1/
#Bitcoin update

As I see many discussions on whether #Bitcoin has printed a top, there is a clear answer: NO.

Various metrics support this, but just look at the #Bitcoin supply distribution in late 2017 vs now, which I have not commented on so intensively so far:
2/
In late 2017 80% of supply was concentrated at 8.1k and below. The peak was around 19.6k. A ratio of 2.4. Everything above 8.1k was only backed by 20% of supply!
3/
Today, 80% of supply is concentrated at 40.0k and below. The peak was around 61.6k. A ratio of only 1.5. The higher price regions today have much stronger price support.
4/
Again, I believe we are in a healthy consolidation that is building strong price support for the next leg up as previously shown here

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More from @2210ft

12 Apr
#Bitcoin update
1/n
Today: Volatility Analysis.

The next leg up could take us to >100k if volatility dynamics repeat from past cycle.

Thread👇
2/n The first indicator "ATR-Ratio" shows the ratio of short term (10 days) to medium term volatility (100 days). Higher values indicate higher volatility then trend and vice versa.
3/n
In early 2017, we have interestingly seen a very similar volatility pattern to the current one, i.e. a pattern with three spikes followed by very low vola until late April. The next move higher in 2017 was over 2x from there.
Read 6 tweets

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