All these Englishmen are missing the phenomenal success of the SNP in Scotland.
If the SNP win 65 of the 73 constituency seats, they have a majority of 1
But let's work it out.
65 divided by 73 equals 0.89, or 89%.
For comparison 89% of the seats in Westminster equals 578 seats. Which would be a majority of 506
The SNP is about to win the kind of majority in Scotland that if it happened in England would send the country into total hysteria. And yet the English have barely noticed.
No party in England, even at its height, no party has ever come close in England to what the SNP are doing in Scotland.
And all the English want to talk about is Hartlepool.
I'm afraid the English have turned into a nation of toothless hillbillies
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First of all enough of this wank about who is the oldest democracy. We're going to establish terms.
First we define democracy as being universal suffrage above a certain age regardless of gender.
Under this definition of universal suffrage Britain first became a democracy in 1928.
Anything before that belongs in prehistory and cannot be compared with the modern world.
So beginning in 1928 with the birth of democracy in Britain, I wonder what governments there have been. I don't know the answer to this so I'll have to look it all up . . .
It seems to me that political and geographic accuracy is not something that English newsmen have ever been challenged on before, but they should.
If you're talking about the government of the United Kingdom, then that's fine, of course you call it Britain.
But that's not what English newsmen do
English newsmen continually refer to English politics as "Britain".
For example, they'll tell you that "Britain" is reconciled to Brexit because both Labour and the Tories accept it.
My predictions are based on these specific constituencies, and the number of votes the SNP need to win it.
Dumbarton - 100 votes
Edinburgh Central - 600 votes
Aberdeenshire West - 900 votes
Edinburgh South - 1,000 votes
Last time the SNP had 46.5% of the constituency vote. Anything above 48% should mean they win at least two of those seats, and they would do so without losing anything from the list.
There are seven seats the SNP can win without losing any list seats. And if they do win any where they lose one from the list as well, it's going to be a straight exchange, one for one.
It's a long time since Labour won their last election, but it's a long time since the Tories won one as well.
If you think about it in the right way.
Cameron didn't win a majority in 2010. Won a small majority in 2015, which Theresa May then lost in 2017. Johnson won a majority of 80 in 2019, the first substantial majority the Tories had won since 1987
The Tories keep finding themselves in government, but every time they do it proves chaotic.
In 1992 Major won a small majority, which Tony Blair then swept away.
I was right about Brexit except just one thing.
I was right that the English would vote leave and Scotland vote remain.
I was right that Theresa May would fail to get her stupid non-Brexit through parliament
I was right that she would lose her majority. I was right that she would end up having to resign.
I was also right that the only viable Brexit was a total Brexit. That it was all the Tories would ever accept.
I was also right that such a Brexit was bound to destroy the country. In all these things I was right four years ago and have been right ever since.