1/ Costco has always fascinated me.

Costco makes essentially $0 in profit from product sales, since it basically sells goods at cost. Instead, it charges a membership fee that is almost 100% margin.

Here are some of my favorite slides from a great overview by @minesafety 👇
2/ At a time when physical retail is struggling, Costco is thriving. It keeps opening more and more new stores.
3/ But Costco makes virtually $0 on merchandise. It sells products for dirt cheap, guaranteeing lowest prices.

*But* Costco charges $60/year to be a "member". Membership revenue is almost *pure profit*.

Costco has 50 million members & 25% of US households have a Costco card.
4/ Low prices create a nice flywheel. Low prices bring in more members, which boosts revenue. Huge sales volume gives Costco massive leverage with suppliers, letting them offer even lower prices. The cycle repeats.
5/ How Costco cuts cost is also fascinating.

First, it offers a limited selection. Costco offers 4,000 products compared to Walmart's 120,000 and Amazon's 600,000,000.

Customers get one choice of ketchup, one choice of shaving cream, etc.
6/ This means Costco is often the supplier's largest customer, giving Costco massive leverage. Costco gets products from suppliers at the best costs.

Fewer products also reduces complexity, letting Costco be more productive & profitable per employee.
7/ Costco also sells in bulk, which makes people buy more while thinking they're getting a great deal.

Selling in bulk also makes it harder for people to steal products! Costco only loses 0.2% of revenue to theft each year, 80% lower than Walmart.
8/ Costco also doesn't have a warehouse: the store *is* the warehouse. There's no "back room".

Forklifts take products right from the delivery truck to the store floor, dramatically cutting labor and real estate costs.
9/ Costco also doesn't label aisles. It's a barebones shopping experience & people have to wander the entire cavernous store to find things.

The warehouse approach boosts Costco's revenue per sq ft and profit per sq ft over rivals.
10/ In a lesson that other retailers can learn from, Costco treats its employees well.

The avg US retail employee makes $12/hour. The avg Costco employee makes $22/hr and receives health insurance and a 401k.

Annual turnover is only 5%, compared to the industry average of 59%.
11/ “In order to reward the shareholder in the long term, you have to please your customers & workers. You've got to get the very best people that you can & you want to be able to keep them & provide some job security. That's not just altruism, it's good business.” - former CEO
12/ It's *all* about low prices:

“Many retailers look at an item and say, I’m selling this for $10. How can I sell it for $11? We look at it and say, How can we get it to $9? And then, How can we get it to $8? It is contrary to the thinking of a retailer." - former CEO
13/ Read the full presentation from @MineSafety here:

dropbox.com/s/7hohqj3rl2uv…
14/ To summarize: Costco has an innovative business model: maniacally focused on low prices & customer service, while cleverly operating to cut costs at every opportunity.

And it's working:
$160B sales
98% from merchandise
2% from membership fees
8% annual growth since 2000

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More from @rex_woodbury

31 Mar
1) One passage from the excellent Bloomberg profile of Ryan Kaji, the highest-paid YouTuber in the world, stood out to me (highlighted below).

Ryan now makes more of his money from commerce than from advertising. This embodies a broader shift that's happening for creators. Image
2) Ad revenue often isn’t enough to support creators, who are the lifeblood of the internet. One study found that reaching the top 3.5% of YouTube channels—which means about 1M views each month—only gets you $12,000 to $16,000 a year. That’s right around the federal poverty line.
3) ~97% of YouTube creators aren’t making minimum wage on YouTube.

One popular YouTuber, Shelby Church, wrote a blog post about how getting 3,907,000 views on a video only made her $1,276.
Read 4 tweets
11 Mar
Business model innovation is the most interesting & important trend in consumer internet right now.

The last generation of internet giants made money with ads. The next generation will make money in more diversified & innovative ways.

👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
1) When the internet started out, people weren’t yet comfortable transacting online; ads let internet sites remain free & accessible to anyone.

This coincided with a post-9/11 erosion of privacy. We’re seeing the effects today in the invasiveness of Google & Facebook ads.
2) Our renewed focus on privacy is in part fueling a backlash to ad-based models.

But even if consumers wanted ads, ad-based models are less & less attractive. The Google / Facebook duopoly gobbles up 77 cents of every $1 spent on digital advertising.
Read 9 tweets
9 Mar
Oprah's interview with Meghan & Harry feels like a good time to point out how extraordinary Oprah is.

Short thread on the "Queen of All Media"👇 Image
1) Oprah was born into poverty in rural Mississippi to a single teen mom. At 14, Oprah was molested & got pregnant. Her son was born prematurely & died as an infant.

Oprah re-enrolled in school set on forging a new life. "I'm gonna be famous," she told anyone who would listen.
2) Oprah rose through the ranks of radio & then TV. Her relatability was obvious. Here's a conversation between Oprah & her first producer:

Oprah: You know I’m black?

Producer: Yeah, I can see that.

Oprah: You know I’m overweight?

Producer: So are many Americans.
Read 9 tweets
9 Feb
Education is the sector that will change most fundamentally post-COVID.

Five trends I'm finding interesting are:

1️⃣ Tutoring Marketplaces
2️⃣ Edutainment
3️⃣ Business-in-a-Box Platforms
4️⃣ Reskilling Workers
5️⃣ Unbundling College

👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
1) Of the 5 most-valuable education startups in the world, 4 are tutoring businesses. All 4 are in China & India.

Only 2% of U.S. household income is spent on supplemental education vs. 40% in China.

COVID will drive a meaningful uptick in U.S. spend & P2P tutoring models.
2) The lines between education and entertainment will continue to blur.

This accelerated during the pandemic, with more kids watching YouTube & playing Roblox & Minecraft.

Established startups like @duolingo & newer startups like @playhellosaurus will continue this trend.
Read 7 tweets
12 Jan
When I worked at The Rise Fund, TPG’s $4B impact investing platform, we developed a way to measure & track social impact.

Here's a short thread on how we did it

👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
1) We called our framework the Impact Multiple of Money (IMM)

You can think of the IMM like you think of the Multiple of Money for financial returns. Just as an investor may earn a 3x financial return on her investment (3x MoM), she may also earn a 3x impact return (3x IMM)
2) Here's an example:

Dodla Dairy is the 3rd-largest dairy producer in India

Working with Dodla, low-income farmers enter long-term contracts that offer reliable daily purchases of milk. This doubles annual income for Dodla’s 250,000 farmers.

Here's how the math might work:
Read 6 tweets

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