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Shawn Donnan Profile picture
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6 Apr, 5 tweets, 2 min read
The challenge for the US here is that the US doesn’t set tax policy in other countries. And that policy makers in other countries don’t have to look back very far to see a very different message coming out of the White House...
And how do you enforce it? Here’s a reminder of how the EU’s efforts to force Apple to pay higher taxes in Ireland have gone: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Meanwhile the US is about to embark on a big push likely to involve tax incentives to lure semiconductor production back to the US... bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
None of that means that getting corporations to pay a fair share around the world isn’t a good idea. But getting others to change their domestic policies to respond to your desires and interests is never easy...

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More from @sdonnan

Shawn Donnan Profile picture
7 Apr
We need to talk about the middle class.

For decades the idea guiding business decisions around the world has been that of an ever-growing new middle in emerging economies.

Well you can add that to the list of economic truths upended by this pandemic.

bloomberg.com/features/2021-… Image
The global middle class - there's 2.5bn people out there earning $10-50/day - shrank last year for the first time since the 1990s.

And as @GitaGopinath warned this week that's not the end of the story. Developing economies are recovering far slower than places like the US.
As @carmenmreinhart told us the global economy is "bifurcating".

It sure looks like the world is pivoting from an era of economic convergence between the rich and poor worlds to one of divergence.

But that's not just a story about data. It's about people.

Meet Ravi Sharma. Image
Read 12 tweets
Shawn Donnan Profile picture
11 Mar
Biden’s about to test just how much bipartisan backing there is for a new American industrial policy. But the forces he’s taking on in his bid to boost manufacturing aren’t just political...

My latest for ⁦@BW⁩:
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
One big hurdle: How do you make producing in US cost-competitive?

GE Lighting last week shut down a line at its plant in Bucyrus, Ohio, that made LED bulbs. They spent a year and millions trying to make it cost-competitive. And the company says they just couldn’t...
Another: In all likelihood the dollar is going to appreciate significantly in the coming year or two as the economy accelerated faster than others. That’s going to hit the bottom line of folks producing in America for export markets.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 12 tweets
Shawn Donnan Profile picture
25 Feb
And we're off with Katherine Tai's confirmation hearing... Chairman Ron Wyden kicks it off with a call for "smarter, stronger" US trade policy... "Four more years of mean tweets and chaos from the White House won't cut it..."

finance.senate.gov
Here's five questions I'd like to see senators ask @USTradeRep nominee Katherine Tai:

bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Interesting shot fired by Mike Crapo in his opening statement re the Biden plan to hit the pause button on new trade deals. He's pushing for Biden to go forward with a deal with the UK. Now pointing to China and RCEP... He's calling for "energetic and effective" trade policy.
Read 42 tweets
Shawn Donnan Profile picture
25 Feb
Today in why context matters...

The initial jobless claims data out this morning points to what some are calling a "sharp fall" in weekly claims.

Claims last week were 3.5x what they were a year ago. The 4-week moving average was almost 4x.
And that doesn't include special programs set up in response to the pandemic that the latest data show covering >12m of the >19m in the US claiming or receiving unemployment benefits.

Another bit of context: 19m is the population of New York state.
Another bit of context:

The decline was largely due to the extreme weather that hit a large swathe of the US last week, as @joebrusuelas points out here: realeconomy.rsmus.com/initial-jobles…
Read 5 tweets
Shawn Donnan Profile picture
24 Feb
Been thinking about this lovely piece by my former colleague @JoshuaChaffin... My initial take on the 5 I’d invite to dinner was: Philip Roth, Don Delillo, Jan Morris. Nina Simone and Tim Flannery (Aussie polyglot). But I’m having doubts.

Your 5?

ft.com/content/75f76d…
My main qualm is I’m worried that I have too many ornery people on my list... I’m pretty sure I’d just end up in a corner talking to Jan, Nina and Tim while Philip and Don grunted at each other in a corner.
Then again I bet Don mixes a mean Old Fashioned... And Philip would bring a nice bottle of wine...
Read 6 tweets
Shawn Donnan Profile picture
6 Oct 20
If you scratch the surface of this economic crisis it’s not hard to find the legacy of the last... In Cleveland you can find it in the churn in ownership of rental properties in Black neighborhoods. One house we looked at traded hands 7x in two years... 1/ bloomberg.com/news/features/…
11410 Clarebird Ave was essentially owned by two families between 1975 and the early 2000s.

It peaked in value in 2004 at $93k.

Last year it sold to its current owner, a company called BL US1 LLC, for just over $65k.

In other words in 15 yrs it lost a third of its value.
Who is behind BL US1 LLC? All we know is that it is a French investor... Yes... French... And the $900:month rent meant they were getting a 16% gross annual return on their investment... 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets

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