Good point brought up by Kelly Brown on the vague messaging from @BogochIsaac, @PattyHajdu and @JustinTrudeau. Lets dig into the details of vaccine passports. 1/
Lets start with medical science. Does this make sense? The answer is No. C19 is a seasonal respiratory virus whose transmission dynamics is unknown and impossible to control. Its endemic in most of the world so there is nothing to control per se. 2/
The preceding reasoning also applies to variants. To date, they have been a non-issue and I don't see gov't committing further resources to this futile endeavor. 3/
Moving forward, its false to equate C19 with Yellow Fever. The latter is a mosquito borne virus, thus it doesn't spread to other continents through airborne transmission. One must visit a country where these mosquitoes reside. 4/
Next, lets consider the economy. The US is Canada's largest trading partner and influential US states have clearly said No. Passports would consequently place Canadian business at a competitive disadvantage and companies would likely shift operations. 5/
This would stall job/wealth creation essential to repairing Canada's damaged economy. We need to create 500K jobs in the short-mid term to counter loses. Canada can't live on credit and print money forever. The economy must produce wealth to service debt. 6/
Note, vaccine passports would inflict particular damage on industries like tourism. Canada would be at a huge disadvantage to jurisdictions like Mexico which would clean up and eat our lunch. Vacation dollars would simply divert to other countries. 7/
Are vaccines passports logistically feasible? The answer is No. We have no logistical structure, no budgeted funds and no serious policies/plans. Privacy laws would have to be broken and provinces would need to cooperate as they control medical care. /8
Finally, lets not forget the mountain of other legal issues, many of which would be challenged as charter violations. Vaccine passports could be viewed as a form of coercion counter the Nuremberg code and principles of informed consent. 9/
These are a few thoughts that immediately come to mind. It seems to me that passports are more pressure tactic to enhance vaccine uptake than serious public policy. I could be wrong but scientific, economic, legal and logistical issues loom large and daunting. End.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Donald Welsh

Donald Welsh Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DonaldWelsh16

3 May
Your weekly reminder that you are witnessing the largest social policy diaster in Canadian history. And we have the numbers to prove that. But this week, lets focus on one of root causes of this blunder. "Science as Authority". 1/
This excellent video by Dr. John Lee starts to frame this issue. Thoughtful as usual but the last 5 mins caught my attention. He starts to identify "Govt's dysfunctional relationship with science" as a source of our C19 problems. 2/

What does he means by this? Science is a process whereby we open our thoughts/ideas to external verification. Testing follows the so called "scientific method" and if validated, thoughts are elevated in importance and gain societal sway. 3/
Read 11 tweets
1 May
A staffer at the Ontario Legislature said 7 months ago that C19 was over but that the real fight was to save gov't as an institution. I didn't fully comprehend those words at the time but I do now. 1/
The dizzying parade of events his week leaves one shocked but underneath is a simple political reality. We are witnessing a large scale system wide policy failure and no one in politics wants to be left holding this hot potato. 2/
Plenty of blame to go around and an equal amount of scorn should be heaped onto the Feds, the OST and the provinces. Media and academia, normally reliable sources of criticism, have remained compliant or silent. 3/
Read 6 tweets
26 Apr
Your weekly reminder, we are in the midst of the largest public health blunder in Canadian history. Why do I say that? Lets educate and go through some data. 1/
Large public health campaigns take one of two approaches.

1) Educational. These campaigns work with the public and entail modifying behavior and focused protection. Focus vaccination is viewed as an end point. This is embodied in the Great Barington Declaration (GBD). 2/
2) Coercional. These campaigns use manipulative behavioral techniques (to strike fear) and large scale societal modifications (lockdowns) as a means of population control, with mass vaccination as an end point. 3/
Read 12 tweets
25 Apr
A kind thanks to everyone who reached out with support, especially those unable to speak publicly on C19 policy. I'm a bit surprised but clearly many sense something is deeply wrong in Canada. 1/
As an academic, I believe in owning my thoughts. I realize my comparators are sometimes too strong and need tempering. I apologize for that. But lets be clear, C19 has revealed that Canada is on a deeply troubled path and public health is driving that. 2/
I knew I would be targeted when speaking out. I'm not naive and I know how this game works. But C19 data is stunning clear and our policies are neither aligned with, nor effective for, the viral threat. It is draining this country of its richness day by day. 3/
Read 5 tweets
24 Apr
A few weeks ago, we put forward the idea that short term issues were arising with vaccination as a correlation between vaccination, cases and hospitalization was observable (Canada). A similar trend can be seen around the world. A couple more examples. 1/
Here is one from the Seychelles, a island state with no previous sign of C19 spread. 2/
Here is a more interesting one from Pakistan which shows traits similar to Canada. 3/
Read 4 tweets
23 Apr
We are in the midst of a highly charged public health campaign without precedent in modern history where measures are extreme and without scientific foundation. 1/
We are moving down a very dangerous path that deeply troubles me as a scientist. My tweets are designed to mitigate this trajectory, one pointing out the tragic history of public health in the dark times of the holocaust. 2/

I appreciate that some felt this parallel is too strong and I do apologize for that, particularly given the abbreviated format of twitter. 3/
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!