697 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. today, as the province's rolling average and active case count continues to go down at a steady pace.

Hospitalizations back up to 486, as it's still on that plateau.

One new death.

Today's chart.
Another 32,832 people received a vaccine shot in B.C. yesterday, as we wait for the Pfizer doubling of supply to show up in the daily figures.

It's a fairly static story at the moment.
Just one death today is encouraging — but last Tuesday there were zero deaths, so the rolling average actually goes up.

It's fortunate we haven't seen a spike due to vaccinations, it's frustrating that preventing a 3rd wave means we're still seeing 1-7 deaths each day.
After several weeks in B.C. where all the metrics were trending badly with the government insisting things were under control,

and then several weeks of the trendlines plateauing

and then several weeks going down,

things are pretty predictable right now

That's good!
We've gone through the testing thing many times, but we've now had three full weeks of numbers consistently going in one direction, and the positivity rate going down as well

There's a lot of anxiety at the moment of the AZ communication, and possible changes in rollout — but it's important to keep in mind it's a relatively small part of B.C.'s strategy

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More from @j_mcelroy

6 May
News out of Prince Rupert continues to be good.

Two months ago, it was the hotspot for transmission in British Columbia.

85% of adults were given a vaccine shot.

Weekly #COVID19 cases fell from more than 100 to 3.

Then they went to 2.

Last week, there was ONE CASE. Image
everyone says bring back the boring chart but really let's have the prince rupert chart for the entire province
More good news!

One month ago, the B.C.'s transmission hotspot was Whistler.

Everyone there was given a chance to get a shot.

There were 410 cases in their local health area at the peak.

Last week, there were 39.

A 95% reduction, three weeks after mass vaccination.
Read 4 tweets
5 May
572 cases of #COVID19 in B.C. today, the lowest number since March 20, as B.C.'s curve continues to bend down at a VERY encouraging pace.

Hospitalizations down to 481, and zero new deaths.

Today's chart. Image
33,068 people given a vaccine shot in B.C. yesterday, 1,412 of which were a second dose — highest number since early March.

Stilllllll waiting for that ramp up in daily numbers which *should* happen very soon now. ImageImage
Because of a data correction, the charts record negative three #COVID19 deaths in B.C. today.

(the province says there were zero)

As you can see, it doesn't change the rolling average all that substantially for the moment. Image
Read 10 tweets
5 May
It's Wednesday, which means detailed hospitalization numbers in B.C. dropped.

Once again, a big change in cases to "young people" did not happen.

As hospitalizations plummet in people 80+, the dominant age brackets reflected are those in their 60s and 70s. Image
Over the course of the pandemic, just over 11% of all ICU cases of #COVID19 in B.C. were in people under the age of 40.

In the most recent week of data, it was 7%.
I keep pointing out this lack of change in health outcomes and case counts in the 3rd wave for a couple of reasons.

One is Horgan, "don't blow this", and all that jazz.

But the other is many people were very confident something was happening in B.C., or about to happen.
Read 4 tweets
4 May
when you put in your census code and it's the long form
so far there is no section of the long form census asking how many parks you ranked in the last year BUT I HAVE FAITH
prior to completing a long form census i had no idea how important it was to continually affirm that i do not live on a farm or do any farming-related activities
Read 4 tweets
3 May
Frustratingly, the BCCDC has had another "systems issue" today, which is code for "you're not getting much data".

So limited extra numbers today.

We had around 164 hospitalizations the last three days — down from the 60-70 peak, but still way too high.
88% of all #COVID19 hospitalizations in B.C. now are in the Lower Mainland.

In the rest of B.C., it's less than 10 a day, and going down.
For the first time since cases began declining in the 3rd wave, we saw a decent drop in active cases in Fraser Health.

We've talked about one (or even three days) worth of data not being enough to draw conclusions many times during this, but let's hope that dip continues. Image
Read 5 tweets
3 May
An average of 725 cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. over the last three days, a 13% drop from the previous Monday, as the province's 3rd wave trendline continues to drop.

Encouragingly, hospitalizations down to 474, lowest since April 20.

15 new deaths.

Today's chart. Image
An average of 30,203 people given a vaccine shot in B.C. over the last three days, slightly down from the previous two weekends.

As we've talked about, doubling of weekly Pfizer supply kicks in NOW, and we see whether the province can do one final ramp up of distribution. ImageImage
i missed the point in the metaphor where we went from the marathon to the bridge of the uss enterprise, but star trek time travel episodes always had one or two logic gaps
Read 7 tweets

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