NYT map is useful. 90% of the #NM01 vote comes from Bernallillo County, which shifted left in 2020 = blue is "bluer since 2016."

Story for both parties was less racial politics, more local party leaders picking the candidates who'd won swing seats.
And I forgot the map! But you see it here - some precincts where Rs gained over 2016, a lot more where Dems gained. Crucial context: In 2016, Gary Johnson was on the ballot. Most of his protest voters ended up going Dem in 2020. Image
GOP candidate's first TV ad doesn't mention that he's a Republican or that he has some Hispanic heritage. Not impossible for GOP but tough. It's just notable that a state party that challenged the 2020 electoral vote recruited a less ideological-sounding R
This is a departure from the 2017 PA election, where both parties held conventions - Rs went with a less appealing right-winger, Ds went with Conor Lamb.

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More from @daveweigel

7 Apr
Right, the boycotts aren't new, and liberals working to bring corporations into fights isn't new. What's new and interesting is a GOP debate about actual legislation to punish companies that take political stands.
"That's hypocritical!" is a boring way into a story but this is fascinating bc there are *decades* of conservative arguments about not punishing CEOs or companies when they take political stands. See @jonathanchait nymag.com/intelligencer/… Image
Like let's say Illinois Democrats were angry with Richard Uihlein over his millions of dollars of donations to GOP groups, including a group that organized Jan. 6 election conspiracy protests. 1/2
Read 4 tweets
19 Mar
The issue was that Biden's opponents went all-in on it and lowered the bar so that when Biden showed up and did fine in a debate (both the final one w Sanders and the Trump ones) he shattered expectations.
It was odd as a *campaign issue* bc Biden happened to be running against two fellow old guys, one (Sanders) who beat a heart attack, one (Trump) whose doctor insisted he had superpowers.
Also the fast pivot to conspiracy theories tends to help Biden by making the criticism sound crazy. Before he did "Stop the Steal," Ali Alexander had a whole campaign insisting that Biden secretly had Parkinson's based on an analysis of him walking.
Read 4 tweets
9 Mar
My theory here is that the most easily mocked Biden traits - he's an old guy who forgets stuff and repeats catch phrases - has too much overlap w Trump's attack lines and comedians don't want to indulge that
Also one of Biden's go-to remarks is about missing dead family members, the "hole in your chest," etc, which is not comedy gold
It's pretty clear that SNL writers regret building up Trump in 2015 and making so much fun of Hillary, which explains their light touch on Warren and inability to find a Biden gag
Read 4 tweets
4 Mar
*writhing in pain like a T-1000 dumped into molten metal*
The Casablanca franchise. The Casablanca franchise! I want to drive a car off a cliff
Casablanca: ORIGINS, starring Alden Ehrenreich as Rick and Miley Cyrus as Ilsa
Read 4 tweets
26 Feb
"The left, of course, does hate the bill of rights," Sen. Mike Lee says. "Why? Because the bill of rights says what things the government can't do." #CPAC2021
Lee giving a mini-lecture on constitutional history. It's the usual Lee role at CPAC - this year it's part of a series of Constitution speeches running through the weekend. #CPAC2021
Lee says "the people of California are recalling their governor" because "they can enjoy a 5-star meal at the French Laundry but they can't go to church."

(The recall isn't set yet; petitioners have 1.8 million signatures, while Newsom won in 2018 with 7.7 million votes.)
Read 4 tweets
26 Feb
I was just thinking about this at CPAC; when was the last time that a defeated president held total control over his party, and the sitting president didn’t? Democrats see Biden as an ally who needs to be pushed on some issues, they don’t take cues from him.
The main GOP critique of Biden is right: He used to be more moderate and has evolved left, leading a party that’s moved even further left, and he’s not in control or that. Compare to Trump, who’s gotten the party to abandon debates or policies it had for years.
Anyway, I had the thought at CPAC because Biden *won the election* but I cannot imagine going to Netroots or something and seeing half the crowd decked in Biden merch.
Read 4 tweets

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