Thread by @WayeMason

So, yes, today was bad. Objectively it was bad as every death at this point was preventable, and 400+ cases (in and not yet in the system), so this is a lot to sit with. But I am hopeful! The only way out is through. We can do this!

Here is why (a thread):

The province-wide lockdown came into effect 10 days ago, and there is a 14 day incubation period. Between the backlog of data entry and the fact that we still have 4 days to go, it's ok to not see a trend down yet. cbc.ca/player/play/18…

Right now, around 310k people in NS have gotten 1 or more shots in the arm. The province is getting around 79K doses a week from the Feds. This *should* ramp up in 2 weeks, but even if it doesn't 60% 1 shot in arms 16+ may 27ish, 70% June 4ish, 80% June 12ish.

Now 1 shot is not as good as 2 shots but studies show that 1 shot of AZ is 73% effective, and 80% effective at keeping folks out of hospital. latimes.com/science/story/…

Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are likely 80% effective against symptomatic COVID-19 after one dose.

businessinsider.com/covid-vaccine-…

Remember - the vaccines are not fully effective for 14-21 days after you get them, but we should see spread and serious illness drop rapidly between end of May to end of June.

6abc.com/covid-vaccine-…

So while we all need 2 doses, & youngsters need it, and a lot depends on variants, the bottom line is that as Dr Strang said, May will be awful, but betters days are ahead, just 4-6-8 weeks away.

So stay strong, stay home, we will get through this!

#nspoli #halifax #covid19hfx