Getting Rich vs Staying Rich (A must-read thread):
You must have heard of the Buffett and Charlie.
But 40 years ago there was a third member of the group, Rick Guerin.
Warren, Charlie, and Rick made investments and interviewed business managers together.
Then Rick disappeared.
@MohnishPabrai once asked Buffett what happened to Rick and Warren said, “Charlie and I always knew that we would become incredibly wealthy.
We were not in a hurry to get wealthy as we knew it would happen eventually.
Rick was just as smart as us, but he was in a hurry.
In the 1973–1974 downturn, Rick was on leverage with margin loans and the stock market went down almost 70% in just two years & he got margin calls.
He was forced to sell his Berkshire stock at just $40 per share. (Today, you do know the value of one share of Berkshire right?)
Warren, Charlie, and Rick were equally skilled at getting wealthy.
But Warren and Charlie had the most essential skill of staying wealthy.
As @nntaleb says: Having an edge and surviving
are two different things: the first requires the second. You need to avoid ruin at all costs.
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1) Warren Buffett:
> Is the business simple to understand?
> Is the management rational with its capital allocation?
> Can the business be purchased at a significant discount to its value?
(1/2)
> Is the management candid with the shareholders?
> Has the company created at least one dollar of market value for every dollar retained?
> Can you see how good the business will be versus the competition 10 years from now?
> Focus on ROE rather than the EPS.
(2/2)
2) Lou Simpson:
> Does management have a substantial stake in the stock of the company?
> Is management straightforward in dealings with the owners?
> Is management willing to divest unprofitable operations?
> Does management use excess cash to buy back/repurchase shares?
30 books I wish I read before Investing my hard-earned money:
1. You can be a Stock Market Genius by Joel Greenblatt 2. Common Stocks, Uncommon Profits by Phil Fisher 3. Margin of Safety by Seth Klarman 4. The Crowd by Gustave Le Bon 5. Winning the Loser's Game by Charles Ellis
6. The Zurich Axioms by Max Gunther 7. The Most Important Thing by Howard Marks 8. Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 9. The Intelligent Investor by B. Graham 10. A Zebra in Lion country by Ralph Wanger and Everett Mattlin 11. Learn to Earn by Peter Lynch
12.Poor Charlie's Almanack - The wit and wisdom of Charles T Munger
13.Speculative Contagion by Frank Martin 14. The Long and the Short of it by John Kay 15. More than you know by Michael Maubossin 16. Influence - The Psychology of Persuasion by Robert Cialdini
17 Most important Lessons from the first book I ever read on Value Investing:
1) Learn to Stand against the Crowd:
Being a value investor usually means standing apart from the crowd, challenging conventional wisdom, and opposing the prevailing ideas. It can get very lonely.
2) Forecasting is a bad strategy:
Those who think who can predict the future should participate fully, using borrowed money, when the market is about to rise and get out of the market before it falls.
3) Simple but NOT easy:
Value investing requires a great deal of hard work, unusually strict discipline, and a long-term investment horizon.
1) Invest only a part of savings (not the actual earnings) into stocks:
> As per your age, only invest a certain "%" based on your risk-taking capacity.
(if you are <50 years = ~25 to 50%,
and if >50 years = ~10 to 25%).
2) Your investment belongs to the market and the profits belong to you:
> As long as you are invested, the profits belong to the market.
> Don't spend just because your portfolio has increased because tomorrow stock prices can collapse.
3) Book profits periodically: Invest those profits in buying real estate (securing a house first is very important).
4) Don't trade or leverage: Trading is a full-time business. Don't even try doing it part-time and never do it with borrowed money.
• Debt to Equity Ratio < 1
• 3 year average Revenue growth > 10%
• 3 year average Net profit growth > 15%
• 3 year average Return on Equity / ROCE > 20%
• Promoter Holding > 50%
2) Business Model:
• What is the nature of the product a company sells or services it offers?
• How the company makes a profit from its operations?
• Does the product or service exist or has a potential to exist even after 50 years?
3) COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE:
• Does the company have a sustainable competitive advantage in respect of cost structure, brand reorganization, product quality, distribution network etc.
• Are there any entry barriers?