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Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
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4 May, 5 tweets, 3 min read
This is what EAG (Expert Advisory Gp) meant by empowering State/District/Rakyat with HIDE Analytics!
Check out the UK version which informs the British:
BASIC STATS
LOCKDOWN RULES IN YOUR AREA
bbc.com/news/uk-543739…
BASIC STATS:
Cases per 100K in the area?
Total Cases in latest wk?
Compared with previous wk?
COVID Deaths?
How many had 1st dose Vaccine?
Graphs to show:
Trends in Case Rate
Changes by Age
Trends in Death Rate
ANALYSIS of the DATA
LOCKDOWN RULES IN YOUR AREA:
1 Meeting friends & family
2 Going to work
3 Schools & Nurseries
4 Leisure time
5 Shopping
6 Others
We are 1 year into the Epidemic
We MUST GET IT RIGHT NOW
OR
GO THE “INDIA ROUTE”
Trust the best from our medical fraternity-EAG:
-Competent
-Science-Based
-Critical Sense of Urgency
-Transparent
-Check & Balance
-Apolitical
We will EXIT this Pandemic
Salute to our FRONT-LINERS
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More from @drmusanordin

Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
1 May
RED ZONE (>40 active cases) is NOT based on good science.
EAG stipulated it should be TARGETED MCO based on risk stratification:
1 Infection Rate (IR)
2 Coping capacity of healthcare
3 Essential services

nst.com.my/news/nation/20…
Too costly on lives, livelihoods & economy to mandate MCOs based on arbitrary metrics
@mohdhelmi factored 22 variables & utilised machine learning to do risk stratification of S’gor districts @Selangkah_my can be extrapolated-need national data sharing!
codeblue.galencentre.org/2020/12/14/cov…
P’ng, Johor & Kedah below national IR average
Why MCO?
What metrics minister using? What is the threshold to MCO?
Selangor borderline
BUT look at their risk stratification metrics with the heat-map
@Selangkah_my with Data Sci-Machine Learning-AI doing predictive risk modeling
Read 7 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
30 Apr
U r a very considerate person
May u b blessed bountifully this Ramadan
My review on this issue, yet to be uploaded
KKM data puts Msia in a HIGH Infection Rate country.
Risk of hospitalisation in 70 yr old is 1786X, risk of death 906X from COVID versus risk of blood clots!
IMHO This is good enough evidence to adopt an OPT OUT AZ vaccines policy.
Rather than an OPT IN at a separate AZ Vaccination Centre!
Our national policy on AZ ruins vaccine confidence & stigmatises a vaccine. 10.4K deaths prevented in UK with AZ! gov.uk/government/new…
This vaccine has protected the healthcare facilities from being overwhelmed with COVID admissions, lack of PPE, Oxygen, Respirators, ICU beds and has prevented deaths especially in the senior citizens. 90% hospitalisations were reduced in Scotland thelancet.com/journals/lance…
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
30 Mar
Philippines riding a new wave. Testing short (15%)
Indonesia declining cases related to better testing (still >10%) & vaccine roll out.
Msia plunging cases contributed by wider testing (2.8%) and vaccine rollout
Spore, Viet & Thai doing well to contain cases with good testing.
Sgor declining Infection Rate(IR) aka Incidence
Sgor case will remain high d/t socio-eco context, mass testing @stfc_selangor
Despite high covid burden, good Case Fatality Rate(CFR)
Rising IR in Swak
Worrying since High CFR
Flat IR in PP. Good CFR. Sporadic high-nidus 4 clusters
MITI Safe@Work SOPs inspired by POIS needs to be operational & enforced
Sgor POIS (Prevention of Outbreak @ Ignition Sites) applicable to community/construction sites/edu
Only then case declines can be maintained + ramped vaccine rollout
Lose guard-3rd wave looms like in Europe
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
23 Mar
Skeptik diInstagram kata:

“Dalil yg salah digunakan untuk meyakini Vaksin”

Jawapan saya:
Makna Al-Maidah Ayat 32:
“Jika kamu selamatkan satu nyawa seakan kamu menyelamat satu umat manusia”

Risiko dapat COVID diM’sia: 1% ie 334,157/32,700,000 [1]

Populasi M’sia: 32.7 Jut
Risiko COVID: 1%=327 ribu

COVID tanpa gejala/mild: 80%= 262 ribu. Maka risiko LONG COVID=26.2 ribu

COVID teruk: 15%=49 ribu.
Risiko LONG COVID=4.9 ribu

COVID masuk ICU: 4.6%=15 ribu.
Risiko LONG COVOD=1.5 ribu outbreak.my
COVID yang mati: 0.4%=1,308

Ayat Quran kata cegah 1 jiwa manusia drp kematian

Vaksin berupaya cegah 1,308 kematian INSHALLAH!

Semua Vaksin boleh cegah COVID TERUK (Kategori 3,4,5)
Iaiti mencegah masuk Hospital, masuk ICU dan yang mati!

Rujukan
[1] outbreak.my/world
Read 4 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
5 Mar
There's a world of difference bet privatization of vax program ie leave to market forces VS utilizing APHM/GPs to vax target pop specified by NIP
None calling for the former! Pls resist straw-man argument
U may not know but Covid vax are available on the private market globally
If APHM can purchase additional supply, BEYOND national stockpile, WHY should Gomen or You object?
Last I heard we were still a democracy or EO subverted that right too?
I doubt it’s market failure!
It’s really a gomen failure-Msia’s perennial problem

google.com/amp/s/www.hind…
Private hospitals in India, a/c 74% of vaccines given on Day 2 in India.
Charged up to ₹250 (RM14)/shot
Connected Black-Market guys in M’sia demanding RM300-400/shot
JKJAV not seriously addressing this threat to our Vaccine Rollout!
Turning a blind eye to this national threat
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
3 Mar
Don’t fall into same trap as MOH and quote absolute nos ONLY
Epidemiology101 calculates RATES.
S’gor has SECOND highest incidence rate
S’gor has THIRD highest prevalence rate in the country.
Despite her VERY HIGH workload, Case Fatality Rate is the 4th LOWEST in the country ImageImage
S’gor should be TARGET for INTENSIVE Vaccine Rollout!
Yet S’gor has the LOWEST VACCINE COVERAGE in the country!
JKJAV has FAILED to address BASIC yet PIVOTAL vaccine rollout issues
Is it any wonder that the front-liners in S’gor in public & private healthcare are VERY FURIOUS! Image
Absolute TRAVESTY of vaccine access, equity & distributive justice
We’ve had enough of sweet talk!
Roll up your sleeves, get down to REAL Vaccine Actions & guarantee deliverables.
@Khairykj JKJAV MUST deliver vaccines to priority FRONTLINERS & STATES
STOP playing politics!
Read 7 tweets

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