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Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
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17 Apr, 6 tweets, 1 min read
I've information anecdotal, chemical, and clinical
I know the COVID experts, and I quote-tweet fights on aerosols
List BioNTech to Zeneca, in order categorical
I'm very well acquainted, too, with matters virological
I understand most models but I'm baffled by the cubical
About t-cell immunity I am teeming with a lot o' news...lot o' news...

with many cheerful facts about the antibodies I'll produce!
I know the vaccine history from Jenner and the old cowpox
I answer diagnostics, I thank all the nurses and the docs
I quote in elegiacs all the CDC analysis
And hope we'll usher in an annus slightly more mirabilis
I can tell adenoviruses from mRNA and spike proteins
I have a working map of every single drug store close to me
Then I can hit refresh until finally a slot I score...slot I score...

I'll whistle all the way home 'cause I'm happy that my skin is sore!
I'm looking at the r-naught and I hope the trend is fabulous
I know the pseudoscience claims of beings antivaxxulous
In short, in matters anecdotal, chemical, and clinical
I am the very model of Moderna-made injectables

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More from @aedwardslevy

Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
15 Apr
Secondary question now is probably whether decreased confidence in J&J actually spills over into decreased vaccine willingness, or just results in more people having a preference for an alternative vaccine.
This is good:

Read 6 tweets
Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
31 Mar
New from me: When the first COVID-19 vaccine was authorized last December, a lot of Americans were on the fence about getting it. Since then, there's been a dramatic shift toward vaccine acceptance -- but the remaining holdouts could be more stubborn.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/more-…
Plus, some lessons from vaccine surveys that apply to polling in general:
-Snapshots, not predictions
-People are bad at predicting future behavior
-Question framing matters
-Look at the undecideds!

fivethirtyeight.com/features/more-…
This is yet another polling story where the presence/absence of some sort of "not sure" option is crucial. Polls that didn't have an explicit "not sure" option showed higher initial support for vaccination than ones that did, and less substantial movement over the next few months
Read 5 tweets
Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
25 Mar
just want everybody to appreciate the sheer quantity of "boating access" jokes I am not making
using results from a river sample, I will examine the size of relevant boating blocks
tfw your boater model ends up being too broad
Read 6 tweets
Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
25 Mar
This is excellent work, and I'm so glad someone tested this out.

"Telling people that Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump have been vaccinated...has an impact on some but not others...our findings suggest that presidents can nudge some of them further along that path."
"Republicans who outright say 'no' do not budge when told of [Trump's] endorsement of vaccines; however, among Republicans more on the fence, we see movement."
Also, recontact data: "Among those who previously said they were planning to get vaccinated, 16% now report having received at least one dose in our survey's control condition. Moreover, one in five of those who previously said maybe to getting a vaccine now say yes outright."
Read 5 tweets
Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
24 Mar
FYI, I actually polled this a while back:
Here are splits by education and 2020 vote:
Read 4 tweets
Ariel Edwards-Levy Profile picture
24 Mar
Adventures in question order:
"[W]hen refusals of gay and lesbian people are equated with refusing service to other minority groups, respondents might be more likely to view religiously based service refusals of gay and lesbian people as discriminatory in nature."
This is, additionally, yet another entry in "why you should always, always, always, always ask to see the toplines first."
Important takeaway here! It's way too easy to frame varying results on issue polling as "these opinions aren't real" when the better answer is "the way people think about this issue is complex, and that's reflected in the data." In the end, it tells us more, not less.
Read 4 tweets

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