People were asking me why I'm skeptical that I'll be back in the classroom before 2022. This is why.
My college has one lecture hall. On the entire campus. Most classrooms seat about 30 comfortably in non-covid times, 40 if you push it. No way to do social distancing for in-class instruction without folding in Zoom for the majority of students.
And we're a commuter campus, which means no dorms. At all. So everyone's going back to families, kids, parents, housemates, etc. And most students AND faculty are arriving on public transportation.
So there's no bubble, no way to create a campus-wide pod, no way to keep any outbreaks from immediately spreading into the community. AND nobody can come back to in-person unless they're comfortable taking the bus or subway at specific hours, regularly.
And of course as an urban community college, we've got a student body that's way more varied along axes of age and health than a traditional residential four-year college (though those are far less cookie-cutter than they used to be, too).
AND when a student drops out of a CUNY community college, that usually means they're leaving higher ed behind, probably for a long time. So we've got a moral imperative to make sure we don't lose anyone we have the ability to keep.
So all of that means we can't just turn on a dime and return to in-person instruction. Which brings us back to the first tweet in the thread.
Thirteen months in, I'm pretty good at teaching on Zoom. I have a workspace set up, I'm mostly good at linking my tablet to my computer and my pencil to my tablet so I've got a virtual whiteboard. I've got a system for class discussion and one for taking attendance. And so on.
But if I go back into the classroom, I need to rebuild all that pretty much from the ground up. Need to learn how to use the camera, the computer, the software I'm provided. Need to figure out how to deal with teaching in two classrooms—one in-person, one virtual—simultaneously.
And if anything crashes, students bail on that day's class. And if it crashes regularly, or glitches in ways profs don't know how to fix, students bail on the course.
And it's not like I can spend twenty hours over the course of a week beta testing in my pajamas in my living room. And it's not like my college has unlimited IT staff on call at all times. And it's not like all my colleagues are tech savvy.
As Daniel notes, the current setup is really really rough on students (and on profs, too). So the desire to get back into the classroom is high.
But I'm hearing anecdotally that fall in-person classes just aren't seeing a registration rush right now—students are skeptical, and worried. And with good reason.
I'm not plugged into the planning for the fall semester, so I'm mostly getting secondhand info on how things are going. But I don't envy the people who are trying to put things together.
It's a much harder problem at institutions like mine than it is at elite colleges, and that's before you even start talking about resource disparities.
My gut tells me that I'm going to be all online in fall 2021, and back in the classroom for in-person instruction in fall 2022, maybe teaching one remote class.
Spring 2022? I have no idea. Honestly. I just don't have a clue.
Which means that it'll likely be something like two years from the day I walked out of the classroom until the day I walk back in. Maybe more. It's hard to wrap my brain around it.
A couple of folks have asked why we can't just require vaccination and go back without social distancing, and yeah, that's something that could work for some students and faculty, but it's not a one-size-fits-all solution.
First of all, there's the question of what you do with students who won't or can't get vaccinated. It's a very different thing for an elite private to say "come back when you've gotten the shot" than it is for a community college.
Second, we just don't know how many unvaxxed people there will be in our student population in August. What that number looks like has a huge effect on planning, and we just don't know what it's going to be.
Third, there's the problem of figuring out what to do if students (and faculty and staff) want to stay remote even after they get the shot. Again, we're only guessing what those numbers will look like, but we have to be planning now.
Fourth, there's the question of how to incorporate a return to the classroom into students' lives, logistically. I have students logging into my classes from work break rooms, from the street, with kids on their laps. Lots of classes are completely asynchronous.
Even if 100% of students, faculty, and staff were vaxxed by June 1, the logistics of a fully in-person fall semester would be daunting.
And again, I want to underscore that I have basically no inside info on this. There may be a vax mandate at CUNY for in-person instruction in the fall. Some, even many, CUNY campuses may go back to mostly face-to-face. I'm not making predictions, and emphatically not systemwide.
I think this is big at a lot of non-selective, non-residential colleges. We just don't know how many of our students, even vaxxed ones, will be willing to sit in crowded classrooms in the fall.
And if you can do hybrid, you can finesse that issue, and adapt as the semester unfolds. But if hybrid isn't an option at the scale of an entire campus—and at a lot of urban campuses I don't think it is—then you have to pick one or the other for each class: remote, or in-person.
And the impression I get is that at a lot of institutions, if that’s the question, the answer is largely going to be remote.
Just one addendum here: I think a lot of people vastly underestimate the extent to which residential colleges are factoring uncertainty about the course of the epidemic into their fall planning.
People see elite colleges rolling out face-to-face plans for the fall, and think that means the schools are assuming there won't be any curveballs. It doesn't. It means they think curveballs are unlikely AND MANAGEABLE.

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More from @studentactivism

19 Apr
One thing to note about Andrew Sullivan's ongoing race-realism rant, now dozens if not hundreds of tweets long: He hasn't used the word "Black" once in it yet.
There are some quiet parts he's still unwilling to say out loud.
And just to make this really explicit, Blackness is central to Andrew Sullivan's interest in race. Search his timeline for "African," and you'll see him going on and on about Black violence just a few days ago.
Read 5 tweets
19 Apr
Yep. As a vaccinated person I'm doing basically the same thing. Double-masking when indoors, particularly in crowded or constricted spaces or for extended periods, a light cloth or surgical mask outside.
I pretty much assume I'd be pretty much safe outdoors without a mask at this point, but other people don't know I'm vaxed, and some have a different risk tolerance than me, so I haven't devoted much thought to the question. Because being considerate is a sufficient justification.
If there's nobody anywhere near me and I've got good lines of sight so I know nobody's going to stumble across me suddenly, I'll take my mask out when I'm outside, too.
Read 4 tweets
19 Apr
Andrew Sullivan's tweets from today are really quite breathtaking—he spent the evening both attacking people for claiming he believes in innate racial differences in intelligence and mocking people for suggesting that innate racial differences in intelligence don't exist.
I may do a detailed exegesis of this stuff later, but just go look. I defy anyone to construct a coherent narrative of the affirmative case Sullivan is making about race and intelligence out of the stuff he said on here today.
None of this is new with him, but usually he lets a bit of time elapse between the "I'm not a racist" rants and "if you don't believe in innate racial difference you don't believe in science" rants. Tonight he did both at the same time, and it's really something to see.
Read 5 tweets
18 Apr
This is good stuff, and it resonates pretty powerfully with my experience helping Casey navigate the college application process.
Her job wasn't to get the colleges to like her. Her job was to let the colleges know who she was, so they could make an informed decision as to whether to admit her or not.
There were several times in the process where she was struggling with what to write in (or for, or as) an essay, and where she landed every time was "write something real."
Read 4 tweets
14 Apr
Tommy Lasorda once said managers are juggling eight or ten considerations when they debate a pitching change. Smart fans will be aware of about three, and they'll actually usually get the cost-benefit analysis of those three right. Where they fail is missing the others.
Which is not to say experts are always right, or that MLB managers never make bonehead calls based on weird whims. But I found the quote really useful and try to remember it.
An interesting side note: If you're an armchair critic, you're screwing up if you're not properly assessing all eight factors. But if you're an activist trying to influence policy, that's not actually your job—your job is to become the ninth factor.
Read 4 tweets
12 Apr
I've been seeing a wave of evidence of burnout in my students the last few weeks, and reports I'm hearing from other faculty at my college suggest I'm not alone.
The second half of the Spring 2020 semester was pretty much a writeoff in my classes, but we were mostly on track and functioning in the fall. This semester? A lot more students starting to fall through the cracks.
I think the anniversary of the lockdown hit a lot of students really hard—when we went online in March 2020, it was presented as a temporary measure. Now we're well past a year with no end in sight.
Read 6 tweets

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