Your weekly reminder that you are living through the largest social policy blunder in Canadian history. So much to discuss in regards to C19, but lets take a cue from Anthony Furey and keep it simple. 1/
Lost in the noise of Canada's ever aimlessly public health campaign are simple facts. Under the age of 40, the risk of death/hospitalization is stunningly small and arguably lower than the flu. C19 is a highly age/risk statified respiratory illness. 2/
This was appreciated early by actuaries, who make a living studying death curves. Ever wonder why life insurance rates didn't go up with the arrival of a new respiratory virus. Its because C19 didn't materially impact the risk profile of the people they insure. 3/
Unfortunately, our public health community thought "Armageddon" had stuck. Thus for 14 months, we were exposed to an unrelenting fear campaign, unhinged from this simple reality. You can't blame people for being confused and not seeing the facts. 4/
But as Mr. Furey rightly points out, this relentless fear mongering spawned the pseudosciency nonsense of Covid zero. This collection of fringe epidemiological concepts (lockdowns, martial law, trace-and-trace) pumped by ideologs was an abject failure. 5/
This group's origin is murky but they swayed Canada's response via the Ontario Science Table. Their ideas have no serious intellectual foundation and it profoundly damaged our country. Frankly, it was academic playtime for a small group of undisciplined researchers. 6/
Arguably, everyone makes mistakes but Ontario, the home of Covid zero, was doggedly determined get it consistently wrong. Three lockdowns later and no admittance of failure despite obvious evidence of detrimental harms. 7/
This doggedness dug an economic/societal hole so deep that its citizens must now endure more while the province saves itself from looming legal troubles. Lockdowns will pushed into the summer months, taking advantage of seasonality while claiming vaccines are a cure all. 8/
This poor public health policy has badly damaged trust in gov't. It will take years to recover from the manipulative practices of public health but it's essential to sew society back together. How to do this? 9/
I propose striking of a serious public inquiry, with real legal teeth. The head should have impeccable credentials and trust with the public and gov't. An opportune person would seem to be Beverly McLachlin, former chief justice of the Supreme court of Canada. 10/
Her time as the supreme court justice was marked by consensus building and expansion of charter rights. She is non partisan and trusted within gov't circles. This trust would allow the inquiry to extend its gaze into the confidential communications of cabinet. 11/
It's my firm belief this would be in the best interests of Canada. It won't be pretty but its essential to reestablish our societal footing and to ensure those responsible are held to account for this stunning debacle. End

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More from @DonaldWelsh16

8 May
Warren Kinsella succinctly noted yesterday the collapse of "trust" in gov't and its messaging. Unsurprising given the poor public health campaign without a comparator in modern Canadian history. 1/

Coercive public health campaigns have a start and an end point (vaccination). Everything in between supports a preset story line. Official statements need not be accurate, they are manipulative and designed to challenge your sense of emotional/physical security. 2/
Needless to say, it's a disingenuous way to treat citizens and such campaigns are highly corrosive to society. They are typically reserved for serious viral threats which C19 isn't. One can readily garner that by examining publicly available data. 3/
Read 12 tweets
4 May
Its hard to look at main stream news today and consider it a valuable public service. Cheapened by the sound bite and "gotcha" journalism, its notable for its general intellectual laziness. Its been in slow decline and many outlets deserve to die. But other formats rise. 1/
As one looks across this landscape, two general formats are emerging and starting to thrive. The first is true long format journalism, focused on unique (rather than popular) thought leaders. "Unherd", a YouTube production out of England is a good example. 2/
Perspective is fresh and unrehearsed, and their is a freedom of thought, that comes to the forefront, when interview length is unconstrained. An emerging Canadian equivalent is Trish Woods @WoodReporting, well worth a listen. 3/
Read 5 tweets
3 May
Your weekly reminder that you are witnessing the largest social policy diaster in Canadian history. And we have the numbers to prove that. But this week, lets focus on one of root causes of this blunder. "Science as Authority". 1/
This excellent video by Dr. John Lee starts to frame this issue. Thoughtful as usual but the last 5 mins caught my attention. He starts to identify "Govt's dysfunctional relationship with science" as a source of our C19 problems. 2/

What does he means by this? Science is a process whereby we open our thoughts/ideas to external verification. Testing follows the so called "scientific method" and if validated, thoughts are elevated in importance and gain societal sway. 3/
Read 11 tweets
2 May
Good point brought up by Kelly Brown on the vague messaging from @BogochIsaac, @PattyHajdu and @JustinTrudeau. Lets dig into the details of vaccine passports. 1/
Lets start with medical science. Does this make sense? The answer is No. C19 is a seasonal respiratory virus whose transmission dynamics is unknown and impossible to control. Its endemic in most of the world so there is nothing to control per se. 2/
The preceding reasoning also applies to variants. To date, they have been a non-issue and I don't see gov't committing further resources to this futile endeavor. 3/
Read 10 tweets
1 May
A staffer at the Ontario Legislature said 7 months ago that C19 was over but that the real fight was to save gov't as an institution. I didn't fully comprehend those words at the time but I do now. 1/
The dizzying parade of events his week leaves one shocked but underneath is a simple political reality. We are witnessing a large scale system wide policy failure and no one in politics wants to be left holding this hot potato. 2/
Plenty of blame to go around and an equal amount of scorn should be heaped onto the Feds, the OST and the provinces. Media and academia, normally reliable sources of criticism, have remained compliant or silent. 3/
Read 6 tweets
26 Apr
Your weekly reminder, we are in the midst of the largest public health blunder in Canadian history. Why do I say that? Lets educate and go through some data. 1/
Large public health campaigns take one of two approaches.

1) Educational. These campaigns work with the public and entail modifying behavior and focused protection. Focus vaccination is viewed as an end point. This is embodied in the Great Barington Declaration (GBD). 2/
2) Coercional. These campaigns use manipulative behavioral techniques (to strike fear) and large scale societal modifications (lockdowns) as a means of population control, with mass vaccination as an end point. 3/
Read 12 tweets

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