"Roughly 4 in 10 of [Biden's] votes came from people of color ... Trump’s voters, by contrast, were overwhelmingly white, 85% ... with just 15% coming from people of color, mostly Latinos"
"Biden also gained from increased support for Democrats among white voters with college educations ... Biden didn’t improve among whites without a college degree ... but he didn’t lose any further ground among a group that remains a majority of voters in many key states."
"In 2020, Latino and Asian voters increased as a share of the electorate, while the white share declined. The share cast by Black voters remained steady."
"Much of the drop among white voters came from those without college degrees."

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More from @billscher

11 May
Only 3 times since Reconstruction has the president's party gained House seats in the midterm.

But what's the common thread through those 3 times?

Crisis.

I wrote about it for @monthly washingtonmonthly.com/2021/05/10/dem…

But let's look at those 3 cases...
@monthly 1934: FDR begins to dig out the Great Depression with the New Deal. Net gain 9 seats.

1998: GOP launches impeachment inquiry during economic boom, boosting Clinton. Net gain 5 seats.

2002: Post 9/11 national security concerns boost Bush & GOP. Net gain 8 seats.

...
@monthly We have also one more case of the president's party losing less than 5 House seats.

1962: JFK's Democrats lose just 4 seats one month after the Cuban Missile Crisis.

...
Read 8 tweets
20 Apr
In my latest for @monthly, which talks of the value in threatening to court-pack (but not actually doing it), I delve into the debate over the impact of FDR's court-packing attempt. I include some details you may not know...

washingtonmonthly.com/2021/04/20/sho…
@monthly ...Some argue FDR's court-packing bill instigated the "switch in time that saved nine," as the Court flipped from anti-New Deal to pro-New Deal rulings after that.

But the "switch" happened before the bill's introduction...
...FDR announced his bill on Feb. 5, 1937 presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/mess…

But as Justice Owen Roberts explained in a 1945 memo academic.brooklyn.cuny.edu/history/johnso… he cast the "switch" vote on Dec. 19, 1936, so FDR's announcement could not have pressured him...
Read 17 tweets
20 Apr
Walter Mondale to Gary Hart: "When I hear your 'new ideas,' I’m reminded of that ad, 'Where’s the Beef?'"

When you see the clip, you can see how hard Mondale worked to talk over Hart and get that canned line out ... and how pleased he was with himself afterwards
For the youngsters out there: this was considered *the* pivotal moment of the 1984 Democratic presidential primary
Read 4 tweets
26 Dec 20
Having gotten Obama's memior for Xmas, I was struck at how quickly it grabs you.

Which got me thinking about how well does the intro stand up to past presidential autobiographies and memoirs...
...There have been 16 presidential autobiographies and memoirs, covering that time in office (I'm not counting Grant's, which, while celebrated, is a war memoir from a general).

Here's how they begin...
Jefferson
Read 21 tweets
25 Dec 20
No one has yet improved upon the original “Last Christmas”
In “Santa Baby,” no one nails “to a platinum mine” better than Madonna
“Fairytale of New York” is probably my favorite Christmas song but I wish they didn’t rush through the “You’re a bum/you’re a punk” verse.
Read 7 tweets
4 Dec 20
My first history podcast episode–about the creation of the UN–begins with a seemingly unrelated scandal: when Undersecretary of State Sumner Welles sexually propositioned porters on FDR's train

scherable.com/whenamericawor…

This got me thinking, is this the 1st WH gay sex scandal?...
...Before the Sumner Welles incident was the 1919 Newport sex scandal, which involved Navy sailors and implicated FDR as Asst Sec to the Navy en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newport_s… . But didn't involve sexual activity among people in the administration...
...But perhaps the Welles incident shouldn't qualify either because the scandal never became public during FDR's presidency, though it was gossiped about and led to Welles' resignation...
Read 5 tweets

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