What’s worse than losing school days during pandemic? Losing a parent.
Nearly ~40,000 children have lost a parent to #COVID19, black children even more.
"The number of children experiencing a parent dying of Covid-19 is staggering.”
2) "Black children are disproportionately affected, comprising only 14% of children in the US but 20% of those losing a parent to Covid-19."
3) “The model suggests that each Covid-19 death leaves 0.078 children aged between 0 and 17 parentally bereaved, representing a 17.5% to 20.2% increase in parental bereavement absent of Covid-19”
4) “"As of February 2021, 37,300 children aged 0 to 17 years had lost at least 1 parent due to Covid-19, three-quarters of whom were adolescents," says the research letter.
5) “When the authors factored in excess deaths, they estimated that 43,000 children have lost a parent and looking at a natural herd immunity strategy which resulted in 1.5 million deaths "demonstrates the potential effect of inaction: 116,900 parentally bereaved children."
6) US isn’t alone. In one school in France, 1 in 100 student lost a mother or father to COVID19.
7) Here is what exactly the new US study says—“As of February 2021, 37 300 children aged 0 to 17 years had lost at least 1 parent due to COVID-19, three-quarters of whom were adolescents (Table).
8) “Of these, 20 600 were non-Hispanic White children and 7600 were non-Hispanic Black children. When we rely on excess deaths, we estimate that 43 000 children have lost a parent.
9) “A natural herd immunity strategy that results in 1.5 mil deaths demonstrates the potential effect of inaction: 116 900 parentally bereaved children.”
➡️Translation: Trump advisor Scott Atlas would have caused not only pandemicide but also ~117k children to lose a parent. ⚠️
10) Thus I wholeheartedly agree that “Parentally bereaved children will also need targeted support to help with grief, particularly during this period of heightened social isolation”
11) “The establishment of a national child bereavement cohort could identify children who have lost parents, monitor them for early identification of challenges, link them to local care, and form a longitudinal study of the long-term effects of mass parental bereavement”
12) NOTA BENE—
📍Children bring viruses home and infect adults. How do we know? 3 million person dataset tells us so.
If we spot a shark in the ocean—we don’t know if it’s a:
📌fake shark?
📌just one shark?
📌what kind of shark?
📌how many other sharks are there?
➡️we clear the water first while we investigate for few days. If we don’t, “Shark-gate” coverup & loss of trust will be far worse.🧵
2) And yes I know as an epidemiologist the pandemic is much worse. The overall benefits FAR outweigh the risk. Definitely still vaccinate.
I’m simply explaining the CDC and FDA’s logic today for the brief temporary pause.
3) Just imagine if the CDC or FDA didn’t pause to investigate— the Shark-gate scandal stories would be infinitely worse and cause some degree of loss of trust of everything FDA has approved or emergency authorized, and fuel vaccine skepticism if the scandal gets out of control.
CDC: Airborne #COVID19 transmission is real. Socially distance too.
Movie theater: Okay! See, look how safe we are!
Epidemiologists & aerosol scientists: 🤦🏻♂️
2) How is aerosol different from large droplets? aerosol study indicates that coronavirus is persistent and stable for many hours. Typical air exchange every 20 min to 4 hrs, depending on ventilation. #COVID19
3) VENTILATION is key. Both ventilation and masks needed to reduce risk indoors. But most buildings not ventilated well enough.
📍The #B1351 🇿🇦 variant’s sudden outbreak in south London continues, now 44 cases. London starting “largest surge testing operation to date”, people who live, work or travel through area getting PCR & biweekly rapid tests. All positive PCR to be sequenced. theguardian.com/world/2021/apr…
2) Why a concern? “The strain, named B1351, has been classed a “variant of concern” as it appears to be more resistant to existing vaccines. It carries a mutation, E484K, which helps the virus evade the immunity conferred by past infection or vaccination.
3) “South Africa suspended its use of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine in February after the results from a small trial in young people suggested the jab prevented only 10% of mild or moderate disease caused by the variant.
Brief pause—FDA and CDC on Tuesday will call for a “pause in use of Johnson & Johnson’s single-dose vaccine after six recipients in US developed a rare disorder involving blood clots” while US investigates. #COVID19#CovidVaccine nytimes.com/2021/04/13/us/…
2) “Today FDA and @CDCgov issued a statement regarding the Johnson & Johnson #COVID19 vaccine. We are recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution,” the F.D.A. announced on Twitter at 7 a.m. A news conference is scheduled for 10 a.m.
3) Scientists with the Food and Drug Administration and C.D.C. will jointly examine possible links between the vaccine and the disorder and determine whether the F.D.A. should continue to authorize use of the vaccine for all adults or limit the authorization.
Sweden 🇸🇪 has the highest #COVID19 per capita in Europe for the past week! Its Scandinavian neighbors that didn’t negligently go for natural infection herd... all among the lowest.
Swedish pandemic leadership is an utter failure and likely responsible for pandemicide. 🧵
2) Proof is also in the Swedish excess deaths.... Sweden is the only country in Scandinavia with any.