As @GretaThunberg keeps trying to warn everyone, the science derived from the IPCC SR15, essentially says on current emissions, we only have about 8 years of our total carbon budget to keep within 1.5C of warming left. ipcc.ch/sr15/
What this means, is not that we have to start reducing our emissions in 8 years time, but that we would have to go to zero emissions in 8 years time if we don't start rapidly reducing our carbon emissions immediate.
Yet the UK government is not talking about this, but some vague wish-washy net zero, 30 years in the future. Net zero isn't zero, and it is derived from lots of false accounting.
Even if you set some less ambitious target of 2C of warming, 3C etc, the carbon budget left to us isn't that much longer, and these are much more dangerous levels of warming.
In other words, the measures the UK is aiming for, is massively short of what is necessary.
This raises lots of serious questions about what is going on. Okay, you can understand Johnson being badly informed on this, but he has got great resources for being advised, if he wants to know what is necessary. So what is going on?
Is Boris Johnson, and indeed most other other world leaders, just liars? Are they in some sort of genuine psychological denial? Or are they hanging out for some sort of magical technology, which will save us, without the big sort of cuts in emissions we need?
It's impossible to tell with a man, and a party leadership in general, so prone to lying. Are these people just psychopaths, are they deluded, badly informed, or whatever.
It's not just climate change though.
"We cannot solve the threats of human-induced climate change and loss of biodiversity in isolation. We either solve both or we solve neither."
In some ways it doesn't matter if Boris Johnson and the rest of leadership are just dishonest and disingenuous, in deluded denial, or just badly informed. The end result is the same. Our leadership is not fit for purpose, we're being led to global suicide.
What is going on? Is Johnson just posturing to make himself look good?
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
2) I do not blame Greta for being taken in by people in influential positions who say "I want action on the climate crisis, but you have to understand that contracts, legal obligations, public opinion, or whatever, stop us". This is simply not true and contrary to evidence.
3) The reality is that whilst these influential people would like to see the climate crisis addressed, they are actually far more wedded to their luxury lifestyles, their high status, wealth and high salaries, than they are about addressing the climate and ecological emergency.
Let me briefly explain what I mean by this. Thinking is like following a set of directions. If you take a wrong turning early on and fail to acknowledge this, you will be forever lost until you acknowledge this mistaken turn.
It doesn't matter how clever you are, what your status is, it means nothing until you recognise your error and the nature of the problem. This is because all your other reasoning based on this will be based on false premises.
This is why youngsters like Dylan, @GretaThunberg and @Fridays4future understand the problem, the climate and ecological crisis, much better than any adult who doesn't acknowledge the basic problem.
1) Let me explain this in a series of tweets. I'm not a spokesperson for @GretaThunberg. However, I was saying "change is coming whether you like it or not on my commenting on the Guardian for much longer than Greta as @john_vidal and @dpcarrington will testify.
2) Therefore, I can explain exactly what I meant by "change is coming whether you like it or not", or various versions of that, which means the same. I can't speak for Greta, but as her other arguments are almost identical to mine, I can explain what I mean.
3) There is a view, a narrative being peddled that the system as it is, is just how it is. That you will never stop overconsumption, carbon emissions etc. You are peddling this narrative. I doubt you could even explain what this means.
1) Let's deal with the sack of it sneering argument that environmentalism is religion and that Greta is some sort of quasi saint being worshipped by environmentalists. These are false arguments, specious arguments, and this is sophistry as I will demonstrate.
2) The situation is very simple. The best scientific evidence available to humanity says currently our civilization is on a globally suicidal path because of anthropogenic climate change and the systematic destruction of the Earth's biodiversity. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
@GretaThunberg At the end of my ecology degree, in a group tutorial, the director the course said to all the students, you've heard all the ecological theories now, do you believe this is how the natural world actually operates?
I said "no", at the very best these are crude approximations.
@GretaThunberg "Crude approximates" of something much more complex. All the other students rolled their eyes, to sort of say, here's Stephen going off on one again. Then the director of the course said to the students, unfortunately Stephen is correct, and at best these are approximations.
@GretaThunberg He said I'm sorry that you've invested all this time, effort and expense, trying to understand this, only to be told that it is much more complex than this, that what you've been taught are only crude approximations, some of which might be mistaken.
1) After having thought about this for a very long time I'm pretty certain that I know what the basic mechanisms are. Essentially, human beings have some evolved weaknesses that powerful people learned to take advantage of to control people for their own ends.
2) Humans evolved to live in societies very different to modern societies. Modern humans and their ancestors evolved to live in small bands of hunter-gatherers, where resources were shared equally, and no one held power.
3) Modern humans (Homo sapiens) emerged as a species 2-300,000 years ago, and our human ancestors existed for several million years prior to this. The first civilizations arose about 6-7,000 years ago, and rule by powerful rulers who held power probably emerged more recently.