Scientists have understood the energy capturing nature of airborne carbon (i.e. emissions driven climate change) since at least the 1890s. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svante_Ar…
The first World Meteorological Conference on Climate came some 80+ years later. google.com/url?q=https://…
If you observe that chart above, you'll notice it measures, not rates of emissions, but cumulative buildup of atmospheric CO2.
Emissions rates look different. But they're not laid out on parallel year scales so it's hard to form a clear mental picture.
As of this past week, President Biden hosted a virtual gathering of world leaders at which he promised ("pledged", which may be different, I'm not sure) to reduce the US rates of emissions by 50% of the 2005 rate by 2030.
In English this means, we will continue to add carbon to the atmosphere every minute of every day, but we will add it slower.
But more, more, more every day.
So theoretically, if we do this, this curve will slope down at some point.
But this one will continue to slope upwards.
Because adding is adding.
Here's another historic curve to observe.
Temperature.
As long as the above curve slopes up, so will this one.
I'll be turning 74 this summer, so if the Biden Pledge comes true, in 2030 I'll turn 83, assuming I'm still alive.
At that time, 9 years from today, if everything goes according to plan, this curve will continue to slope upwards.
This is known, in media terms, as aggressive action to curb climate change.
I'm not convinced.
But y'all go ahead on.
At least Americans can have more high-tech jobs.
And in the short run, that's all that matters.
Right?
Have you noticed mostly the Administration isn't referring to an "infrastructure" plan.
It's a Jobs plan.
Bless his heart, Joe Biden is an honest-to-god Democrat. Build stuff, hire people to build it, get everyone out of the dumps, catch up on their bills.
Half of me approves.
2. There are well meaning people who sincerely believe that humankind can uphold our current style of living / interacting with the ecosystem indefinitely if we get rid of fossil fuels.
I disagree, but neither position, mine nor theirs, can be proven. The future is like that.
3. If those people are right, then Joe is right, and whatever you call his plan it is a good one.
All those redneck assholes would be a lot easier to deal with if they were knocking down a fat paycheck working their asses off in the weather, building stuff.
They'd have money and
Tonight my old band (not "mine" in a leadership sense, just: the band I play with) got together for the first time in a year.
Our bass player died of Covid between Christmas and New Year.
His widow came to the jam today.
They were married 54 years.
2. Jim was more than a bass player. He was an arranger, a singer, a song chooser. We don't have an official leadership structure but he was a leader.
Sandy on 12 string, Bob on fiddle (Bob turns 92 next week), me on pedal steel, Matt on drums, Shawn on keyboard & vocals.
3. Sandy sings too. I used to, but the pedal steel takes all my brain power and I don't have any left to sing with. Hard to explain.
Entirely reasonable question. Why not mules, why not horses, why donkeys?
Tools tend to define the job. To the man whose only tool is a hammer, you know that one.
2. The biggest reason I failed with draft horses is that their ideal skill set was not well suited to what my hilly land needed.
And I was *stone* ignorant. Grasping at straws of knowledge and information. Lynn Miller at the Small Farmers Journal was a beacon of knowledge.
3. What I need on this farm, more than anything else, is something to carry my stuff while I piddle around planting and pruning and observing and staking. I don't plow fields.
Anybody in the mood for a Jeffie ramble?
I've got some thoughts jumbled up inside me, and gonna sort on them a little.
Last night I was talking to a guy I know but not well - friend of a friend. And I said I'm trying to learn how to do this - farm - with donkeys, and it's hard.
2. And he said like, "huh, why d'ya think they invented tractors?"
I didn't answer that question, but the answer is, to make money.
They invented tractors to sell them at a profit.
There was not universal agreement they were better. It depended what you measured.
Capitalism.
3. Tractors are the children of Capitalism.
Without capitalism there would never have been a tractor.
My grandfather covered the state of Iowa with red tractors between WWI and 1956.
Part of the way they did it was kill all the horses.
Fact.
They'd pay a king's ransom trade in,
My friend Jim sent me this reply to me recent tweet of anguish.
He's right. Well, I don't know we "need" me, but otherwise he's right.
And this matters. We are not powerless.
Americans are the number one source of excess carbon. We are a major source of ecosystem destruction for economic growth.
Yes, China emits more carbon.
If we quit buying shit from them they wouldn't.
They emit it making our stuff. Lots of it goes into solar panels.
US = pivot man
3. The thing we have immediately available to us, to each of us individually, is speed.
I know it's counterintuitive, but slowing down significantly reduces energy consumption. Energy conversion for consumption emits carbon.
If we didn't have the global ecosystem catastrophe hanging over us, I would be entirely pleased with Joe Biden to an extent I never have with another President in my almost 74 years living under them.
I even like the things I disagree with, because he does them honorably.
2. I didn't stumble onto my current view of the utter unreality of all plans to have a high speed culture within a survivable ecosystem until about 2018 - 2019. Only a little over two years ago.
That me would be 100% happy with Joe and Kamala.
And he's still alive, part of now me
3. It is not a wisecrack when I say Joe and Kamala inherited the biggest mess in world history. I mean that phrase literally.
The US government is the biggest organization on Earth. The Murdoch Anarchists incl TFG and McConnell broke it more completely than can be described.