@GretaThunberg At the end of my ecology degree, in a group tutorial, the director the course said to all the students, you've heard all the ecological theories now, do you believe this is how the natural world actually operates?

I said "no", at the very best these are crude approximations.
@GretaThunberg "Crude approximates" of something much more complex. All the other students rolled their eyes, to sort of say, here's Stephen going off on one again. Then the director of the course said to the students, unfortunately Stephen is correct, and at best these are approximations.
@GretaThunberg He said I'm sorry that you've invested all this time, effort and expense, trying to understand this, only to be told that it is much more complex than this, that what you've been taught are only crude approximations, some of which might be mistaken.
@GretaThunberg This does not mean ecologists know nothing and that the deniers and naysayers who try to cast doubt on science's understanding of the crisis we face, know as much as if not more. In fact, it tells us that they have zero understanding of the crisis and profoundly misunderstand it.
@GretaThunberg The success of the scientific method is to allow great progress in understanding the workings of the natural world, without understanding how all of it works. Since Ancient Greece, our understanding of the natural world made no progress, because of appeal to authority.
@GretaThunberg The great philosophers tried to explain everything, in great big schema. But sadly they failed to test their hypotheses with evidence, and relied up this great philosopher said this, that one said this. So for 2000 years, there was no progress.
@GretaThunberg The during the Enlightenment, science split from what had been called natural philosophy, summed up in the motto of the Royal Society, the oldest scientific society in the world "Nullius in verba" i.e. take no ones word for it.
royalsociety.org/about-us/histo…
@GretaThunberg What this new scientific method was about, was testing these hypotheses against the evidence. The rest is history, and science made incredible progress in understanding "some" of the workings of the natural world, without understanding all of it.
@GretaThunberg Climate change deniers and anti-environmentalists, often use crude pseudo-science, misrepresenting these principles, to try and claim because science does not know everything, their crude misrepresentations are as good as the science. This is sophistry i.e. sophisticated lying.
@GretaThunberg This is the strength of science, to progress without knowing everything. There are no absolute facts in science, just better and better models of reality. It's an ongoing self-correcting process. It is the best method we have of understanding how things actually are.

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More from @SteB777

3 Mar
1) After having thought about this for a very long time I'm pretty certain that I know what the basic mechanisms are. Essentially, human beings have some evolved weaknesses that powerful people learned to take advantage of to control people for their own ends.
2) Humans evolved to live in societies very different to modern societies. Modern humans and their ancestors evolved to live in small bands of hunter-gatherers, where resources were shared equally, and no one held power.
3) Modern humans (Homo sapiens) emerged as a species 2-300,000 years ago, and our human ancestors existed for several million years prior to this. The first civilizations arose about 6-7,000 years ago, and rule by powerful rulers who held power probably emerged more recently.
Read 43 tweets
2 Mar
1) It should now be obvious, absolutely crystal clear that the general policy being pursued by every government in the world is fundamentally inconsistent with adequately addressing the climate and ecological emergency. This can only be addressed with huge system change.
2) However, it is now crystal clear that the one thing nearly every political party likely to win power in every country in the world is totally committed to, is avoiding any major system change and maintaining the business as usual economic model, inconsistent with the crisis.
3) We need to urgently start open dialogue about this i.e. how all measures being suggested to address the climate and ecological emergency are fundamentally inconsistent with achieving their stated goals. They are token gestures, nowhere near at the scale necessary to succeed.
Read 25 tweets
19 Feb
1) In a bold move the UN is once again linking the climate crisis to the rest of the ecological crisis as it originally was at the 1992 Rio Earth Summit. I've a bold request, please make the COP talks starting with COP 26 only consider solutions which address the whole crisis.
2) Originally, climate change was separated from the rest of the ecological crisis in the hope of rapidly getting a global agreement to start rapidly reducing CO2 emissions by the 1990s, much in the manner the Montreal Protocol had ended the production of CFCs.
3) With hindsight it was a massive mistake to separate the climate crisis from the much bigger ecological crisis, because dishonest politicians and vested interests have dishonestly pretended that climate change was the only crisis and as such have focused on techno-fixes.
Read 13 tweets
17 Feb
"US conservatives falsely blame renewables for Texas storm outages" - when the reality is that this blast of cold weather in the US is driven heating in the Arctic effecting the polar vortex (see tweets below). #ClimateCrisis
theguardian.com/us-news/2021/f…
Despite the mounting evidence of polar vortex disruption by global heating, causing unusual warming of the Arctic, driving unusual cold conditions in the southern US (see this article from 2019), it is not being mentioned much.
nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/1…
As the above article was from 2019 it was quite prophetic in forecasting the record breaking cold conditions causing chaos in the US at the moment (as was the article below, published before the current cold blast).
nationalgeographic.com/environment/20…
Read 5 tweets
7 Feb
1) There are many people nitpicking Greta's very fine tweet, generally taking issue with what they presume or present to be Greta's definition of both democracy, with the underlying tacit assumption being that Greta is naive about both, in definition and practise.
2) Firstly, and most importantly, Greta just made a single tweet, to make a very cutting observation about what is happening today in countries which previously described themselves as bastions of democracy. Greta was not writing a detailed academic essay.
3) Self-evidently, if you just make a single tweet, or say some in few words, you can't go in the definitions of the terms you have used, the concepts, the caveats etc. Therefore, making up your own definition and arguing against is the straw man logical fallacy.
Read 19 tweets
3 Feb
1) On 24 February 2020 last year, I not only accurately predicted the COVID-19 global pandemic, but the wider impacts on our economy and system of governance. The way governments would be hamstrung by their need to maintain economic growth. See link below.
theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/f…
2) Here it is, please read the tweets below the first.
3) There are many countries that only experienced a relative handful of deaths from COVID-19, or even none at all in January 2021. The only reason the UK received the highest death rates in the world in January is because it needlessly ended lockdown before Christmas.
Read 30 tweets

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