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Nick Riccardi Profile picture
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4 May, 3 tweets, 1 min read
From @Nate_Cohn, probably the single most important paragraph in electoral politics nytimes.com/2021/05/04/us/…
"It’s just hard to call it a Great Replacement if Mr. Trump could have won in 2020 if only he had done as well among white voters as he did in 2016."
In fact, if anyone is replacing white GOP voters, it's white college graduates.

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More from @NickRiccardi

Nick Riccardi Profile picture
3 May
Diaz is gonna blow this, isn't he?
Yep
The Diaz meltdown in 2019 began in Philadelphia. And here we go again....
Read 6 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
24 Sep 20
"According to booking data from TripIt, a travel organizing app, Denver is the third-most popular fall travel destination this year." Seriously? Don't you people have somewhere better to go?! washingtonpost.com/travel/tips/de…
Denver is fine but if you're gonna come here you should really just keep driving west and visit the mountains. Denver is your typical pleasant western lifestyle town, but the mountains are just amazing.
Random list of places you could go in the fall that are better than Denver, even w crazy limited travel and the west coast on fire:

1) New Orleans
2) New York
3) New England (their fall color is better)
4) Florida (beaches! Just watch for hurricanes)
5) Santa Fe/NM
Read 4 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
23 Sep 20
This isn't the way people live their lives!
Jordan clarifies in the thread that he's just looking for a nudge like endowing a lab at University of Wyoming, but....this isn't gonna spark an exodus of blue staters. Have you been to southern Wyoming? It's an acquired taste.
In fact if you want to live a lovely western lifestyle and be 2 hours from Denver there are already a wide range of options in places not as cold and windy and bleak as the Laramie area. They're all in the state of Colorado, which is pretty reliably blue.
Read 4 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
23 Sep 20
Otoh, R campaigns, including the Trump campaign, are pushing their voters to cast ballots by mail, indicating that campaign professionals believe it is the optimal way for their side to run up the numbers (which it generally is)
Typically about 1% of mail ballots are rejected and there isn't a big partisan difference in who votes by mail, so that doesnt matter much. But mail voting tends to increase turnout by well over 1%, so it's a net gain in participation.
(And if only one party is using it, that party will net votes, barring a catastrophic failure)
Read 7 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
22 Sep 20
Actually the Supreme Court has been conservative for decades
This isn't subjective. There's been a conservative majority for a long time
There has been a continued pull rightward with conservatives complaining various justices (Kennedy, Roberts now) aren't "conservative," but they are actually in the conservative majority.
Read 5 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
21 Sep 20
The parties don't get to pick their ideological formation. They exist in response to societal trends and the Ds' shifts are due to an increasing college-educated population clustering in metro areas that are also magnets for immigration + job growth.
The fact that this coalition is now a majority of the US population and increasingly a majority of presidential election voters but not well distributed for the electoral college/Senate is a feature, not a bug, of the coalition.
I keep seeing stuff like this and yes, tactically this is absolutely what the party should do. But its voters aren't going to play along -- they're a majority, why should they have to adjust their views to win elections?
Read 4 tweets

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