A few interesting poll findings relevant to the House GOP Conference race that concluded this morning. Many of the issues - climate, LGBT issues, immigration - where @RepStefanik took more centrist views are areas where younger and older Republicans differ...
Some new polling from @pewresearch shows Republicans under age 35 much more supportive of a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrations (62%) vs. Republicans over age 35 (46% or less). pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…
On the issue of climate change, younger Republicans are more likely than older Republicans to think climate change is having an effect on their community and that human activity is contributing to the change. pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020…
Younger Republicans also take a different view gender identity. For instance, among GOP Gen Zers, four in ten say that forms should offer gender options besides "man"/"woman" and are more likely to think society is not welcoming enough to non-binary ppl. pewresearch.org/social-trends/…
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Thread on the new @EchelonInsights polling about voter priorities and what Republicans in particular are looking for. Unlike traditional "top issue" questions, here we asked people to rate EACH issue on how much it concerns them. We tested these issues with everyone...
Of the issues we presented to ALL respondents, the economic damage from COVID-19 is the top concern in large part because it is the most bipartisan - three-quarters of GOP and Dems are very/extremely concerned.
To the full sample, we did test some items that have big party gaps. But when doing a survey, you want to be mindful of "respondent fatigue" - asking people to rank 30+ issues would be A LOT. So we created a list of issues that are "likely primary issues" for each party....
There are a lot of polls coming out today, tomorrow, and this weekend. Before they do, looking at the data today, even assuming the polls are right, there is still a path for Trump. It is narrow, but it is real.
Current polling averages in the Sun Belt states - FL, NC, AZ, TX, GA - all have Trump in striking distance. They are tied or within just a point or two. Not enough for me to say confidently which way they'll go. If they all go Trump, that's ALMOST enough...
On the flip side, if the polls are right, Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump. But he doesn't need them if he's won the Sun Belt....as long as he also holds Pennsylvania. Current polling averages have Biden ahead, but not comfortably.
This research project is near and dear to my heart: an exploration of where Millennials and Generation Z think their futures are headed, how they define success, and what they think drives access to opportunity.
Our research involved surveys of over 2000 Millennials + 2000 Gen Zers nationwide plus in-depth qualitative with over a hundred respondents.
How Millennials view themselves: Resilient, persistent, entrepreneurs.
How Gen Zers view themselves: Conscious, innovative, outspoken.
Despite growing up in the shadow of economic collapses, two wars, and now a global pandemic, young Americans still believe that success is within reach.
Seven-in-ten believe if they work hard, they will be able to move up the economic ladder.
Results of new Morning Consult + Monmouth polls: Americans...
-Think protesters have good reason to be angry about racial injustice
-Think police are more likely to use excessive force against Black people
-Like their local police
-Are ok with using military to stop riots
Clear majority say the anger that led to the protests is fully justified. (Screengrabs from @databyler’s feed - this is from Monmouth).
Clear majority also say police are more likely to use excessive force on a Black suspect. (And a huge increase since 2016.)
NEW POLL: @pewresearch gives us a first glimpse into the political views of Gen Z. Turns out they’re just as left-leaning as the Millennials. GOP now has a TWO generation problem. pewsocialtrends.org/2019/01/17/gen…
I am often asked if the pendulum will swing back and if Gen Z might actually be more right-leaning than the Obama-era Millennials. Current verdict: no.
Throughout the poll, Gen Z and Millennial responses are almost the same, save one topic: gender identity. Gen Z much more likely to know someone who uses neutral pronouns.