I think it's important to note that based on the above numbers, 77% to 82% of the stimulus checks put no upward pressure on inflation at all because the money didn't chase any goods or services in limited supply.
So why spend $850 billion on stimulus checks if the majority of the money was saved or used to pay off loans instead of being spent into the economy? Because money can be for survival or loan forgiveness or a feeling of security for a rainy day.
Let people decide for themselves.
If the stimulus checks had been more targeted, more people in need would have been excluded. If we did debt forgiveness instead, many people wouldn't have been able to buy food.
And one reason people save is economic insecurity. Make checks monthly, and people will spend more.
Economists and politicians love to think they have a kind of superpower where they can target "the deserving" using data that is 100% accurate. Let's exclude those who won't spend it, they say, while pretending they know exactly who that is, using tax returns from a year ago.
If you want to target, then just get stimulus to everyone and then target high income earners come tax time. If someone with a high income just ends up saving the stimulus, okay, increase their taxes to claw it back after the fact, not before, because they *could* have needed it.
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Here's a quick thread on the $UBI coin project that's part of @DemocracyEarth and @Kleros_io on the Ethereum blockchain that @santisiri has recently launched.
First, I have to say, I'm impressed by its approach to UBI which includes some pros and cons.
The results of the basic income experiment in Stockton are in.
BASIC INCOME WORKS.
✅More full-time employment
✅Income stability increased
✅It was mostly spent on essentials
✅Debts were reduced
✅Mental health improved
✅Helped family and friends too
"Unemployment among basic income recipients dropped to 8% in February 2020 from 12% in February 2019. In the experiment's control group — those who didn't receive monthly stipends — unemployment rose to 15% from 14%."
Important to note the difference between increased employment and reduced unemployment. People without jobs were able to get them, but also, people with jobs were able to get better jobs.
Basic income helped recipients afford the costs of better jobs.
BREAKING: A group of 10 senators led by @RonWyden has sent a letter to @POTUS urging him to include automatic stabilizers in his Build Back Better bill. Monthly stimulus payments and boosted UI would continue until certain economic conditions are reached.
For anyone who says that the next bill should focus entirely on infrastructure and not include any cash assistance, please understand that cash is LIQUID INFRASTRUCTURE. Cash can become anything. Liquid infrastructure belongs in an infrastructure bill. 👇
It's fascinating how the GOP can shove through a $2 trillion tax cut for the rich during an economic expansion, but during an economic crisis when alarms are blaring and the Fed is begging for them to go big, they support only $600 billion, despite stimulus checks being tax cuts.
Republicans passed a massive tax cut for the rich, and they did it based on the logic that it would not grow the national debt because the rich would spend and invest more and grow the economy. Stimulus checks are tax cuts for the bottom 80% that would boost the economy far more.
Either Republicans are only for making the rich richer, or they don't understand that every stimulus check that goes out is a tax cut that (because it increases spending) pays for itself to a much greater degree than tax cuts for the rich who have lower propensities to consume.
It's true that a sufficiently high UBI could serve as an alternative to a $15 minimum wage, but I personally would prefer a combo of both plus a 4-day 32-hour week. Let's pay people more for work, support all unpaid work, and distribute employment and leisure time more equitably.
What the left needs to be honest about in regards to a $15 min wage is that although the overall effects will likely be positive, there will be impacts like reduced hours to compensate. Let's lean into that by leaving the 5-day 40-hour week behind. Every weekend should be 3 days.
It's also likely that a higher min wage will increase automation. Great! Let's do that! But that means less employment for humans. 4-day weeks share the available employment better, and universal basic income makes automation literally work for everyone.
The following is a thread translating this short video in French by @benoithamon (he ran for president in 2017) about his new book that is a plea for France to adopt Universal Basic Income (UBI):
Hi everyone, I'm presenting you my new book "The Necessary Courage, My Plea for a Universal Basic Income." After the presidential election I tried to think about visible barriers facing UBI but also the most important ones: the invisible ones.
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What were the budgetary, economic arguments... we heard them a lot but also the psychological, philosophical ones justifying the rejection. Working class people and employees tend to think UBI would stigmatize them if it was completing their salary.
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