B.C.'s $69 billion budget includes a projected deficit of $9.7 billion this year, as the province plans for large contingency funds to help groups both during the pandemic and in the recovery afterwards.

A few highlights in the thread to come!
Deficits are projected indefinitely: $9.7 billion this year, $5.5 billion next, $4.3 billion in 2023/2024.

But the province promises that in the next year B.C. would provide a detailed timeline and approach “to a return to fiscal balance.”
Most of the big had been previously announced in the election or the last couple months, including free transit for children under the age of 12, and a permanent $175/month increase to income and disability assistance (though down from $300/month during the pandemic)
- $60 million more in annual base funding for the Ministry of Indigenous Relations and Reconciliation

- $800 million in ongoing business supports in the next year

- $120 million to support tourism recovery, from “major anchor attractions” to community development grants
There's not a lot of big surprises in this budget.

But that's also because there have been SO MANY changes in the last year, including promises during an election, so it's hard to imagine they had much additional room.
One of the ministries with the biggest increase in spending by % is the Office of the Premier, from $11 to $15 million.

The province says it's required because Horgan needs to engage with British Columbians more and "directly hear" from them.
A sidenote: the government tried hard to deliver a virtual budget experience that was helpful to reporters, but it was not great.

There were endless technical glitches with interviews with stakeholders, and it took me 80 minutes to get one technical question answered.
and i see information on the b.c. budget is mattering much less on the timeline for the moment so i'll stop

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More from @j_mcelroy

22 Apr
I have tremendous news about Prince Rupert.

In March, the B.C. city of 12,000 had the highest #COVID19 transmission rate in the province.

Every adult was offered the chance to be vaccinated.

At the peak, there were more than 100 weekly cases.

Last week, there were 3. Image
For those outside B.C., there isn't a city with more than 15,000 people within 500 km of Prince Rupert, and it's effectively surrounded by water on three sides.

It's an ideal place to measure mass vaccinations in an urban setting.

And the evidence is wonderful.
this is now my new favourite fact about prince rupert, eclipsing this very real gift

Read 4 tweets
21 Apr
The week after we heard several anecdotal stories about #COVID19 hospitalizations suddenly much more concentrated in young people, it was pretty much the exact same proportion of the entire pandemic Image
I went through the reasons for this last week, but it bears repeating: our eyes can play tricks on us, and faster data from the government would help a lot in our understanding of this pandemic

And of course, hospitalizations are up, new weekly patients are now at much higher levels than the 2nd wave, and it's not like hospitals have a lot of excess space at the best of times Image
Read 4 tweets
20 Apr
849 cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. today, as the province's 3rd wave keeps showing signs of a plateau, though less in the way of a real fall.

Hospitalizations continue to rise — now at a record 456, with a record 148 in critical care.

One death.

Today's chart. Image
An additional 34,484 people were vaccinated in B.C. yesterday, which is actually less than the previous Monday (supply of Pfizer/Moderna a little low right now).

Will be interesting to see if there's an AZ surge in the coming days given the wider availability. ImageImage
Active cases: down 9%
People under active monitoring: down 16%

We've got some good signs, and the time until enough people are vaccinated to have a significant impact on transmission can now be measured in weeks rather than months.

Let's keep making good decisions. Image
Read 4 tweets
19 Apr
An average of 986 cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. today, as the province is starting to show real signs of plateauing the 3rd wave.

At the same time, because of the lag between hospitalizations and cases, a record high 441 in hospital.

Today's chart. Image
Hospitalizations are still going up at a high pace.

But they went up 4% this weekend, compared to 11% last weekend.

If trends hold, they will plateau later this week, at least temporarily.

(I really hope trends hold) Image
Horgan is asked by @richardzussman about the details of this surprise travel roadcheck announcement.

There are not many details yet.

Because the details are still being figured out, and will come later in the month.

If you are someone confused I do not blame you!
Read 8 tweets
19 Apr
British Columbia is making the AZ vaccine available to everyone 40+, and will be having special clinics focused on the following 13 communities Image
The current restrictions are being extended until the end of the May long weekend, five weeks from now.

No new restrictions appear to be coming in today, but interprovincial travel ones appear to be in the works.
john horgan, truly a child of the 70s, is introducing a new generation of people to the term "winnebago"
Read 8 tweets
9 Apr
Hey folks!

Let's do a thread, with a couple of new charts, looking at where B.C. is at in the pandemic, and what we can say is very concerning, decently concerning, and not too concerning.

one might wonder who this will help at this point, but i follow the advice of the teens
What's very concerning?

Overall transmission.

It continues to go up, and the rolling average/active case trendline is not slowing down one bit right now.

Until it does, there's lots of worry of this getting out of control, in a way B.C. has avoided to this point.
Here are the daily numbers from B.C. to Quebec today, adjusted if they all had B.C.'s population:

BC: 1293
Alberta: 1570
Saskatchewan: 891
Manitoba: 514
Ontario: 1152
Quebec: 969

Collective failure in non-COVID Zero provinces (except Manitoba, for now) to prevent a 3rd wave.
Read 14 tweets

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