I'm incognito hiding my appearance for this week's podcast because I'm taking on the wrath of the BTC community. Love to all - now give us a good spanking so we can reload positions in the 30,000s. I'm really stoked on the opportunities to make money right now.
So many stocks are screaming EPIC BULL MARKET. Gold has endured a super correction. Time to reload. I'll discuss / review next time.Silver, uranium, big miners like Billiton and Rio look v sexy. This is the final explosive Third Act for the commodity complex. You need OTM calls.
But China? It's not rallying...maybe I'm being super cautious and the charts are still hanging on (just!) and they've come back +20%. But those Princes of the Yuan might they just dare to remove the credit lube?
That $1.2 trillion edifice of debts maturing onshore next year...it wasn't supposed to be like this. I don't see China as a covid beneficiary. Ever since 2009 they've bet big that the West would boom. Instead we got low growth and deepest economic slide ever.
That's the real reason behind their debt cliff.
And steel. Steel's a steal. This week, I take you from BTC's less than secret, dirty secret to explain why the mothballing of dirty Chinese steel could prove a boon to the moribund steel sector.
Who would have damn thought..?
400 Positions and no Diversification.
Genius is...to change your mind.
Join us here to see me prostitute myself with the new slimmed down version - I'm fed up being ignored and so I've attempted to cut all my meanderings and get straight to the point.
Elon is the gift that keeps giving. This week I compare the ESG mood to the anti-bank sentiment that ran from the 1930s to the end of the 1960s, and ask, Is Bitcoin today as incongruous as launching Lehman Brothers in the 1930s?
And we move from a critique of dirty bitcoin to a deep dive into the Chinese steel industry - showing why the global ex China moribund steel sector could be poised to enter a rare bull market.
Chapters: PORNO
00:00:00 Confessions 17
00:02:05 Chris Song Test
00:04:12 Losing My Virginity
00:09:20 Sony the Worst
00:11:30 Sony Price Chart
00:12:40 Visting Tokyo
00:17:15 The Eclectica Rule
00:21:00 Toshiba! Not Hitachi
00:25:00 Nissan the Worst
00:27:35 Government Motors
00:30:35 Eat Cash
00:36:10 Devil's Playground
00:44:00 Weir Group
00:54:15 I like Porn
01:07:15 Buy Big Bleu
01:20:25 Banks Not Lending
01:30:30 Indonesian Rupee
01:35:10 Genius of Macro
My head’s still a tumble. Forgotta tell you about my Podcast last week, DickCoin
If I recall right, i discussed stepping away from Odey in November 2004; a month in Mustique. Dilemma, who’d you rather hang with: Jagger or Bryan Adams? It was hell...
Dickcoin Anyone? Another Confessions Podcast is ready to launch. This week I get really angry with the FT again and its guest columnists - the grey column...
This week we go phallic and chat about The Beastie Boys, Swedish food discount retailer, Axfood, the power of the third, Price-to-Sales as a value metric and how one of my former colleagues fled Iran stitched inside a sofa.
I'm super stoked about this episode. Give Chris and I an hour or so to get it on the channels
Confessions Part XIV (March 2004) - Doom Loop
The narrative continues as we jump from uranium into the oil market, and we get filthy, maybe even dirty...
Why did the scorpion kill the frog? Hey hedges gotta make money... We also look at China, could it be about to turn Japanese? Too early to say conclusively but the Princes of the Yuan are stirring
Deep dive into the uranium sector and the Archegos scandal and how I was almost tossed out of a plane by Robert Mugabe’s money men during a trip to Africa.
Hedge Fund pirate Hugh Hendry and writer and co-host, Chris Sweeney, chronicle the inner workings of a macro hedge fund
They use Hugh's monthly client letters as a hedge fund boot camp to reveal what he was thinking and why he made the decisions he did, in real time. No new Hedge Fund wannabee can afford to miss the journey to the present day where Hugh reveals his latest macro insights.
This week they discuss why genius is buying anything!! at the bottom of a bear market. Having shorted chip stocks in 2004, Hugh explains why the electricity of everything means chips with everything. What killed the previous uranium bull market and why the charts are so orgasmic
Every Friday I publish my podcast series Confessions - a boot camp for wannabe hedge fund types - and I play time travel by bouncing from my old investment letters to the present day in search of inspiration. This week I reflect upon time investing. buzzsprout.com/1017043/8215964
This edition is labelled "Loud!!" because I finally resolved the problem with my mike - I'm now positively loud...furthermore I have had an epiphany -I now accept that I can only recognise absurd investment opportunities with the advantage of large swathes of time.
I compare and contrast time cycles, using the 20 year bear market in gold with that for the tech giant SAP back in 2003 - I'm grateful that I could read the entrails in gold but I admonish myself for failing to buy SAP at €10 in 2003 and why I might buy it now for €120...