Lagos state records1.6m cars on its road daily according to the MOT. 227 cars per km compared to the national average of 11 cars per km. The state is built up, right of ways gone, no hope for new roads or further expansion. A PPP driven mass transit system
Is the way forward. Out of the 1.6m cars, about 300,000 are commercial cars.

Trains are expensive so quick wins are PPP managed mass transit buses. The state doesn't need to fund it, the potential is huge. The state needs to regulate, LAMATA is the regulator not NURTW.
As a governor, I will dimension the problems

1. I need 1m people to drop their cars and embrace public transportation in few years.

2. How do they spend on fuel and car maintenance monthly?

3. How much will they spend if they use buses?
1 million car users who spend 1,000 each on a daily basis = N1bn daily revenue outside the danfo system. Don't disrupt that yet.

So I will create incentives, tax breaks for using the public system instead of your car. 2 free trips a week.
Two free trips on a weekly basis will tilt the revenue in the short term but it's still huge for any investor to latch on.

I will get a tech company to aggregate users, get their data, income bracket, type of car used, house address, time spent in transit daily etc.
I won't charge any fees for park and ride in the short term. Parking is free as long as you can provide your bus ticket for the trip. Parking fees of N500 - N1000 + cost of bus ticket may be a barrier.

The buses will run on LPG because I need to keep my costs flat.
Tech, bus investors, LPG suppliers, ticketing companies, drivers, mechanics, parking lot operators will create taxable income in the long run for the state.

I will concession the bus stops to private operators, they must be clean, secured, WiFi enabled, friendly to use etc.
Bus stop owners will get a share of the income depending on the usage of their facility.

The danfo system is not my headache, I need 1m people to drop their cars so that the roads can be free since I cannot construct roads.

Road construction is more expensive.
No need for BRT lanes and BRT bus parks. All I need to do is to create a system that will get at least 1m cars off the road on a daily basis. The roads will be free.

When I am done with car owners, I will sit down with danfo users and danfo owners.
1m car uses will fit into 15,000 eighty seater buses. With all routes properly mapped. In the next 15 years, Lagos state will have no land to build roads except across the waters. Especially on the island.
The danfo system will be the next point of call. That is a discussion for another day..

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Dr. Guendouzi ( The Cerebral Assassin )

Dr. Guendouzi ( The Cerebral Assassin ) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @fimiletoks

6 Apr
Let's be serious for once in this country. How many hospitals did GEJ your boss build? Point at one health facility built by GEJ. Obasanjo revamped our teaching hospitals with VAMED engineering, GEJ couldn't maintain them, allowed equipment rot away in containers..
Some equipment didn't leave the ports.
Even if we want to abuse this present administration this is the second time teaching hospitals will be undergoing revamp.

- 3 state of art Diagnostics and cancer centres in LUTH, Aminu Kano and Umuahia

- NCDC PCR laboratories
- PCR laboratories in several states for virology samples
- CBN intervention fund for healthcare
- CBN healthcare research grants
- Basic Healthcare provision fund disbursed to states to revamp PHCs each state got $1.5m.
- capital projects ongoing in major teaching hospitals
Read 4 tweets
6 Apr
Here is the budget breakdown for LUTH and UCH. The FG practically funds the hospital 100%. LUTH has a personnel cost of N8bn while UCH has N13bn. These personnel costs are 20 - 40 times the capital expenditure. This is a yearly recurrent cost sunk into salaries.
The FG also make provisions for other items, clears debts incurred by patients who are unable to pay for services, equip these hospitals and maintain the equipment.

12 years after leaving the teaching hospital, the prices haven't changed,fees have remained stagnant for 20 years
While salaries have gone up multiple times, cost of drugs, cost of equipment, cost of consumables have gone up in multiple folds.

Why should the FG incur personnel cost? 50 year old institutions that cannot pay their personnel costs..
Read 5 tweets
3 Apr
During my internship days in UITH, we used to refer patients to Olaolu Hospital in Ilorin for CT scan. I found it surprising that Olaolu Hospital, a small clinic could maintain a CT scan while UITH couldn't. Let's forget the difference in the cost of the service..
Olaolu pays its workers, buys diesel, pay taxes and maintains its facility so they have to price higher and the difference wasn't too significant. UITH doesn't pay salaries, salaries are paid by FG, diesel is bought from recurrent expenditure, the facility is maintained by FG.
Major expenses are borne by the FG so the cost of services rendered should be lower, since they don't suffer a huge opex yet they couldn't ensure their CT scan was functional.
It's govt property, nobody cares if the machine makes money or not. Nobody cares if the patients suffer
Read 4 tweets
3 Apr
After the conclusion of your internship as a doctor, there is a likelihood that your name will remain on the payroll for years. Your salary will be paid to accounts operated by cartels. Internship quotas are exceeded by most hospitals but they can't submit names.
As requested by MDCN, 23 hospitals can't provide accurate data of House officers on their payroll yet they claim that their quota was exceeded.
We have doctors struggling to get internship positions after graduation all over the country. How many doctors do we produce yearly?
Why is it so hard to get internship positions for Approximately 3,000 new doctors yearly. House officers are overworked, covering 72hrs shifts. A learning process has been turned to a casual labour scheme with padded payroll system.
Read 5 tweets
26 Mar
Please stop distorting history. Oil prices didn't tank in 1983, oil sold at $29 per barrel in 1979, went as high as $34 in 1981 and dipped back to $29 in 1983. Pre 1979 oil was sold between $10 - $12 per barrel. For Shagari in 1979, it was bazaar because Oil was double the price
Price decrease in Oil was $3 from the previous year. Increase was from $12 in 1978 to $29 per barrel in 1979 when Shagari became president. It was a windfall..the price remained steady till 1983. Failure to pay salaries / bankruptcy was due to mismanagement and corruption.
Shagari was ousted by a coup on the 31st of December 1983.

Oil price "tanked" in 1986 from an average of $29 back to $12 ( 50% decrease in price ) and IBB brought Structural Adjustment Program.

Oil price tanked in 1998 to from $20 per barrel in 1996 to $12
Read 5 tweets
16 Mar
You guys are becoming so irresponsible. What is CBN's business with a service provided by Telco's and Banks? Is CBN in charge of MTN, Airtel and Glo services? Telcos provide the service and they have agreed to charge a flat rate or N7.00 instead of the N4.00 per session / 20secs
What do you gain by constantly mis-informing the public? USSD is a service provided by telcos to banks just like mobile calls and Internet services.

What exactly is your mission?
The flat rate is a reduction compared to the N4.00 per session / 20secs previously charge especially for services that require multiple sessions. The service is not free from the Telcos.
In South Africa, USSD services cost R.20 per 20 secs which is approximately N6.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!