Fantastic conversation with @yliownyc who has thought deeply about game selection/strategy, training, process, and execution.

"Barriers to entry in this business are exceedingly low. Barriers to excellence are incredibly high."
"Our quest is finding durable, brisk compounders. We find them in inefficient volatility. The separation between price volatility and business volatility is ridiculously important. We can exploit volatility [if business value is stable.] If both fluctuate it's very difficult."
"We had some extraordinary right-tail investors in very large markets. How is that even possible? Most of the time, these are very efficient markets. But there are always occasions, and you don't need many a year, where they go inefficient for a moment."
Patience:
"The biggest challenge with a compounder portfolio is you got to be extremely patient, both holding them and waiting for them. In 2017, we bought one stock for 17 months. When you have a big analyst team and you buy one stock for 17 months, it drives them crazy."
"My source of strength comes from the quality of our businesses, the quality of the people we partner with, and the quality of my team.

My source of patience comes from earnings power. We focus on potential energy in our portfolio. Our portfolio is either coiling or performing."
Game selection: "I switched from variant perception to unfair fights."

Authenticity: match strategy with personal talent, temperament.

"Just because you know what's the right thing to do, doesn't mean you can do it. Anybody who's had a golf or tennis lesson should know that."
Talk covering similar topics from the ground up.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Frederik 'Neckar'

Frederik 'Neckar' Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @NeckarValue

13 Apr
In 1987, six college friends made $30 million with their new trading firm.

Today they're billionaires, having proven themselves on the trading floor, in poker rooms, on race tracks, even in startups.

"In the choice of fame and fortune, they chose fortune."
The story starts with Jeffrey Yass. He was born in 1958 and grew up in Queens. His father was an accountant and ran a small fintech company called Datatab.

When he received warrants he explained the instrument to his son and they studied the financial pages together. Image
Yass made first trade in high school (through his Dad), buying options on Alcoa!

"I'd see options in the newspaper and I would realize that mathematically they couldn't be right, that you could buy one and sell the other and the odds would be in your favor."
Read 26 tweets
11 Apr
A friend recommended this book and I've started practicing this "gratefulness flow." Would recommend.

Throughout the day, especially when I feel negativity clouding me or inner criticism lashing out at me, I try to stop and say: "Ten things I'm grateful for. Go!"
I start with something basic. "I'm grateful I'm healthy."

Or my vision. It used to be bad. Like -6.5 bad. After my divorce I splurged on laser surgery because why not. It's a minor miracle that I can see things clearly. All. The. time. Remembering that instantly changes my mood.
My next thought is often about my family. One by one, I'm grateful for their health. What a different day it would be if someone was ill.

"A healthy man has many wishes, a sick man only one."
Read 4 tweets
11 Apr
Notes from a recent talk by @yliownyc about training, edge, game selection.

"What is your plan to be among the best performers?"
"Are you even the top 5% version of you?"
- Never fight fair fights
- Train hard
- Do good things with good people ('play infinite games')
What you can decide today (=what is in your control):
- How fast you learn
- How successful you *can* be

"Quality of your life sits on the other side of
focused effort (and tremendous struggle)"
Read 12 tweets
10 Apr
Ray Dalio in 2000, on the history of predicting the future:
"most people who experienced consistent reinforcement for 10 years were inclined to believe that this would continue indefinitely"

academia.edu/33406891/Bridg…
"At the end of the 60’s I remember most believed that managing an economy is like managing most things, we get better at it with time; it is why we could expect even lower volatility in the future.

This view was held just prior to the one of the most volatile decades ever."
"I feel my understanding of the world economy is reasonably intimate going back to the 1920’s, meaning that I believe that I have both an intellectual and visceral sense of what they were like."

"I have learned that dramatic change is the norm and to doubt the new era theories."
Read 10 tweets
9 Apr
For the history nerds: the American Archive of Public Broadcasting has old episodes of Louis Rukeyser's Wall Street Week.
As I understand, watching the video is only possible with a US IP address.
americanarchive.org/special_collec…
Peter Lynch, June 1980: "I think the biggest mistake is investors don't know what they own."
americanarchive.org/catalog/cpb-aa…
Posted quotes from Lynch's different appearances here:
Read 12 tweets
9 Apr
Jeff Bezos on decision making:
If a decision is consequential and (nearly) irreversible: analyze carefully, wait to get more information.

If the decision can be reversed or is inconsequential: decide quickly and don't let it kill your momentum.
s2.q4cdn.com/299287126/file…
I tell myself as I agonize for weeks about a new logo or changing my avatar
"The biggest risk to irreversible decisions is deciding before you need to. The biggest risk to reversible ones is waiting until the last minute.
Make reversible decisions as soon as possible and irreversible decisions as late as possible."
@ShaneAParrish
fs.blog/2018/04/revers…
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!