vaccines being shipped, lots more places to administer them, and an expansion of eligibility. No surprise the numbers are going up, here.
🧵2/ If past trends hold, we could be in for some very big numbers this weekend. (Saturdays and Sundays have been among our biggest days, typically.)
3/ There may also be some catch-up action going on here, so treat this number with a grain of salt. We know there were some states (texas) with some reporting delays earlier this week.
This is one frustration of having to rely entirely on CDC data after their methodology switch.
Our methodology blog post also has (from CDC) what the number today *would* have been with a normal pull time. You can find it here (it's still a lot):
⚠️This is a huge number that's 50% bigger than we've ever seen. it's possible there's some sort of data/methodological reason for this. We are investigating and will post a blog/more tweets if we find out something more.
In the meantime, <sportscenter voice> THAT'S A BIG ONE
There are some states here that are all having record days: Take a look at Cali, NY, Mississippi, North Carolina:
⚠️Data note: We made a chance to our NYC methodology that brings it in line with the rest of the U.S. The % of people vaccinated now reflects residents, not place of vaccination. The resulted in a change to our NYC %s.