The GOP had the chance to split when Mitch McTurtle & GOP Senators could have impeached Trump (Mitch was given TWO opportunities to fix the GOP). This splinter group is not VIABLE, if the core of party is Trumpist. They will return
Understand the OPPOSITE.
If GOP had kicked out the total loser Trump (lost the GOP the House, the White House AND the Senate, inside 2 years, worst performance by a party in 90 years) - his supporters COULD have launched a VIABLE Third Party, on the right wing fringe: Tea Party
In that OPPOSITE case the Rump GOP could have SHIFTED TOWARDS THE MIDDLE - and try to take some disgruntled moderate DEMs (mostly INDs) to support them, and the nutter NRA, Tea Party, Nazi, racist sexist religious nutters could have had the Trump party, with a slice of support.
This #100Republicans movement is a SPOILER, that cannot attract MIDDLE support to be viable, as it is a 'conservative' movement on the right side of Trump, but without the fringe nutters there, ie gun huggers, bible thumpers, Nazis, sexists, idiots, Qanon cult and Fox viewers
That means, that the longer the 100 Republicans exist, the more they DRAIN votes away from the SMALLER of the two national parties (GOP). So they only are a spoiler. That means they will be ostracized, have nominal support, and miserably fail. They won't embrace Joe Biden...
So maybe they damage the Trumpian GOP for a cycle, or two, but they mostly only SUPPRESS some GOP vote, they are not able to take over that voter base. It means that in a few years, most of them will return to GOP (maybe after Trump is defeated in 2024). But this damage was done
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As Trump is seeing the walls caving in all around him, let's do a May update to the stages of where is the Prison Time, that is coming to Trump
I promise you. Trump will go to prison. Let's examine, in Rumfeldian words some known knowns & some unknowns..
Trump Prison Thread 2/
I can PROMISE you, Trump goes to prison. We do not know WHEN he goes to prison. There are MANY ongoing cases against him. But let's do an update. Starting with certainty. Some of Trump's prison sentences are KNOWN KNOWNS... Like Michael Cohen..
Trump Prison Thread 3/
We KNOW Trump will go to prison, because of Michael Cohen, his former attorney. Michael Cohen pleaded guilty and got 3 year sentence. In his case Donald Trump was 'Individual One' the person who DIRECTED the crimes of Cohen. Trump WILL DO THIS TIME.
Let's talk a bit about Buttdial McRudypants's evidence problem. So the FBI raided his office (extremely rare) & obviously they had gotten a warrant from a judge to do that. What did they achieve? A thread on his perils
Giuliani jeopardy thread 2/
To be clear. Rudy Giuliani himself knows he is totally guilty and utterly f*cked. He had begged Trump for a pardon and did it openly, that was how desperate Buttdial McRudypants was already last year, BEFORE his criming around the January 6 riots
Giuliani jeopardy thread 3/
Feds raided The Ghouliani's home and office. They had a warrant which allowed them also to seize nearly a dozen electronic devices. NOW the SDNY has NOT reviewed ANY of the devices, but have asked a judge to appoint a specialist to first vet devices
Let's talk a bit about Rudy Colludy's evidence problem. So the FBI raided his office (extremely rare) and obviously they had gotten a warrant from a judge to do that. What did they achieve? Let's speculate a little bit.
Giuliani Evidence thread 2/
To be clear. Rudy Giuliani himself knows he is totally guilty and utterly f*cked. He had begged Trump for a pardon and did it openly, that was how desperate Buttdial McRudypants was already last year, BEFORE January 6 riots
Giuliani Evidence thread 3/
Feds raided the Ghouliani's home and office. They had a warrant which allowed them also to seize nearly a dozen electronic devices. NOW the SDNY has NOT reviewed ANY of the devices, but have asked a judge to appoint a specialist to first vet devices
As he's in the news, time for another episode of our popular series of 2024 GOP wannabes
Tonight's hero: Failed James Bond Villain, the mute Henchman The Chrischristie ("with a stare so cold, so devoid of emotion, so empty, so desolate, it was like.. Jersey")
Christie thread 2/
The Chrischristie illustrates perfectly the dilemma that the GOP is in, after the Senate GOP failed to impeach Trump after Jan 6 riots. Christie has to play both sides of the fence. He is an astute politician, he is doing this far better than most. Let's study
Christie thread 3/
The Chrischristie is definitely making obvious run for 2024 POTUS. Make no mistakes about this. He ran in 2016, was a lower-midfield contender, saw he won't win it then, dropped out early, to endorse -very strongly - the obvious winner-to-be, Trump.
The Waxdoll Mike Pence seems to believe he has a political future. I guess Trumpian delusions must be contagious. But since he's trending on his desperate 'comeback tour', let's do a brief thread on the futility of this loser...
Pence thread 2/
Let's start from year 2016. Gov Mike Pence was so hated in his home state, that attempting to run for re-election, in reliably red INDIANA, Pence was headed for a loss in 2016. He was already UNELECTABLE five YEARS ago. Even in RED STATES
Pence thread 3/
Almost ANY Veep will INCREASE their chances, even Potato(e)-head Dan Quayle became more favorable during his one term in office.
Not the Waxdoll Pence. He managed to gain NO support, but turn the Trump base AGAINST himself. They tried to lynch him on Jan 6
So Giuliani's office was raided yesterday. This is VERY rare, requires judge to approve the raid. Usually attorney offices are pretty sacred. The feds had to convince the judge that there is evidence of a crime or crimes.
It is bad. Let's do a bit of analysis
Rudy thread 2/
We have SEEN this movie before. It is a remake. The original was called Michael Cohen (a corrupt Trump attorney)
Cohen raided Apr 2018
4 months later in jail
3 months after that convicted
13 months from raid, sent to prison May 2019
Disbarred shortly after that
Rudy thread 3/
We know now that Bill Barr had blocked the raid to Giuliani's office. That was likely happening late in 2020, definitely before Barr resigned in Dec 2020. So the feds have had the evidence to convict Giuliani for many MONTHS now. Rudy is very screwed..