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Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
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30 Apr, 5 tweets, 3 min read
U r a very considerate person
May u b blessed bountifully this Ramadan
My review on this issue, yet to be uploaded
KKM data puts Msia in a HIGH Infection Rate country.
Risk of hospitalisation in 70 yr old is 1786X, risk of death 906X from COVID versus risk of blood clots!
IMHO This is good enough evidence to adopt an OPT OUT AZ vaccines policy.
Rather than an OPT IN at a separate AZ Vaccination Centre!
Our national policy on AZ ruins vaccine confidence & stigmatises a vaccine. 10.4K deaths prevented in UK with AZ! gov.uk/government/new…
This vaccine has protected the healthcare facilities from being overwhelmed with COVID admissions, lack of PPE, Oxygen, Respirators, ICU beds and has prevented deaths especially in the senior citizens. 90% hospitalisations were reduced in Scotland thelancet.com/journals/lance…
M’sia is smack in the middle of yet another COVID upsurge
Healthcare capacity reported to be overwhelmed
471 deaths in 2020
1021 deaths in 2021!
69% of total COVID deaths in 4 months alone!
Our cumulative cases/capita rivals India
Do we wanna go the India route?
#BeWiseIMMUNIZE
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More from @drmusanordin

Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
1 May
RED ZONE (>40 active cases) is NOT based on good science.
EAG stipulated it should be TARGETED MCO based on risk stratification:
1 Infection Rate (IR)
2 Coping capacity of healthcare
3 Essential services

nst.com.my/news/nation/20…
Too costly on lives, livelihoods & economy to mandate MCOs based on arbitrary metrics
@mohdhelmi factored 22 variables & utilised machine learning to do risk stratification of S’gor districts @Selangkah_my can be extrapolated-need national data sharing!
codeblue.galencentre.org/2020/12/14/cov…
P’ng, Johor & Kedah below national IR average
Why MCO?
What metrics minister using? What is the threshold to MCO?
Selangor borderline
BUT look at their risk stratification metrics with the heat-map
@Selangkah_my with Data Sci-Machine Learning-AI doing predictive risk modeling ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
30 Mar
Philippines riding a new wave. Testing short (15%)
Indonesia declining cases related to better testing (still >10%) & vaccine roll out.
Msia plunging cases contributed by wider testing (2.8%) and vaccine rollout
Spore, Viet & Thai doing well to contain cases with good testing.
Sgor declining Infection Rate(IR) aka Incidence
Sgor case will remain high d/t socio-eco context, mass testing @stfc_selangor
Despite high covid burden, good Case Fatality Rate(CFR)
Rising IR in Swak
Worrying since High CFR
Flat IR in PP. Good CFR. Sporadic high-nidus 4 clusters
MITI Safe@Work SOPs inspired by POIS needs to be operational & enforced
Sgor POIS (Prevention of Outbreak @ Ignition Sites) applicable to community/construction sites/edu
Only then case declines can be maintained + ramped vaccine rollout
Lose guard-3rd wave looms like in Europe
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
23 Mar
Skeptik diInstagram kata:

“Dalil yg salah digunakan untuk meyakini Vaksin”

Jawapan saya:
Makna Al-Maidah Ayat 32:
“Jika kamu selamatkan satu nyawa seakan kamu menyelamat satu umat manusia”

Risiko dapat COVID diM’sia: 1% ie 334,157/32,700,000 [1]

Populasi M’sia: 32.7 Jut
Risiko COVID: 1%=327 ribu

COVID tanpa gejala/mild: 80%= 262 ribu. Maka risiko LONG COVID=26.2 ribu

COVID teruk: 15%=49 ribu.
Risiko LONG COVID=4.9 ribu

COVID masuk ICU: 4.6%=15 ribu.
Risiko LONG COVOD=1.5 ribu outbreak.my
COVID yang mati: 0.4%=1,308

Ayat Quran kata cegah 1 jiwa manusia drp kematian

Vaksin berupaya cegah 1,308 kematian INSHALLAH!

Semua Vaksin boleh cegah COVID TERUK (Kategori 3,4,5)
Iaiti mencegah masuk Hospital, masuk ICU dan yang mati!

Rujukan
[1] outbreak.my/world
Read 4 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
5 Mar
There's a world of difference bet privatization of vax program ie leave to market forces VS utilizing APHM/GPs to vax target pop specified by NIP
None calling for the former! Pls resist straw-man argument
U may not know but Covid vax are available on the private market globally
If APHM can purchase additional supply, BEYOND national stockpile, WHY should Gomen or You object?
Last I heard we were still a democracy or EO subverted that right too?
I doubt it’s market failure!
It’s really a gomen failure-Msia’s perennial problem

google.com/amp/s/www.hind…
Private hospitals in India, a/c 74% of vaccines given on Day 2 in India.
Charged up to ₹250 (RM14)/shot
Connected Black-Market guys in M’sia demanding RM300-400/shot
JKJAV not seriously addressing this threat to our Vaccine Rollout!
Turning a blind eye to this national threat
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
3 Mar
Don’t fall into same trap as MOH and quote absolute nos ONLY
Epidemiology101 calculates RATES.
S’gor has SECOND highest incidence rate
S’gor has THIRD highest prevalence rate in the country.
Despite her VERY HIGH workload, Case Fatality Rate is the 4th LOWEST in the country ImageImage
S’gor should be TARGET for INTENSIVE Vaccine Rollout!
Yet S’gor has the LOWEST VACCINE COVERAGE in the country!
JKJAV has FAILED to address BASIC yet PIVOTAL vaccine rollout issues
Is it any wonder that the front-liners in S’gor in public & private healthcare are VERY FURIOUS! Image
Absolute TRAVESTY of vaccine access, equity & distributive justice
We’ve had enough of sweet talk!
Roll up your sleeves, get down to REAL Vaccine Actions & guarantee deliverables.
@Khairykj JKJAV MUST deliver vaccines to priority FRONTLINERS & STATES
STOP playing politics!
Read 7 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
27 Feb
Ada kawan dlm grup tanya
Only 0.4 % mati
Lagi 99.6% recover
So why need vaccine?
Camna nak jawab soalan tu?🤭
Camni!
Risiko kena covid diMsia 1%
You nak ke?
I tak nak.
So I ambil Vaksin mRNA Pfizer/Moderna
-95% tak kena
-kalau kena pun-MILD covid-tak masuk Spital
-Tak MATI !
You tak vaksin
-ZERO protection
-20% kena COVID teruk
-masuk Spital
-pakai oxygen
-masuk ICU
-masuk tiub utk nagas
-diSpital 2-3 bulan.
-Silap-silap 0.4% GOL!
NAK ke?
Katakan Tak GOL!
-1/10 kena pulak LONG COVID
-berbulan2 sakit lepas kena COVID
-sakit dada
-rasa lemah selalu-fatigue
-sesak nafas-takleh hiking mcm dulu2
-pening kepala
-brain fog
-hilang memori
-sakit lutut
-sakit perut
-nak kerja pun susah
-nak tidur pun susah
-depress aje
Read 5 tweets

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