It’s a pity to see Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, someone who often has insight to offer, shredding his credibility in @Telegraph with near hysterical claims of a Brexit miracle.

One can only imagine the ... input received from on high which persuaded him to write it.

A short 🧵/1.
It’s notable that Mr Evans-Pritchard’s positive predictions for relatively higher UK than EU growth depend on the UK vaccination effort being more effective, sooner than the EU’s. And on large numbers of Hong Kong migrants settling in the UK. /2.
The former remains to be seen. There’s a lot of excitable betting on the UK hare beating the EU tortoise. Let’s wait a short while to find out. (Germany vaccinated 740,000 people yesterday).

The latter is, of course, every Brexit voter’s dream. /3.
Mr Evans-Pritchard doesn’t believe his own rhetoric. Or, if he does, he has a strange way of showing it. The article claims, by sleight of journalistic hand & attacking a straw man of “excessive negativity”, that Brexit has created a Wirtschaftswunder. /4.
Yet it quickly becomes clear the basis for this (purported) miraculous deliverance is vaccination, nothing to do with Brexit, & immigration, the antithesis of Brexit (unless Mr Evans-Pritchard knows something the rest of us don’t). /5.
And, channeling Mr Rees-Mogg, he finally reveals he hasn’t any notion whether Brexit is or isn’t a good idea & wants us all to wait a generation before deciding.

As a way of running his personal life: crazy, but fine if that floats his boat. Running a country? No thanks. /6. End

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More from @AndrewPRLevi

16 Apr
Many thanks for responses to this tweet 👇

I’ll add some context in this short 🧵.

First, why did I send it?

Because of widespread confusion & even delusion on two points:

(a) no one outside the UK voted for Brexit. Not Ireland. Not the EU. No one. The problems .../1.
...arising from Brexit aren’t for them to solve.

Claiming what you’ve messed up can’t have been you & it’s someone else’s business to clean up may (sometimes) be amusing or even charming in a three year old. Not a in national government, or .../2.
... among major media outlets & millions of adult voters;

(b) the fact two of the UK’s primary constituent parts (“home nations”) voted Remain, along with many of the UK’s main cities, including London, is highly significant. Because it’s one of the principal factors .../3.
Read 13 tweets
14 Apr
It’s truly painful to watch James Dyson delivering a hodgepodge of pure nonsense about the benefits of Brexit. He founded & leads a successful business. Yet every “fact” is wrong.

All he has left is emotion.

He must know it.

What does it tell us that he says it anyway? A 🧵/1.
He may believe “independence of spirit” & personal determination explain his success. He has both, in quantities which set him apart from most people. Yet even if it were the reason (spoiler: it isn’t), compared to the UK his business is tiny, simple & profoundly different. /2.
Sir James’s personal qualities helped him through key challenges, as the individual central to Dyson Ltd. /3.
Read 31 tweets
8 Apr
Brexit & NI: reposting a 🧵 from early Feb.

Don’t you just love the bemused response to groups angry at the border in the Irish Sea & the lies told about it?

“But they voted for it” & “suck it up, you wanted hard Brexit, dumbos” miss the point.

There is one. Bear with me./1.
Stoking violence is completely irresponsible. Those doing it must stop.

But it mightn’t be a bad idea if the rest of the UK - not least supporters of the lunatic, hard Brexit of which we’re experiencing the early, predictably awful throes - understood what’s really going on./2.
People in NI, of whatever political, cultural or other persuasion, aren’t stupid.

They’re like everyone else: products of circumstance & their own ability to respond. /3.
Read 22 tweets
5 Apr
Brexit can only “succeed” if the EU’s destroyed👇

Europe’s dominated, & the world heavily influenced, by the EU.

2nd biggest economy. Aid superpower. 2nd in defence/security. Global standard setter.

A departing member’s a minnow at EU mercy. Unless the EU no longer exists./1.
Brexiters & their backers have minimal capacity to bring about EU apocalypse.

Yet Brexit’s failure, as a supposed strategic project for boosting the UK’s geopolitical & economic position, is guaranteed & starkly visible if the EU continues. /2.
Which explains much of the prevalent, increasingly shrill, emotionally needy anti-EU rhetoric. And curious features of Brexit which appear consciously to price in abject failure. /3.
Read 9 tweets
4 Apr
Where there’s political instability, terrorism or civil war, there’s always organised crime.

They feed off each other.

People saying the rioting in NI is “just” drugs gangs aren’t making the slam-dunk argument they think they are.

In fact, they’re plain wrong. /1.
Brexit has destabilised NI.

We’re seeing the evolving, direct consequences of a deeply flawed, terrifyingly dangerous policy.

Unless there’s a sharp UK government policy reversal, there’ll be a tragedy.

And it won’t just affect NI. /2. End
Read 4 tweets
30 Mar
Look, I know it’s too much to ask, in some cases at least, that political candidates have a passing familiarity with history or major foreign languages. But, with all due respect, you’d think someone who’s had as many opportunities in life as @LozzaFox would. But no ... a🧵/1.
Mr Fox’s call for freedom translates well into German. A cynic might say he’s aware of this history & has gone ahead in spite - or even because - of it. I’d like to give him the benefit of the doubt. I’ll assume ignorance. /2.
Ah, you object, but that was about “freeing” a country from its shackles, prohibitions & evil leaders. Not a capital city. A different point, surely?

Well, no. And, in any case 👇 /3.
Read 6 tweets

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