@metaLulie There are many different kinds of people. We hear about and from suburban middle-class people ("normies") a lot because a lot of our shared stories about what is going on are about them.
@metaLulie Microeconomically rational agents with similar beliefs and preferences will usually act similarly, and a statistical normal can emerge from this. But sometimes the details of a situation mean that the best thing to do looks very unusual.
@metaLulie Normies aren't microeconomically rational. Their main motivation is that they feel safe if they resemble some shared idea of normality, and scared otherwise. This is a cybernetic perceptual-control process.
@metaLulie Normies will often justify their own actions, and reward and punish others', on the basis of what is normal. This leads to ganging up on people who aren't trying to follow the herd, even if they aren't hurting anyone.
@metaLulie If you're holding onto an autonomous perspective, you're alienated from opposition to autonomous perspectives. That doesn't mean you're doing something wrong. It just means you're in a conflict.
@metaLulie It's helpful to be able to understand and predict the actions of people who are trying to hurt you, but it's not helpful to misinterpret a conflict as a disagreement you ought to try to reconcile.
@metaLulie Normies claim to be a larger and more powerful coalition than they actually are by conflating their conformity target with statistical normality. This can make it seem more dangerous or surprising than it is to be out of sync with normies.
@metaLulie You included "nothing that looks like a mental illness" and "steady job" in your definition of normal. 1 in 5 Americans have a diagnosable mental illness, and 2 in 5 do not participate in the labor force at all.
@metaLulie Accurately modeling this situation can make your story about what's going on deviate a lot from the normie narrative.
@metaLulie But most people are excluded from the normie narrative. So being deviant by normie standards can bring you closer to the statistical average and help you relate to more people than a normie can!
@metaLulie I don't think this hits the standard of "like I'm 8," please let me know which parts of this need to be unpacked further.
@metaLulie Another way to say all this is that there's a conflict in the West between the mode of life in which Aspies are normal (because they are what children expect to grow up to be) and the one in which Anti-Semites are normal (because they coordinate around the idea of normality).

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More from @ben_r_hoffman

6 May
@metaLulie I don't think normies are doing what they're doing deliberately or consciously, and I do think they're doing what they're doing out of fear. Threatening people who aren't unconsciously controlled by fear is how this pattern propagates itself. Related:
@metaLulie Also - glad to hear I'm managing to communicate more effectively than before. I've had a lot of high-quality bodywork done recently that seems to have made this a lot easier.
@metaLulie Another way to say all this is that there's a conflict in the West between the mode of life in which Aspies are normal (because they are what children expect to grow up to be) and the one in which Anti-Semites are normal (because they coordinate around the idea of normality).
Read 4 tweets
16 Apr
Antivax position: Even the FDA agrees the vaccine approval process is shoddy enough to let something dangerous through.
Provax position: FDA decisions are political, not scientific. When the state says so, we gotta inject ourselves with something that makes us feel ill. Health!
I hold the declinist provax opinion that most likely the vaccines are safe and effective, but most people are not in an epistemic position to assess this, and society is no longer capable of building the sorts of institutions that deliver safe effective vaccines.
Reasons for skepticism of my stated perspective:
1 This might be the most vaccine-skeptical position you're reliably allowed to see on this platform.
2 My life strategy involves consuming officially prescribed poisons as a costly signal of obedience:
Read 5 tweets
15 Apr
Statistics about the worst-off can only explain their bad life outcomes if rules are reliably enforced. Otherwise, statistical descriptions of the behavior of the poor could just as easily be descriptions of the good behavior for which they are being punished, or lies.
Structural racism comes from the selective enforcement of rules on the basis of what feels like a normal outcome, so that existing power relations, not the rules, actually control behavior.
Once you know about structural racism, blaming African-Americans' plight on the prevalence of unwed black mothers goes from naive to comically racist. This is good - it creates an opportunity to correct one's political commitments - but only if we actually use the opportunity.
Read 7 tweets
26 Mar
2 modern ideologies: cybernetics & game theory, i.e. macroeconomics and microeconomics, unseeing each other.
Keynesian cybernetics systematically extends credit to too-big-to-fail, causing secular increase in relative frequency of Moral Mazes.
Classical economics takes a nation's perspective & tries to increase its wealth. Neoclassical game-theoretic ideas like Pareto improvement assume a nation is made of agents in conflict. RBC theory specifically unsees cybernetics.
Read 8 tweets
7 Mar
Ideology: Changes in treasury bond yield affects availability of credit via opportunity cost.
Mechanical explanation: Changes in treasury bond yield affects availability of credit via the market value of banks' capital reserves.
🧵
Lower Yield, Higher Price

Simple bond: an IOU for $10 in a year. If I buy it for $8 now, then it's as though it will go up in value by 25% in a year, so the effective yield is 25%, the same as if I bought an $8 bond paying 25% interest.
Market Price Yield
$10 0%
$9 11%
$8 25%
$7 43%
$6 67%
$5 100%

For any specific claim on future cash, a higher market price IS a lower yield, and vice versa.
Read 27 tweets
26 Feb
@HiFromMichaelV @wolftivy N is a white woman who's worked for 10+ years in credit unions, currently working on a project to expand access to credit for formerly incarcerated people.
@HiFromMichaelV @wolftivy In our first conversation, I pointed out the difference between credit scores as self-fulfilling prophecies about people's ability to roll over their debts based on future access to credit, and underwriting loans based on fundamentals.
@HiFromMichaelV @wolftivy (Her plan involved making special exceptions to the former but not doing anything about the structural features of the system that create privilege classes, and I wanted to point out that the bigger, more profitable, and more systemic-change-oriented opportunity is the latter.)
Read 9 tweets

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