India's choices:
Wait it out--> Will cause massive loss of life
Vaccinate quickly--> Not enough vaccines
Treat COVID effectively--> Shortage of oxygen/beds/HCWs
Voluntary precautions--> Low compliance
A nationwide shelter at home order--> Feasible. Can work if done right
Wait it out--> Will cause massive loss of life
Vaccinate quickly--> Not enough vaccines
Treat COVID effectively--> Shortage of oxygen/beds/HCWs
Voluntary precautions--> Low compliance
A nationwide shelter at home order--> Feasible. Can work if done right
All the choices are bad.
But only one is even feasible in current situation: a nationwide lockdown (with protections for the poor). With proper notice, & provision of supplies & money to workers and poor people, the economic pain can be reduced. Will save huge number of lives.
But only one is even feasible in current situation: a nationwide lockdown (with protections for the poor). With proper notice, & provision of supplies & money to workers and poor people, the economic pain can be reduced. Will save huge number of lives.
A nationally coordinated and implemented shelter in place will buy time for vaccines. It will flatten the curve, reduce stress on healthcare system, and reduce case fatality rate.
I don't see an alternative solution that will be associated with lesser loss of life.
I don't see an alternative solution that will be associated with lesser loss of life.
See more here on the rationale and details on the way to do a humane shelter in place that avoids the mistakes of the first lockdown.
https://twitter.com/VincentRK/status/1388459088330248195
The crisis in India affects all of us.
More infections = more mutations
More mutations = more infections.
Vicious cycle.
With 400,000 new cases a day in India, we need to be concerned about variants arising that are more contagious and more virulent. @michaelmina_lab
More infections = more mutations
More mutations = more infections.
Vicious cycle.
With 400,000 new cases a day in India, we need to be concerned about variants arising that are more contagious and more virulent. @michaelmina_lab
Many comments that the lockdown or shelter in place will be difficult. But no one is providing an alternative.
I know that national shelter in place or stay home orders cause severe hardship. That's why I said no easy choices. But you cannot treat your way out of COVID.
I know that national shelter in place or stay home orders cause severe hardship. That's why I said no easy choices. But you cannot treat your way out of COVID.
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