Thread by @AnalyticsQpr

1/ With the playoff teams confirmed for this season, I wanted to look at how many points @QPR need to be targeting in order to break into the top 6 next season... #EFL #QPR

https://twitter.com/skybetchamp/status/1387139147341746176

2/ Taking data from the last 5 @SkyBetChamp seasons (including this season, with points per game used to account for 46 matches), we can use logistic regression to determine the probability of finishing in the top 6, based on number of points won... #QPR #EFL

3/ The chart below illustrates this relationship between points and probability of top 6, i.e. if a team achieves 80 points (for example), then they’re almost certain to finish in the top 6. A team will likely need to achieve somewhere around 73 points to give themselves... #QPR

4/ ...a more than evens chance of finishing in the top 6. That’s what @QPR need, almost as a minimum, if they’re to break into the playoffs next season. Of course seasons vary, some years you’ll need less, some years more. But 73 points on average sounds about right @SkyBetChamp

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