Though all post-Great Recession presidential elections in Michigan have been atypical save for maybe last year representing back to 'normal,' and the electorate still unsettled, the swing mapped from 2012 shows you the beginnings of the uneven realignment.
Both Obama and Trump disrupted the elections of '08, '12 and '16. The 2016-2020 swing might show movement back to results more inline with those at the beginning of the millennia, but with a significantly different coalition.
Speaking of those earlier elections, here is the election that the 2020 result most closely matched in terms of margin: 2004. It may actually show the realignment better than the 2012-2020 swing. You see the urban movement in NW MI, Lansing, W MI, Kzoo, and parts of SE MI.
It'll be interesting to see removed from Obama and Trump how this all shakes out. Given where the growth and decline is, my guess is the trend is low-to-mid single-digit Dem wins, back to a strong Lean D.
Largest swings from '04 to '20? For the Rs, it's Ogemaw in rural NE MI. It has swung 38 points towards the GOP, though it only casts around 10,000 to 11,000 votes. Biggest Dem swing? Kent in W MI. It's swung 25 points toward Dems and cast 361,000 votes last year.
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At the same time, Trump lost. No expects the GOP to be anti-Trump, but they sure as hell have to show that they are MORE than Trump...and they ain't doing that. I don't think people appreciate just how badly Trump lost.
It's not as if he didn't try to win. This man used the media 24/7 and 365 a year to electioneer like no one before him, got over 10 million more voters than he did in '16 driving the highest % turnout since 1900...and he still lost. His ass got smoked. Period.
So while that was 47% of the total turnout, and I don't expect them to turn their backs completely on that, I don't get candidates completely losing their dignity prostrating themselves before a man who just lost a historic election like some kind of cultist.
Cynthia is BRITISH, y'all. She is playing the entire hell out of this part, not just the accent - which is flawless - but the mannerisms, too. How she's interacting with the actresses she's playing with...Give this woman an award for this part, already.
Lansing had a 4-point swing towards the Dems in 2020, and overall turnout was up nearly 14% from 2016. Biden won 74% of the vote in the city to Clinton's 69% in 2016. #ElectionTwitter@JMilesColeman
Ethnic minority areas didn't present as clear a pattern as in some other cities. The blackest precinct (southern end of Westside neighborhood) trended Biden, while more mixed (Hmong, Vietnamese and black) trended Trump. The most hispanic precinct trended Trump but by 1 point.
In Flint, Biden matched Clinton's level of support, but the third-party vote of 2016 seems to have largely drifted right, raising Trump's margin by about 3 points to get to...16% of the total vote.😁 Where Trumped 'gained' in some cities, it was mostly because of this.
I knew the stuff was gonna hit the fan when Rev. Franklin reached way down into his sould and pulled out "chur'ren." 😬 Went from Detroit-to-Memphis is 0-5.
Ms. Franklin stayed relevent through every decade, because she wasn't afraid to take chances with her style. Gospel, soul, funk, pop, opera...she wanted it all and she did it all.
Though very slightly, Michigan's Upper Peninsula did trend toward the Dems last cycle, 56% Trump / 38% Clinton in 2016 to 57% Trump / 40% Biden. Most of the gain is on the back of it's most populous county: Marquette.
BTW, turnout was up 14%, here, which is impressive when you consider that the region is bleeding pop. on net. If the state had interest in economically jolting Marquette awake, things up there wouldn't be quite so bad, politically, from a Dem perspective.
A group including Richard Whitmer - the current governor's father - sought to allow for expanded stem cell research on donated embryos, and got a constitutional amend. on the ballot in 2008. It passed 53% - 47%. Support was strongest in Washtenaw and weakest in Missaukee.