The Arizona legislature, which commissioned the "audit", will surely accept its conclusions however wild they are. Perhaps they'll do that via a motion rejecting the 2020 result?
That might also mean a criminal investigation against innocent election officials in Maricopa. No convictions will follow but it'll take months.
Hannity, Tucker, Pirro etc will push the "finding" hard on Fox etc. Trump himself will amplify it every day. Consumers of conservative media will hear about nothing else: finally, "the proof it was rigged"!
As Stefanik's behaviour shows, nationally the GOP will fall in behind the Big Lie too, even some who've previously accepted the election was fair. There will be too much grassroots pressure to resist.
It'll trigger similarly dodgy audits in other GOP-controlled states that Biden won, like WI. Decent chance Cyber Ninjas will get those contracts if they show Republicans they can deliver the 'right' findings.
Moderate Republicans who don't really think the election was rigged might change their minds seeing this tide on Fox, in statehouse and in the country.
Of course, the reality-based community will laugh at the clown show in Arizona. But that doesn't help convince anyone. It just makes us take it less seriously.
Hopefully I'm wrong. The people doing the AZ audit seem crazy rather than evil. They genuinely think there was massive election fraud, which might make them less likely to outright manufacture evidence.
Even without a fake smoking gun, though, you can always generate a report that 'raises concerning unanswered questions' and smells enough like a fraud finding if it isn't read too closely — which it won't be.
I understand the Biden Administration and Dem Party want to govern and not get bogged down in Trump and Trumpism. But as @TheRickWilson says, it's not going away. Ignore it and it'll fester.
I wonder if the world is about to face significant inflationary pressure. Supply issues for appliances, low interest rates, stimulus cheques / furlough payments, post-Covid optimisim in the West...
It's been 30 years since inflation was out of control in most Western countries. Millennials haven't experienced high inflation, let alone Zoomers. If it comes it'll be a big shock.
I'm writing indoors at a cafe for the first time since March 2020. Every table is taken and every person has a laptop out. It's completely silent apart from the background music.
Someone just came in, saw there were no tables and went to leave when someone else offered to share a table. The new person has no laptop, but she has ringbinders. Silence continues.
Someone answered her phone. The rest of us are giving her dirty looks.
I think this NYTimes article is too pessimistic. In particular, it doesn't take account of the situation in Israel, where it looks like there *might* be population immunity with just 54% vaccination.
Almost 30% of the population in Israel is under the age of 16. The young population meant that we weren't *expecting* herd immunity here until kids could be vaccinated.
The article suggests that you need 80% vaccination coverage to keep unmitigated R<1. But that doesn't seem to be what we're seeing in real life. Maybe because infected kids alone don't transmit the virus to enough other people to keep the pandemic going?
The "watermark" theory was all over MAGA and QAnon in the week after the election. The theory was that Trump had ordered the US military to secretly watermarked the ballots in order to expose fraud by state officials.
Here's a few examples from 8 November showing what they imagined the "real" ballots might look like under UV light. QAnon adherents also referenced the Q phrase "watch the water", claiming it might refer to watermarks.
The irony is that QAnon dumped the watermarks theory months ago, and have spent recent days explaining how the UV light at the Maricopa "audit" wasn't looking for watermarks because that would be dumb! The UV must really be looking for something else like skin oil
Was just about to write about Rob Petrosian, a pro-Trump TikTok account that pretends to be a White House Correspondent, posting old videos as if they're news. But @TRWerkmeister got there first. observers.france24.com/en/americas/20…
"Petrosian" has nearly 300k followers on TikTok and his videos have 4.9M likes. They're mostly old clips labelled as if they're happening now, with fake captions
The Petrosian account was behind the false claim that Biden collapsed at the White House during Easter and was hospitalised. This fake claim, complete with a video of reporters running to the West Wing, was all over MAGA networks that day.
Israel's Health Ministry came up with a plan to limit numbers at Meron due to Covid. The plan was ignored by the Government. The authorities just allowed the various Hassidic sects to do their own thing. Last night's tragedy is the result.
This is from a news report yesterday, before the tragedy at Meron.
From a Haredi website 3 years ago: "Who will prevent a disaster at the Toldot Aharon bonfire lighting?". It noted the narrow exit and risk of a crush. But the authorities turned a blind eye for years until tragedy struck.