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9 May, 4 tweets, 1 min read
In the end, a pretty limited reshuffle.
Though extremely wounding for Dodds. Never entirely understood the criticism. How many Shadow Chancellors "cut through"?
All replies to this are listing those who were either s chancellor for a long time and/or became chancellor. Dodd’s shadowed for a year in a pandemic where few were interested in Lab. neither defending nor praising but focussing on her lack of “cut through” specifically seems odd
Can’t think of many shadow cabinet ministers who have “cut through” this year either, some similarly senior.

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More from @lewis_goodall

Lewis Goodall Profile picture
10 May
A reminder that electoral fraud is a tiny problem. There were only 164 cases of any kind at the 2019 general election. Across all elections in 2019 the police found it necessary to issue a mere 2 cautions. Electoral Commission says UK has “low levels of proven electoral fraud.”
That said Electoral Commission itself has recommended that the UK as a whole moves to some form of photo ID system, as in NI. They do acknowledge however that there are about 3.5 million people (mainly younger voters) without any form of ID. Big concern is it depresses turnout.
Electoral Commission has recommended that people be allowed to apply for a free form of ID from local councils. But clearly that requires effort which could be a disincentive for voting. It goes in a v different direction to Scotland & Wales, which have enfranchised 16 year olds.
Read 5 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
9 May
KEY ENGLAND ELECTION TAKEAWAYS (thread)

1) Brexit realignment continues
2) Tory Party now hegemonic in much of England.
3) Elections put pay to the theory that Labour's problems were just about Corbyn.
4) Greens on the rise.
5) Some people have said today that the narrative of the elections would be very different if the results had come in a different order. I'm not so sure. Yes Labour won most of the mayoral contests but given they mainly cover urban conurbations in which Labour does well that...
...isn't surprising. People point to the WoE and C&P mayors as a sign of realignment but it's more a sign that there are lots of Labour inclined votes in Bristol and Cambridge and that a different electoral system can really help progressive parties when the vote is split.
Read 30 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
9 May
Tracy Brabin on course to win the West Yorkshire mayoralty and as a result we’re in for another by-election in Batley and Spen.
Will be of enormous political importance- Labour won’t have the excuse of the Brexit Party vote given its very small. As I said following Hartlepool, I suspect real peril for Starmer if he loses- after events of last 24 hours even more so.
Cue political journalists furiously googling the Heavy Woollen District Independents
Read 7 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
9 May
NEW: Conservatives hold Adur Council (West Sussex)
More very good results for the Greens, this time in Stroud- 5 gains from Tories and Labour. A real 3 party council now.
NEW: ANOTHER Conservative council gain from Labour in the Midlands. This time Amber Valley in Derbyshire. Was controlled by Labour until this elections. Has exchanged hands on and off for decades. Labour shouldn't be losing it. 9 straight swaps between the parties.
Read 11 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
8 May
LONDON MAYOR SECOND ROUND

KHAN (Lab): 1,206,034
BAILEY (Con): 977,601

Sadiq Khan is re-elected for a second term.
Khan: 55.2% (-1.6%)
Bailey: 44.8% (+1.6%)

Not an enormous change on four years ago, though given general bonus for incumbents, such as that we saw for Burnham/Houchen, must be a bit disappointing for Khan.
Green Party tops off a strong performance in London with a third place finish. @sianberry secures nearly 8% of first preferences. Beats Lib Dem @LuisaPorritt into fourth place on 4.4%.
Read 4 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
8 May
NEW: SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT ELECTIONS 2021 FINAL RESULTS

SNP: 64 (+1)
Conservative: 31 (-)
Labour: 22 (-2)
Green: 8 (+2)

SNP missed out on an outright majority by a single seat. Nonetheless clear (and biggest) majority for independence across the Parliament in the body's history.
The fact that the SNP can even get close to 65 (in successive elections) is a pretty remarkable feat

Given the grumblings about Douglas Ross and the Tory campaign, matching Davidson's 2016 performance is something they'll be v pleased with
Labour have gone backwards marginally but they're pleased with how Sarwar has gone down during the campaign and think they have something to build on

The striking thing, as I've said before is how static the Scottish political situation is, almost in aspic
Read 5 tweets

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