#COVID19India
I suffered brain damage late last night, having read the original pre-print. Read this simple explainer by @MenonBioPhysics instead.
The "model" is a bit like an astrologer's prediction. When the 'Mangal Muhurat' doesn't arrive, he says it's some Rahu-Ketu...
+
I suffered brain damage late last night, having read the original pre-print. Read this simple explainer by @MenonBioPhysics instead.
The "model" is a bit like an astrologer's prediction. When the 'Mangal Muhurat' doesn't arrive, he says it's some Rahu-Ketu...
+
https://twitter.com/thattai/status/1388349082452697089
... and shifts his prediction and says something else. And when that fails as well, then he adds some other variable which has behaved unpredictably. You get the drift, if you're an Indian.
The problem though, is NOT that they're not epidemiologists. The issue is that ... +
The problem though, is NOT that they're not epidemiologists. The issue is that ... +
... they're #clueless hacks who know one thing (in a bounded domain) possibly well. But cannot distinguish an extremely complex phenomenon, with fractal behavior/cascaded (or multi-scale) consequences and feedback loops, which is modelling-resistant.
It could be worse ... +
It could be worse ... +
... in that they may know this, but still went ahead to please or appease an incompetent malfeasance that is the prime political leadership of this country.
@MenonBioPhysics was rather kind in his explainer.
@MenonBioPhysics was rather kind in his explainer.
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