Thread by @sway_hi

Since yesterday there has been plenty brouhaha on "resumption of trade between India and Pakistan ", many well meaning people are jumping and cursing the govt. Here's my two bit on how this will hasten Pakistan's economic collapse. (1)

First of all this "resumption of trade" is an ambiguous term. We are as off now only planning to export to Pakistan. This means they will pay in their currency which is severely devalued compared to ours for our farm produce. (2)

Second given the shambles that Pakistan is in currently it can be safely assumed that they have neither the economic heft nor the expertise to argue or even produce stuff to sell to India for the next couple of years. (3)

Third, once Pakistani economy, life becomes dependent on produce from India, it will become that much easier to cause deep seated economic turmoil in their country should they ever pose a threat to India. Remember the jokes on lack of Indian tomatoes etc.(4)

Fourth this is exactly what has been done by China over the years. In the guise of help, they have loaned large sums to smaller countries, knowing fully well that they cannot pay back. Then they have taken over the asset built by them in those countries. Eg. Srilanka. (5)

This Chinese methodology for lack of a shorter term can be called, Imperialism by Debt Trap. (6)

Fifth that this is a good time to do so, given the fact that Pakistan is largely without friends in Middle East and now running out of donors, including China which is interested in return of its fund.(7)

It's a bit sad that I have to put all the possible strategies of this govt here on Twitter, coz folks are very quick to judge.
In any case I hope this helps in understanding how things stand in this context. Please feel free to add if I have missed out. Regards

*one small correction Pakistan will have to pay us in $, € or ₹ which implies that the Pakistani currency will devalue more with respect to the other currency. Devaluation of currency can lead to more inflation and economic collapse!