Putin's victory day march & speech are interesting in many ways.
1. It looks so obsolete. Everybody is old & so is the style & military equipment.
2. The only foreign leader present is Tajikistan's Soviet-style dictator Emomali Rahmon.
3. The allies are not even mentioned. The USSR did it all alone (news).
4. Putin carefully avoids falling into Russian ethnic or religious nationalism, clarifying: "People of all ethnicities and faiths fought for every inch of our soil." His nationalism is imperial.
5. A novelty is an implicit parallel between the Nazis & the West. Putin: "An enemy attacked our country and invaded our land to kill and to spread death and pain, horror and immeasurable suffering."
en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
6. Putin: "This enemy not only wanted to overthrow the Soviet political system but also to destroy us as a state, as a nation and wipe our peoples off the face of the earth."
7. Putin ties it together: "The slogans of racial and ethnic supremacy, anti-Semitism and Russophobia were becoming more and more cynical."
8. Without saying so directly, Putin associates the West with the Nazis again:
"Unfortunately, attempts are made to deploy a large part of Nazi ideology and the ideas of those who were obsessed with the delusional theory of their own supremacy."
9. Not going into Russia's violation of Ukraine's territorial integrity, FSB & GRU death squads, Putin concludes:
"Russia is consistently defending international law while continuing to protect our national interests and the security of our people."
Putin has taken a big new step

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More from @anders_aslund

26 Apr
How pathetic! Kremlin-loyal Russian daily Kommersant reports on Biden under the heading: "Joe Biden got 100 days older." What a disgrace!
Please write your next headline: Putin has exhausted the Russian people for 20 years.
kommersant.ru/doc/4791287?fr…
Kommersant's Kremlin propagandists continue: "Joe Biden is unpopular." That is their interpretation of 52% supporting him in the ABC/Washington Post poll, to compare with 42% for Trump at this time in 2017.
What cheap propaganda!
Amidst this, these propagandists claim that Biden wants to meet Putin in Europe June 15-16. If everything else is wrong, why should we believe them? A fair assumption is that this is a Kremlin provocation to force the White House to offer an early meeting.
Read 5 tweets
25 Apr
I think that @JoeBiden's commitment to a summit of democracies is a great idea, drawing on Madeleine Albright's community of democracies, but the conditions & aims need to be clear. For 15 years democracies have lost against authoritarians. This summit could turn the tide.
1. The aim should be to establish a certain set of minimal rules for a democracy. Multiple excellent political scientists can do that: @McFaul @LarryDiamond @FukuyamaFrancis @vjb23 @timothymfrye
This should lead to the creating of an international organization of democracy.
2. Similarly, there is no international organization for the development of the rule of law. The summit should intend to set up such an organization as well, but it should be separate from the organization of democracy, because it requires lawyers, not political scientists.
Read 7 tweets
25 Apr
If the Russian government labels Navalny's Anti-corruption Foundation extremist, i.e. terrorist, that should be the final nail in Western treatment of Russian state & judiciary authorities. They should no longer be respected.
atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…
1. The West should no longer pay any attention to Russian Red Notices. @Billbrowder
2. Should the democratic West set up an alternative Interpol only for countries that respect the rule of law? This could be part of Biden's summit of democracies.
3. Russian state agencies should not be given a voice in Western court processes, simply discarded as illegitimate.
4. In particular, Russian state agencies should have no right to raise discovery cases in the US, often used by the Russian state to go after political refugees.
Read 7 tweets
22 Apr
When meeting Lukashenka, Putin attacked Ukraine viciously: "the current Ukrainian leadership took many steps that are destroying Russian-Ukrainian relations...It includes their attitude towards the Russian Orthodox Church and attempts to destroy it."
"This applies to their attitude towards the Russian language and Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine and Russian citizens living in Ukraine."
All this is qualified nonsense.
en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Putin continues "if President Zelensky wants to start restoring these relations, we will only welcome this....what would we discuss at this meeting? If the discussion concerns the problems of Donbass, the Ukrainian leaders must, first of all, meet with the heads of the republics"
Read 6 tweets
21 Apr
Putin's much delayed annual speech to the Federal Assembly was almost entirely devoted to domestic issues. 20 minutes for each: Coronavirus, social & economic issues. Very positive: Almost everything is good & it will become even better.
en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Putin stumbles when reading & missed many small things in the text, which was full of irrelevant details & numbers. As usual, he set no overall goals of relevance of growth rate, etc. The 1 hour & 20 minutes long speech was incredibly boring & many fell asleep.
The brief security section of barely 10 minutes did not mention the US, the EU or the current situation in Ukraine. The main emphasis was on an alleged attempt at coup in Belarus & attempt to murder Lukashenka.
Read 5 tweets
20 Apr
By trying to kill @navalny, Putin has put himself in a los-lose position. If he kills Navalny, Navalny will become Anatoly Marchenko. If Navalny survives, he will become Andrei Sakharov. In December 1986, the fearless Marchenko died at the age of 48 in a Soviet prison hospital.
Marchenko was the 2nd most prominent dissident after Sakharov. He died after a three-month-long hunger strike. In 1969, Marchenko was sentenced for "defamation of the Soviet political system", & in 1981 he got a 15-year sentence for "anti-Soviet agitation,” but he was a fighter.
Marchenko’s goal was the release of all Soviet prisoners of conscience & he succeeded. His death caused a major international outcry; 11 days after his death, Gorbachev freed Sakharov from his enforced exile in Gorky.
Read 4 tweets

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