Thread :
Every willing Indian will get at least the first jab of Covid19 Vaccine over next 7 months 18 days in 2021 only.
How ?
As of today, 17.5 Crore (175 Million) Indians have received vaccine shots (fastest globally), out of whom 3.8 Cr (38 Mil) have received both the shots.
In 2019 elections, there were 92 Crore registered voters. Considering addition to age progression and balancing out the likely deaths, there are ~95 Crore (950 Mil) adults in India presently.
The major challenge in mass vaccination of adult Indians is vaccine availability.
The Modi Govt has pushed both Serum Institute and Bharat Biotech to augment their vaccine production to 10 Crore doses of Covishield per month and 5.5 Crore doses of Covaxin per month respectively by July from 6.5 + 2 = 8.5 Crore doses per month presently.
Besides 15.5 Crore doses of Covishield+Covaxin , 1.2 Cr doses per month of Sputnik shall be available from July. This has been stated on record to SC by GOI (link in the above tweet).
At least 16.7 Crore doses/month of vaccines shall be available from 8.5 Cr per month presently.
Zydus too will apply for emergency authorization of its Zycov-d (currently in Phase 3 Trials) and if all is well, Zycov-D too will be added to India's vaccine arsenal from July with immediate production of 1 Cr doses/month from month 1 and 2 Cr eventually.
1 Crore doses of Zycov-d from July shall take India's vaccine Production to 17.7 Crore doses/month from July.
Till July, with present capacity of 8.5 Crore doses/month, 17 Crore further jabs will be administered, taking present number to 34+ Crore till July.
From July end-Aug beginning, 17.7 Crore+ doses/month will be available.
By Dec end/Jan 1st week, 115-120 Crore doses will have been administered and 75-80 Crore adults will have got their first jab.
By Jan end - Feb beginning, 126+34=160 Crore doses will have been administered.
Taking into account vaccine hesitation, every willing Indian adult will have got 1st jab by Dec 2021.
By Feb beginning, majority of 15-20% hesitant population will be convinced; the willing among them will get 1st jab.
By March end, every willing adult Indian will have both jabs.
Logistics is a map of human intent.
Doubling vaccine production in India in 2 months is not an ordinary exercise, nor is largest ever vaccination drive anywhere in the world.
Vaccination may not always save you from Covid.
It'll prevent death in 99.99% of cases.
Dum Spiro Spero!

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More from @ukshahi

11 Feb
Thread :
China is moving 4 Fingers (spurs) back to beyond Finger 8, while India is moving less than a Finger Back to DS Thapa Post at F3.
Pre-April 2020 position is being restored in Pangong Tso.
Heights on South Bank were occupied as a bargaining chip to restore status quo ante.
We wanted status quo ante in Pangong Tso. We get that.
Structures erected by PLA between F4 & F8 will be dismantled.
Both the forces still face each other in Depsang.
Depsang is strategically important, needs resolution. But the issue there is a decade old.indianexpress.com/article/india/…
In 2013, India had demolished its own Military bunkers in Chumar Sector. It was a surrender.
This time, India matched China man to man, gun to gun & tank to tank at LAC in largest active deployment of troops anywhere in the world during tough Covid time.
India stood up to China.
Read 4 tweets
2 Dec 20
Thread :
A riposte to those who want MSP for private procurement :
MSPs for common grade paddy and A Grade Paddy are ₹1868 & ₹1888 per quintal respectively.
It amounts to ₹18.6 ~ ₹19 per kg to farmers for 1Kg paddy.
1Kg Paddy on an avg gives 400-450 grams of saleable rice.
So it means compulsory MSP on non govt/Pvt purchase for farmers for ordinary rice will mean a payment of ₹19 for 400 grams or ₹47.5 ~ ₹48 for a kg to farmers.
Now consider entire logistics — transportation & warehousing cost, the wholesalers' margin and retailers' margin.
A kg of ordinary rice will cost almost cost ₹80-85 for ordinary Indians. Is it possible ?
Ordinary Indians can't afford to pay ₹80-85 for a kg of ordinary rice.
So think before you demand.
MSPs will be there for govt purchase.
MSPs can't be there for private purchase.
Period.
Read 4 tweets
19 Nov 20
Modi Govt's New farm reform law makes it compulsory for buyers to pay farmers in 3 days and the SDO/SDM to decide in 30 days of complaint.

Jitendra Bhoi, a maize grower from Maharashtra sued two traders under the new law and got his dues — ₹2,85,000.
hindustantimes.com/india-news/in-…
Rice millers in UP are now buying their entire paddy requirement outside APMC mandis and offering higher per quintal rates to farmers than local mandis.
ITC is purchasing 85% of its soyabean requirement directly from farmers at rates higher than Mandis.
financialexpress.com/industry/new-c…
Few Facts :
The GOI has procured 310.61 lakh tonnes of paddy till Nov 26 against 261.48 lakh tonnes in the year-ago period.
202.65 lakh tonnes have been procured from Punjab alone — 65.24 % of total national paddy procurement by the Govt.
MSP raised too.
tribuneindia.com/news/punjab/go…
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov 20
Thread :
Relationship between two sovereign countries via their sovereign Govts is a function of trade, commerce, people to people ties, military ties, strategic convergences, geopolitcal compulsions and the will of leadership.
India and the US are indispensable to each other.
India is indispensable to the US with respect to Asia Strategy of the US as well as for security of the Indo Pacific Region. Why ?
Japan — a Pacifist state with limited military can not contain and confront China.
No other power in Asia or Indo Pacific can counter China.
The US doesn't only need to counter PRC.
It needs to actively contain China in order to continue its status as the pre eminent power in the world.
This is something US — the executive, the deep state and the Congress will do at any cost irrespective of whosoever is President.
Read 10 tweets
8 Nov 20
From Friday, China is halting Aus Imports worth Billions to punish Australia for Quad & speaking on Covid.
In normal times, China wouldn't do this. US would have imposed punitive tariffs on Chinese imports.
China takes first advantage of US election chaos.
washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/us-mus…
In South Ukraine, the city of Zaporizhzhya hosts Motor Sich — a manufacturer of engines & components for aircraft, including for An aircraft & Mi choppers.
China wants to acquire it for 5 years.
Trump made Ukrainian Govt suspend the acquisition.
Will Biden?cepa.org/inbox-the-batt…
The PRC is taking yet another advantage of post election chaos in the US.

If PRC gets control of Motor Sich, it will leap a decade ahead in aerospace engine technology for its helicopters, fighter jets, heavy planes and rockets.

There'll be implications.
Read 4 tweets
31 Oct 20
Despite Covid lockdown, Uttar Pradesh has received investments of ₹6,700 Crore in 6 months.
These investments where work for setting up units has begun will employ 1.35 lakh people.
More Investments of ₹85K Crores in pipeline as Yogi Govt transforms UP.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/u…
German footwear giant begins production in UP after leaving China.
2 units of Von Welix operational in Agra, direct employment already provided to 2,000+ people.
More units to come up, employ >10,000.
Production Target — 5 Million pairs annually. hindustantimes.com/business-news/…
Japan is providing aid to 2 Jap Cos moving manufacturing from China to India as part of India Japan Australia efforts to develop Supply Chain Resilience Initiative.
Toyota-Tsusho will be setting up a rare earth metal facility & Sumida of automotive parts.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india…
Read 161 tweets

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