To be fair, CDC is only reporting documented breakthroughs. There are probably more asymptomatics that aren't reported. Let's say actual breakthrough rate is 250x higher.
Well, those are the odds that a 20something driving 17 miles *every weekday* gets into an accident this year
I DM'd with a university mathematician before tweeting to make sure the math was rightish. He points out rightly that drives and immune systems are pretty heterogenous, so this is apples/oranges. But the point stands.
The point is that our current understanding of vaccine effectiveness shows that the vaccines turn the pandemic into the sort of everyday risk that we live with, all the time, in many different aspects of life. I wish that were foregrounded in more reporting.
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In a Media Insight Project survey of the moral values of news audiences, the value drawing the least support was "the idea that a good way to make society better is to spotlight its problems—only about 3 in 10 agree."
1. From my perspective, audiences love reading about society's problems. They consume the hell out of "problem spotlighting" from gender/race inequality to threats of anti-democratic right (MSNBC) to purported migrant dangers (FNC)
2. I, personally, have no idea What Americans Want, and it's very possible that the vast majority of ppl who I don't know and will never meet actually don't want so much problem-spotlighting, and they're being over-served a lot of Sad World Journalism.
Evidence for surface transmission of COVID-19 is truly pathetic. But unlike the actual coronavirus, performative cleaning rituals are very much alive on surfaces across America.
The surface-transmission theory of COVID-19 is basically dead. But hygiene theater lives:
- on subways
- in schools
- in stores
- in offices
- and ... sigh ... at The Atlantic
I want to directly address this point because I think it represents a plausible-sounding but probably wrong objection to my hygiene theater critiques.
The objection is basically: Hey but isn't hygiene theater actually, you know, pretty hygienic?
I'm mildly obsessed with the question of whether the decline of organized religion has ironically pushed religious thinking into every other nook and cranny of "secular" life
No surprise that @DouthatNYT has smart things to say on it
To the extent that there's a sort of god gene that must do *some* work for secular ppl, I buy the case that organized religion has partly dissolved into:
2. quasi-religious political movements (you know the type)
(Don't take "god gene" literally. That's I'm-running-out-of-Twitter-characters shorthand for "assuming without evidence that even religiously unaffiliated groups have a sort of baseline level of non-rational spirituality, and that energy has to flow somewhere, where does it go?")
1. How the failures of HIV-vaccine efforts ironically accelerated the development of the Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, and J&J vaccines.
When HIV-vax researchers realized that established methods weren't working, they pushed into wacky areas like … synthetic mRNA.
2. How BioNTech, Pfizer's partner, plans to use what it learned from the COVID vaccines to accelerate its efforts to design individualized cancer therapies by targeting the proteins associated with specific tumors
2. One answer to the Florida mystery—how did it have only avg mortality in an "open"ish economy with so many old people?—is that the public, and seniors in particular, used masks and distancing far more than DeSantis insisted.
Florida is being held up, by some, as proof that masks and distancing don't work, or are dramatically overrated.
One reason I think that's wrong is their impression of Florida's mask/distancing protocols is a caricature of the state's actual behavior.